subject:(overconfidence)

Texas A&M University

1. Miller, Tyler. Using Subjective Confidence to Improve Metacognitive Monitoring Accuracy and Control.

Degree: 2012, Texas A&M University

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/ETD-TAMU-2012-08-11610

► Metacognition is defined as a person's awareness of the capabilities and vulnerabilities of their own cognition and also encompasses the actions that a person takes… (more)

▼ Metacognition is defined as a person's awareness of the capabilities and vulnerabilities of their own cognition and also encompasses the actions that a person takes as a result of that awareness. The awareness and actions that a person takes are known as monitoring and control respectively. The relationship between accurate monitoring and improved control and performance has been borne out in multiple research studies. Unfortunately, people's metacognitive judgments are far from perfect; for low performers, that inaccuracy is most often in the form of overconfidence. Attempts to improve metacognitive monitoring and control have led to mixed results. The purpose of the experiments here was to examine whether participants could use confidence in their predictions to recalibrate subsequent performance predictions and to determine if improved metacognitive monitoring would confer benefits to metacognitive control. Would participants become less overconfident and would they then decide to study longer to improve performance? In three experiments, participants made predictions about their upcoming memory performance and reported their confidence that their predictions were accurate. Participants then adjusted their predictions so that they could be more confident the prediction was accurate. Experiment 1 served as a proof of concept ? it established that confidence judgments could be used to improve metacognitive monitoring accuracy. Experiment 2 explored the boundary conditions of the calibration improvement effect. The results revealed that continuous improvement in performance predictions was possible after reporting confidence. And finally, Experiment 3 showed that participants' improved monitoring accuracy did not influence metacognitive control, which in this study was allocation of study time. One possible reason why reporting confidence did not affect metacognitive control was that participants required feedback about the benefits of confidence judgments before the improved calibration effect would influence their decisions to allocate study time. Future research will examine the influence of reporting confidence and other interventions to improve calibration and performance. Advisors/Committee Members: Geraci, Lisa (advisor), Barnhardt, Terrence M. (committee member), Smith, Steven M. (committee member), Tassinary, Louis G. (committee member).

Subjects/Keywords: Metacognition; Confidence; Overconfidence

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APA (6^th Edition):

Miller, T. (2012). Using Subjective Confidence to Improve Metacognitive Monitoring Accuracy and Control. (Thesis). Texas A&M University. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/ETD-TAMU-2012-08-11610

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Miller, Tyler. “Using Subjective Confidence to Improve Metacognitive Monitoring Accuracy and Control.” 2012. Thesis, Texas A&M University. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/ETD-TAMU-2012-08-11610.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Miller, Tyler. “Using Subjective Confidence to Improve Metacognitive Monitoring Accuracy and Control.” 2012. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Miller T. Using Subjective Confidence to Improve Metacognitive Monitoring Accuracy and Control. [Internet] [Thesis]. Texas A&M University; 2012. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/ETD-TAMU-2012-08-11610.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Miller T. Using Subjective Confidence to Improve Metacognitive Monitoring Accuracy and Control. [Thesis]. Texas A&M University; 2012. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1969.1/ETD-TAMU-2012-08-11610

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Guelph

2. Sun, Zhenhua. Differentiating the Effects of Risk-Aversion and Overconfidence among Agricultural Enterprises .

Degree: 2017, University of Guelph

URL: https://atrium.lib.uoguelph.ca/xmlui/handle/10214/10940

► Producers are consistently faced with risks and uncertainties when making business decisions. Yet, behavioral economics shows that some producers are often irrational due to overconfident—a… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: risk-aversion; overconfidence

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APA (6^th Edition):

Sun, Z. (2017). Differentiating the Effects of Risk-Aversion and Overconfidence among Agricultural Enterprises . (Thesis). University of Guelph. Retrieved from https://atrium.lib.uoguelph.ca/xmlui/handle/10214/10940

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Sun, Zhenhua. “Differentiating the Effects of Risk-Aversion and Overconfidence among Agricultural Enterprises .” 2017. Thesis, University of Guelph. Accessed February 17, 2020. https://atrium.lib.uoguelph.ca/xmlui/handle/10214/10940.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Sun, Zhenhua. “Differentiating the Effects of Risk-Aversion and Overconfidence among Agricultural Enterprises .” 2017. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Sun Z. Differentiating the Effects of Risk-Aversion and Overconfidence among Agricultural Enterprises . [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Guelph; 2017. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: https://atrium.lib.uoguelph.ca/xmlui/handle/10214/10940.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Sun Z. Differentiating the Effects of Risk-Aversion and Overconfidence among Agricultural Enterprises . [Thesis]. University of Guelph; 2017. Available from: https://atrium.lib.uoguelph.ca/xmlui/handle/10214/10940

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Princeton University

3. Basso, Adriano. Essays on Microeconomic Theory .

Degree: PhD, 2012, Princeton University

URL: http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01sx61dm32q

► This collection of essays investigates issues related to information acquisition in the presence of permanent ambiguity, perception errors or computational constraints. After a brief introduction,… (more)

▼ This collection of essays investigates issues related to information acquisition in the presence of permanent ambiguity, perception errors or computational constraints. After a brief introduction, Chapter 1 introduces a decision maker who faces a sequence of non-identical experiments with a finite numbers of possible outcomes. The law generating the observations changes from period to period and the decision maker does not know anything about how the laws evolve. She has probabilistic beliefs over sets of possible laws and makes inferences on the true set of laws. I consider updating mechanisms characterized by consequentialism and such that updating can only depend on current beliefs and the current observation. To stay as close as possible to the standard Bayesian framework, I assume that the relative frequencies of observations converges to some limit frequency and that this limit frequency is compatible with only one of the possible sets of laws. I then show that, when the number of possible outcomes is larger than three, the individual may never learn what the true set of laws is. In Chapters 2 and 3 I consider a decision maker receiving signals. The signals specify a subset of the set S of states of the world in which the true state in included. However, the decision maker does not observe the signals correctly: each signal is perceived as a possibly different subset of S according to a function v mapping true signals into perceived ones. Chapter 2 introduces the concepts of underconfidence and overconfidence for this setting and analyzes the consequences of different behavioral sources of misperception on the set of fixed points of the mapping function v and on the relation between each true signal A. and the corresponding perceived signal v(A). In Chapter 3 I add an ex-ante stage to the model. The decision maker is aware of her ability to manage a limited number of different signals, smaller than the total number of signals that she may receive. She therefore chooses an optimal function v mapping received signals into perceived ones, subject to the constraint on the number of the latter. The chapter studies the properties of this optimal mapping. Advisors/Committee Members: Pesendorfer, Wolfgang (advisor).

Subjects/Keywords: ambiguity; overconfidence; updating

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APA (6^th Edition):

Basso, A. (2012). Essays on Microeconomic Theory . (Doctoral Dissertation). Princeton University. Retrieved from http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01sx61dm32q

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Basso, Adriano. “Essays on Microeconomic Theory .” 2012. Doctoral Dissertation, Princeton University. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01sx61dm32q.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Basso, Adriano. “Essays on Microeconomic Theory .” 2012. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Basso A. Essays on Microeconomic Theory . [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Princeton University; 2012. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01sx61dm32q.

Council of Science Editors:

Basso A. Essays on Microeconomic Theory . [Doctoral Dissertation]. Princeton University; 2012. Available from: http://arks.princeton.edu/ark:/88435/dsp01sx61dm32q

McMaster University

4. Lei, Jin. ESSAYS IN CORPORATE FINANCE AND BEHAVIORAL FINANCE.

Degree: PhD, 2015, McMaster University

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11375/18368

►

This thesis examines important topics in corporate cash holdings and forecaster overconfidence. First, I provide an in-depth study of the interaction between intra-industry contagion risk… (more)

▼

This thesis examines important topics in corporate cash holdings and forecaster overconfidence. First, I provide an in-depth study of the interaction between intra-industry contagion risk and cash holdings. I develop a novel measure of a firm’s exposure to contagion risk that builds on the firm’s stock return comovement with other industry participants and separates contagion and competition effects caused by the expected financial distress of its industry peers. I show that high contagion-risk firms hold more cash because they face higher costs of external finance due to the potential decrease in their collateral values and the increased likelihood of their future financial distress caused by the net contagion effect. Second, in a co-authored paper with Drs. Jiaping Qiu and Chi Wan, we conduct a cross-country analysis to examine how financial development affects the reliance of corporate liquidity management on tangible capital. We find that financial development and better institutions lower the cash-tangibility sensitivity. This supports the view that financial development reduces the collateral role of tangible assets, thereby relaxing financial constraints of firms with low asset tangibility. This provides further firm-level evidence and sheds new light on the link between financial development and economic growth, as financial development promotes more efficient allocations of economic resources and hence facilitates investments and economic growth. Third, in a co-authored paper with Drs. Richard Deaves and Michael Schröder, we document using the ZEW panel of German stock market forecasters that weak forecasters tend to be overconfident in the sense that they provide extreme forecasts and their confidence intervals are less likely to contain eventual realizations. Moderate filters based on forecast accuracy over short rolling windows are somewhat successful in improving predictability. While poor performance can be due to various factors, a filter based on a prior tendency to provide extreme forecasts also improves predictability.

Thesis

Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

Advisors/Committee Members: Deaves, Richard, Business.

Subjects/Keywords: Cash Holdings; Forecaster Overconfidence

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Lei, J. (2015). ESSAYS IN CORPORATE FINANCE AND BEHAVIORAL FINANCE. (Doctoral Dissertation). McMaster University. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11375/18368

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Lei, Jin. “ESSAYS IN CORPORATE FINANCE AND BEHAVIORAL FINANCE.” 2015. Doctoral Dissertation, McMaster University. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/11375/18368.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Lei, Jin. “ESSAYS IN CORPORATE FINANCE AND BEHAVIORAL FINANCE.” 2015. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Lei J. ESSAYS IN CORPORATE FINANCE AND BEHAVIORAL FINANCE. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. McMaster University; 2015. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11375/18368.

Council of Science Editors:

Lei J. ESSAYS IN CORPORATE FINANCE AND BEHAVIORAL FINANCE. [Doctoral Dissertation]. McMaster University; 2015. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11375/18368

Open Universiteit Nederland

5. Mahu, Jurgen. Invloed van overconfidence op de vestigingsplaatskeuze als investeringsbeslissing in de detailhandel .

Degree: 2010, Open Universiteit Nederland

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1820/2782

in deze scriptie wordt onderzoek gedaan naar de vraag wat de invloed is van overmoed op investeringen in vestigingsplaatsen van de detailhandel, bij zowel het kleinbedrijf als het grootbedrijf.

Subjects/Keywords: detailhandel; investeringen; vestigingsplaatskeuze; overconfidence

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APA (6^th Edition):

Mahu, J. (2010). Invloed van overconfidence op de vestigingsplaatskeuze als investeringsbeslissing in de detailhandel . (Masters Thesis). Open Universiteit Nederland. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1820/2782

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Mahu, Jurgen. “Invloed van overconfidence op de vestigingsplaatskeuze als investeringsbeslissing in de detailhandel .” 2010. Masters Thesis, Open Universiteit Nederland. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/1820/2782.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Mahu, Jurgen. “Invloed van overconfidence op de vestigingsplaatskeuze als investeringsbeslissing in de detailhandel .” 2010. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Mahu J. Invloed van overconfidence op de vestigingsplaatskeuze als investeringsbeslissing in de detailhandel . [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Open Universiteit Nederland; 2010. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1820/2782.

Council of Science Editors:

Mahu J. Invloed van overconfidence op de vestigingsplaatskeuze als investeringsbeslissing in de detailhandel . [Masters Thesis]. Open Universiteit Nederland; 2010. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1820/2782

University of Connecticut

6. Burrows, Christopher Neil. Reducing Knowledge Overconfidence by Reducing the Threat of Knowledge Cue Utilization.

Degree: MA, Psychology, 2012, University of Connecticut

URL: https://opencommons.uconn.edu/gs_theses/352

► Overconfident judgments are common. We are often more confident about things than we should be, and this may lead us to make maladaptive decisions.… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Self Affirmation; Overconfidence; Debiasing

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APA (6^th Edition):

Burrows, C. N. (2012). Reducing Knowledge Overconfidence by Reducing the Threat of Knowledge Cue Utilization. (Masters Thesis). University of Connecticut. Retrieved from https://opencommons.uconn.edu/gs_theses/352

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Burrows, Christopher Neil. “Reducing Knowledge Overconfidence by Reducing the Threat of Knowledge Cue Utilization.” 2012. Masters Thesis, University of Connecticut. Accessed February 17, 2020. https://opencommons.uconn.edu/gs_theses/352.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Burrows, Christopher Neil. “Reducing Knowledge Overconfidence by Reducing the Threat of Knowledge Cue Utilization.” 2012. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Burrows CN. Reducing Knowledge Overconfidence by Reducing the Threat of Knowledge Cue Utilization. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. University of Connecticut; 2012. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: https://opencommons.uconn.edu/gs_theses/352.

Council of Science Editors:

Burrows CN. Reducing Knowledge Overconfidence by Reducing the Threat of Knowledge Cue Utilization. [Masters Thesis]. University of Connecticut; 2012. Available from: https://opencommons.uconn.edu/gs_theses/352

University of Cambridge

7. Li, Haotong. Overconfidence and real estate research.

Degree: PhD, 2020, University of Cambridge

URL: https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/300577

► Real estate markets have recently been rapidly advancing in both volume and complexity. A sound understanding of behavioural biases in this sector benefits all stakeholders,… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Behavioural finance; Overconfidence; Real estate

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APA (6^th Edition):

Li, H. (2020). Overconfidence and real estate research. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Cambridge. Retrieved from https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/300577

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Li, Haotong. “Overconfidence and real estate research.” 2020. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Cambridge. Accessed February 17, 2020. https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/300577.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Li, Haotong. “Overconfidence and real estate research.” 2020. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Li H. Overconfidence and real estate research. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Cambridge; 2020. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/300577.

Council of Science Editors:

Li H. Overconfidence and real estate research. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Cambridge; 2020. Available from: https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/300577

University of Edinburgh

8. Eshraghi, Arman. Professional investor psychology and investment performance : evidence from mutual funds.

Degree: PhD, 2012, University of Edinburgh

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1842/9705

► In the seven decades following the Investment Company Act of 1940 coming into force in the United States, the mutual fund industry has undergone dramatic… (more)

▼ In the seven decades following the Investment Company Act of 1940 coming into force in the United States, the mutual fund industry has undergone dramatic changes including, some argue, a transition from stewardship to salesmanship with asset-gathering becoming the industry’s driving force. As fund managers incrementally assumed a more pronounced role in the investment fund industry, an emerging strand of finance literature focused on their characteristics and their potential impact on investment performance. While a large body of academic research concurs that fund managers cannot outperform systematically better than chance, there are also a significant number of studies that link the psychological characteristics of investors to their investment performance. Importantly, we know that fund managers, as a representative sample of professional investors, often have to operate under enormous anxiety and associated psychic pressures. In their effort to cope with these pressures and make sense of an immensely unpredictable and complex work environment, a wide range of psychic defences and behavioural biases may be triggered. The purpose of this research is to investigate, on the one hand, to what extent mutual fund managers are prone to overconfidence and associated behavioural biases such as self-serving attribution. On the other hand, the extent to which overconfidence, proxied by a wide range of variables including overoptimism, excessive certainty and excessive self-reference, may have any bearing on fund performance is of interest. The fundamental question is why, how, and through which mechanisms does overconfidence affect performance. The underlying research questions are motivated by three large areas of research: studies of mutual fund performance and persistence, studies of financial accounting narratives, and studies of professional investor psychology. I also explore how overconfidence is fundamentally generated and, in a sense, resorted to by fund managers as a defence mechanism against the psychic pressures of having to work in a highly intangible, complex and uncertain environment. Drawing on evidence from fund manager reports written for investors, I explain how they use the medium of narratives, and in particular stories, to make sense of what they do as fund managers and their added value for clients. I demonstrate how analysing fund manager commentaries, both through computer-assisted corpus-linguistic approaches and through the “close reading” method, sheds light on the link between fund manager psychology and investment performance. In particular, from the perspective of narrative analysis, I explain how fund managers write their reports in distinguishably different genres depending, among others, on their past performance record, fund size and investment style. In addition, I establish in a longitudinal study that the overall economic environment in which fund managers operate does influence the rhetoric of fund manager reports as well as the evidence for the Pollyanna hypothesis. My findings also…

Subjects/Keywords: investor psychology; mutual funds; overconfidence; professional investors

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APA (6^th Edition):

Eshraghi, A. (2012). Professional investor psychology and investment performance : evidence from mutual funds. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Edinburgh. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1842/9705

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Eshraghi, Arman. “Professional investor psychology and investment performance : evidence from mutual funds.” 2012. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Edinburgh. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/1842/9705.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Eshraghi, Arman. “Professional investor psychology and investment performance : evidence from mutual funds.” 2012. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Eshraghi A. Professional investor psychology and investment performance : evidence from mutual funds. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Edinburgh; 2012. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1842/9705.

Council of Science Editors:

Eshraghi A. Professional investor psychology and investment performance : evidence from mutual funds. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Edinburgh; 2012. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1842/9705

Vytautas Magnus University

9. Petrutytė, Erika. Sprendimų savikliovą sąlygojantys veiksniai.

Degree: Master, Psichology, 2008, Vytautas Magnus University

URL: http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2008~D_20080829_115659-17336 ;

►

Darbe buvo išsikeltas tikslas, įvertinti veiksnius, sąlygojančius savikliovos lygį. Tyrime dalyvavo 190 tiriamųjų iš skirtingų įmonių. Tiriamųjų amžius buvo nuo 23 iki 45 metų. Amžiaus… (more)

▼

Darbe buvo išsikeltas tikslas, įvertinti veiksnius, sąlygojančius savikliovos lygį. Tyrime dalyvavo 190 tiriamųjų iš skirtingų įmonių. Tiriamųjų amžius buvo nuo 23 iki 45 metų. Amžiaus vidurkis 29, 5 metai. Atliekant tyrimą buvo naudojamos trys užduotys. Dvi užduotys po 10 klausimų ir viena užduotis su 6 klausimais. Visose užduotyse tiriamieji turėjo pasirinkti vieną iš dviejų alternatyvų ir šalia nurodyti savo įsitikinimą, kad pasirinktas atsakymas teisingas nuo 50 % iki 100 %. Buvo išsikeltos 5 hipotezės : (1) vyrų savikliova aukštesnė priimant sprendimus nei moterų; (2) vyrai priimdami sprendimus padaro daugiau klaidų, nei moterys; (3) užimančių vadovaujamas pareigas savikliova yra aukštesnė nei nevadovaujamas pareigas užimančių žmonių; (4) žmoni��, atsakinėjančių į savo specialybei artimus klausimus, savikliova yra aukštesnė, nei žmonių, kuriems klausimai nėra artimi jų specialybei; (5) Dažniau savarankiškus sprendimus darbe priimančių žmonių savikliova aukštesnė. Rezultatai rodo, kad perdėtos savikliovos šiame tyrime nebuvo aptikta. Tačiau rezultatai parodė, kad vyrų savikliova yra didesnė nei moterų, kad vyrai, priimdami sprendimus daro daugiau klaidų nei moterys, tačiau statistiškai reikšmingo skirtumo nebuvo rasta tarp vadovaujančias ir nevadovaujančias pareigas užimančių tiriamųjų, taip pat statistiškai reikšmingo skirtumo nebuvo aptikta ir tarp tiriamųjų atsakinėjančių į savo specialybei artimus klausimus ir tiriamųjų, kurių specialybė nėra artima atsakinėjamiems... [toliau žr. visą tekstą]

The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors, which do impact for confidence level. The participants were 190 from different companies, aged 23 – 45. Each participant received three tasks. Two task consists of 10 question each, and one task of 6 questions. All three tasks required to choose one of two alternatives and then report confidence on a scale of 50 to 100 %. It was hipothesized that: (1) Confidence of males is higher level than females; (2) males make more mistakes, than females; (3) confidence of managers is higher level, than not managers; (4) people, which speciality is close to task, have higher level of confidence, than people, which speciality isnt close to task; (5) people, which are making desicions more often by themself, has higher level of confidence, than people, which dont make desicions often. Rezults shows, that overconfidence wasnt find in this recearch. Rezults shows,that males have higher confidence, than females,that males make more mistakes, than females, but statistically significant depends wasnt find between managers and no-managers, as well statistically significant depends wasnt find between people, which specialyti was close to task and people, which speciality wasnt close to task. But rezults shows, that people, which making desicions more often, have higher confidence, than people, which dont make desicion often.

Advisors/Committee Members: Martišius , Vaclovas (Master’s thesis supervisor), Gudonis, Vytautas (Master’s degree committee chair), Bukšnytė, Loreta (Master’s degree committee member), Grigaitė , Bronislava (Master’s degree session secretary), Gustainienė, Loreta (Master’s thesis reviewer), Goštautas, Antanas (Master’s degree committee member), Sabaliute, Bena (Master’s degree committee member).

Subjects/Keywords: Perdėta savikliova; Sprendimų priėmimas; Overconfidence; Desicion making

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APA (6^th Edition):

Petrutytė, Erika. (2008). Sprendimų savikliovą sąlygojantys veiksniai. (Masters Thesis). Vytautas Magnus University. Retrieved from http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2008~D_20080829_115659-17336 ;

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Petrutytė, Erika. “Sprendimų savikliovą sąlygojantys veiksniai.” 2008. Masters Thesis, Vytautas Magnus University. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2008~D_20080829_115659-17336 ;.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Petrutytė, Erika. “Sprendimų savikliovą sąlygojantys veiksniai.” 2008. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Vancouver:

Petrutytė, Erika. Sprendimų savikliovą sąlygojantys veiksniai. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Vytautas Magnus University; 2008. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2008~D_20080829_115659-17336 ;.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Council of Science Editors:

Petrutytė, Erika. Sprendimų savikliovą sąlygojantys veiksniai. [Masters Thesis]. Vytautas Magnus University; 2008. Available from: http://vddb.laba.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2008~D_20080829_115659-17336 ;

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

University of Tasmania

10. Kolowski, RM. The effects of feedback on item-by-item and global judgments of learning.

Degree: 2017, University of Tasmania

URL: https://eprints.utas.edu.au/31285/1/Kozlowski_whole_thesis.pdf

► This study examined the effect of accurate feedback and biased feedback (inflated and deflated), in the form of marks, on the accuracy of item-by-item and… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: bias; feedback; marks; underconfidence; overconfidence; JOL; accuracy

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APA (6^th Edition):

Kolowski, R. (2017). The effects of feedback on item-by-item and global judgments of learning. (Thesis). University of Tasmania. Retrieved from https://eprints.utas.edu.au/31285/1/Kozlowski_whole_thesis.pdf

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Kolowski, RM. “The effects of feedback on item-by-item and global judgments of learning.” 2017. Thesis, University of Tasmania. Accessed February 17, 2020. https://eprints.utas.edu.au/31285/1/Kozlowski_whole_thesis.pdf.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Kolowski, RM. “The effects of feedback on item-by-item and global judgments of learning.” 2017. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Kolowski R. The effects of feedback on item-by-item and global judgments of learning. [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Tasmania; 2017. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: https://eprints.utas.edu.au/31285/1/Kozlowski_whole_thesis.pdf.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Kolowski R. The effects of feedback on item-by-item and global judgments of learning. [Thesis]. University of Tasmania; 2017. Available from: https://eprints.utas.edu.au/31285/1/Kozlowski_whole_thesis.pdf

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

11. Taskin, Yusuf. Vilka orsaker kan leda till aktieinvesterarnas irrationella beteende? : En empirisk studie.

Degree: Social Sciences, 2015, Södertörn University

URL: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-28085

►

Syfte: Syftet med studien är att förstå vilka orsaker som kan förklara svenska aktieinvesterares irrationalitet med hänsyn till deras informationsbearbetning. Metod: Undersökningen är genomförd av en kvantitativ forskningsmetod med… (more)

▼

Syfte: Syftet med studien är att förstå vilka orsaker som kan förklara svenska aktieinvesterares irrationalitet med hänsyn till deras informationsbearbetning. Metod: Undersökningen är genomförd av en kvantitativ forskningsmetod med inslag av kvalitativa aspekter i form av webbaserade enkäter. Enkäten är prestrukturerad då de flesta undersökningsfrågor är stängda men består även av öppna svarsalternativ. Enkäten publicerades på olika aktieforum samt sociala nätverk där studiens urval består av de medlemmar som valde att delta i undersökningen. Teori: Behavioral Finance ställs mot den effektiva marknadshypotesen och ligger till grund för undersökningen. Overconfidence, Herd Behavior och Egocentricity är de tre psykologiska faktorerna som studeras inom Behavioral Finance. Slutsats: Slutsatsen för Overconfidence är att män har mer övertro än kvinnor och anledningen till detta förklaras av deras bakgrund. Studien visar att orsakerna till förekomsten av Herd Behavior är bland annat att investerare säljer sina aktier när deras omgivning gör det, till följd av rädslan att deras omgivning vet något de inte vet samt att de inte vill hamna i en sämre sits om aktien går ner. Anledningen till att Egocentricity uppstår hos aktieinvesterare förklaras av att aktien de äger får ett högre värde hos deras sinnen, vilket gör att priset på aktien sällan känns tillfredsställande. Investerare agerar dessutom annorlunda beroende på vilka informationskällor de använder samt hur mycket tid de lägger ner på information.

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to understand the reasons that can explain Swedish stock investors irrationality with consideration to their information processing. Method: The survey was conducted using a quantitative research method with elements of qualitative aspects in form of web-based questionnaire. The survey was prestructured with closed survey questions, but also consists of open answers. The questionnaire was published on various websites for stock investors and social networks where the study sample consists of the members who chose to participate in the survey. Theory: Behavioral Finance contradicts The Efficient Market Hypothesis and sets the basis for this survey. Overconfidence, Herd Behavior and Egocentricity are the three psychological factors studied in Behavioral Finance. Conclusion: The conclusion of Overconfidence is that men are more overconfident than women, and the reason for this is explained by their backgrounds. The study shows that the causes for the occurrence of Herd Behavior include that investors sell their stocks when their surroundings do it, because of the fear that their surroundings knows something they don’t and they do not want to end up in a worse seat if the stock goes down. The reasons that Egocentricity occurs is explained by the stock they own gets a higher value in their minds, making…

Subjects/Keywords: Behavioral Finance; Overconfidence; Herd Behavior; Egocentricity; Efficient Market Hypothesis; Information; Behavioral Finance; Overconfidence; Herd Behavior; Egocentricity; Effektiva Marknadshypotesen; Information

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Taskin, Y. (2015). Vilka orsaker kan leda till aktieinvesterarnas irrationella beteende? : En empirisk studie. (Thesis). Södertörn University. Retrieved from http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-28085

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Taskin, Yusuf. “Vilka orsaker kan leda till aktieinvesterarnas irrationella beteende? : En empirisk studie.” 2015. Thesis, Södertörn University. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-28085.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Taskin, Yusuf. “Vilka orsaker kan leda till aktieinvesterarnas irrationella beteende? : En empirisk studie.” 2015. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Taskin Y. Vilka orsaker kan leda till aktieinvesterarnas irrationella beteende? : En empirisk studie. [Internet] [Thesis]. Södertörn University; 2015. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-28085.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Taskin Y. Vilka orsaker kan leda till aktieinvesterarnas irrationella beteende? : En empirisk studie. [Thesis]. Södertörn University; 2015. Available from: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-28085

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Pretoria

12. Paluch, Dov. Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management.

Degree: Gordon Institute of Business Science (GIBS), 2012, University of Pretoria

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2263/26829

► Behavioural economics has established that cognitive biases such as the overconfidence bias impact managerial decision-making. Literature has also shown that different levels of management require… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: UCTD; Cognitive bias; Overconfidence; Managerial decision-making; Cognitive reflection

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Paluch, D. (2012). Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management. (Masters Thesis). University of Pretoria. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/2263/26829

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Paluch, Dov. “Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management.” 2012. Masters Thesis, University of Pretoria. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/2263/26829.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Paluch, Dov. “Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management.” 2012. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Paluch D. Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. University of Pretoria; 2012. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/2263/26829.

Council of Science Editors:

Paluch D. Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management. [Masters Thesis]. University of Pretoria; 2012. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/2263/26829

13. Sando Snežana. Razvoj modela kvantifikovanja rizika u inženjerskom odlučivanju.

Degree: 2016, University of Novi Sad

URL: http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/DownloadFileServlet/Disertacija146823765263368.pdf?controlNumber=(BISIS)101465&fileName=146823765263368.pdf&id=6372&source=OATD&language=en ; http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/record.jsf?recordId=101465&source=OATD&language=en

►

Budući da rezultati u budućnosti, zavise od odluka u sadašnjosti, ispitivanje uticaja sistematskih grešaka u logici odlučivanja je od velikog značaja. Predmet ovog rada… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: rizik, sistematske greške, samopouzdanje, rasuđivanje; risk, sistematic errors, overconfidence, reasoning

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APA (6^th Edition):

Snežana, S. (2016). Razvoj modela kvantifikovanja rizika u inženjerskom odlučivanju. (Thesis). University of Novi Sad. Retrieved from http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/DownloadFileServlet/Disertacija146823765263368.pdf?controlNumber=(BISIS)101465&fileName=146823765263368.pdf&id=6372&source=OATD&language=en ; http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/record.jsf?recordId=101465&source=OATD&language=en

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Snežana, Sando. “Razvoj modela kvantifikovanja rizika u inženjerskom odlučivanju.” 2016. Thesis, University of Novi Sad. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/DownloadFileServlet/Disertacija146823765263368.pdf?controlNumber=(BISIS)101465&fileName=146823765263368.pdf&id=6372&source=OATD&language=en ; http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/record.jsf?recordId=101465&source=OATD&language=en.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Snežana, Sando. “Razvoj modela kvantifikovanja rizika u inženjerskom odlučivanju.” 2016. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Snežana S. Razvoj modela kvantifikovanja rizika u inženjerskom odlučivanju. [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Novi Sad; 2016. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/DownloadFileServlet/Disertacija146823765263368.pdf?controlNumber=(BISIS)101465&fileName=146823765263368.pdf&id=6372&source=OATD&language=en ; http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/record.jsf?recordId=101465&source=OATD&language=en.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Snežana S. Razvoj modela kvantifikovanja rizika u inženjerskom odlučivanju. [Thesis]. University of Novi Sad; 2016. Available from: http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/DownloadFileServlet/Disertacija146823765263368.pdf?controlNumber=(BISIS)101465&fileName=146823765263368.pdf&id=6372&source=OATD&language=en ; http://www.cris.uns.ac.rs/record.jsf?recordId=101465&source=OATD&language=en

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

NSYSU

14. Tseng, Tzu-Peng. A Study of Overconfidence or Underconfidence for Taiwan Stock Investors â An Example of Property Stocks.

Degree: Master, Finance, 2008, NSYSU

URL: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0625108-130054

► These theses whether examine the property stock investors are overconfident or underconfident. This thesis firstly use VAR model and the empirical result shows that the… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Overconfidence; Property Stock; Real Estates; Vector Autoregression; EGARCH

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Tseng, T. (2008). A Study of Overconfidence or Underconfidence for Taiwan Stock Investors â An Example of Property Stocks. (Thesis). NSYSU. Retrieved from http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0625108-130054

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Tseng, Tzu-Peng. “A Study of Overconfidence or Underconfidence for Taiwan Stock Investors â An Example of Property Stocks.” 2008. Thesis, NSYSU. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0625108-130054.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Tseng, Tzu-Peng. “A Study of Overconfidence or Underconfidence for Taiwan Stock Investors â An Example of Property Stocks.” 2008. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Tseng T. A Study of Overconfidence or Underconfidence for Taiwan Stock Investors â An Example of Property Stocks. [Internet] [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2008. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0625108-130054.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Tseng T. A Study of Overconfidence or Underconfidence for Taiwan Stock Investors â An Example of Property Stocks. [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2008. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0625108-130054

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

NSYSU

15. Li, Chien-Tsung. None.

Degree: Master, Finance, 2006, NSYSU

URL: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0711106-165032

Subjects/Keywords: Investment; Overconfidence; Behavioral Finance

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APA (6^th Edition):

Li, C. (2006). None. (Thesis). NSYSU. Retrieved from http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0711106-165032

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Li, Chien-Tsung. “None.” 2006. Thesis, NSYSU. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0711106-165032.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Li, Chien-Tsung. “None.” 2006. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Li C. None. [Internet] [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2006. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0711106-165032.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Li C. None. [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2006. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0711106-165032

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

NSYSU

16. Liu, Jia-chi. none.

Degree: Master, Finance, 2006, NSYSU

URL: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0726106-144119

Subjects/Keywords: trading performance; overconfidence; herding

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APA (6^th Edition):

Liu, J. (2006). none. (Thesis). NSYSU. Retrieved from http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0726106-144119

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Liu, Jia-chi. “none.” 2006. Thesis, NSYSU. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0726106-144119.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Liu, Jia-chi. “none.” 2006. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Liu J. none. [Internet] [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2006. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0726106-144119.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Liu J. none. [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2006. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0726106-144119

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Pretoria

17. [No author]. Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management .

Degree: 2012, University of Pretoria

URL: http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-07292012-144827/

► Behavioural economics has established that cognitive biases such as the overconfidence bias impact managerial decision-making. Literature has also shown that different levels of management require… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: UCTD; Cognitive bias; Overconfidence; Managerial decision-making; Cognitive reflection

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

author], [. (2012). Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management . (Masters Thesis). University of Pretoria. Retrieved from http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-07292012-144827/

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

author], [No. “Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management .” 2012. Masters Thesis, University of Pretoria. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-07292012-144827/.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

author], [No. “Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management .” 2012. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

author] [. Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management . [Internet] [Masters thesis]. University of Pretoria; 2012. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-07292012-144827/.

Council of Science Editors:

author] [. Overconfidence bias in decision-making at different levels of management . [Masters Thesis]. University of Pretoria; 2012. Available from: http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-07292012-144827/

Penn State University

18. Watson, Val Lucas. Executive Overconfidence and Financial Reporting of Unrecognized Tax Benefits.

Degree: PhD, Business Administration, 2013, Penn State University

URL: https://etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/19726

► I examine how executive overconfidence influences mandatory financial accounting estimates using a powerful setting containing significant managerial discretion: the reserve for unrecognized tax benefits (UTBs).… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: financial reporting; executive overconfidence; CEO; CFO; tax cushion; tax reserve

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Watson, V. L. (2013). Executive Overconfidence and Financial Reporting of Unrecognized Tax Benefits. (Doctoral Dissertation). Penn State University. Retrieved from https://etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/19726

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Watson, Val Lucas. “Executive Overconfidence and Financial Reporting of Unrecognized Tax Benefits.” 2013. Doctoral Dissertation, Penn State University. Accessed February 17, 2020. https://etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/19726.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Watson, Val Lucas. “Executive Overconfidence and Financial Reporting of Unrecognized Tax Benefits.” 2013. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Watson VL. Executive Overconfidence and Financial Reporting of Unrecognized Tax Benefits. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Penn State University; 2013. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: https://etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/19726.

Council of Science Editors:

Watson VL. Executive Overconfidence and Financial Reporting of Unrecognized Tax Benefits. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Penn State University; 2013. Available from: https://etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/19726

UCLA

19. Walters, Daniel. Known Unknowns in Judgment and Choice.

Degree: Management (MS/PHD), 2017, UCLA

URL: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/0hj5c9s5

► This dissertation investigates how people make inferences about missing information. Whereas most prior literature focuses on how people process known information, I show that the… (more)

▼ This dissertation investigates how people make inferences about missing information. Whereas most prior literature focuses on how people process known information, I show that the extent to which people make inferences about missing information impacts judgments and choices. Specifically, I investigate how (1) awareness of known unknowns affects overconfidence in judgment in Chapter 1, (2) beliefs about the knowability of unknowns impacts investment strategies in Chapter 2, and (3) inferences about forgotten unknowns influence choices from memory in Chapter 3.Chapter 1 investigates how overconfidence can stem from neglecting to consider missing information. Most prior research has attributed overconfidence to people focusing disproportionately on evidence favoring the chosen hypothesis relative to its alternatives. In this chapter, I find that neglecting unknown evidence independently contributes to overconfidence. In a first study, respondents answered questions such as, “Which of these fast food items has more calories, a Subway sandwich, or a McDonald's cheeseburger? / How confident are you?” Using a process tracing technique, I found that participants who considered more missing evidence were less overconfident than those that thought about more known evidence. Meanwhile, participants who considered more unknown information answered the same number of questions correctly, resulting in better calibration. In two additional studies, I prompted participants to list unknowns before assessing confidence in their judgments. This “consider the unknowns” technique reduced overconfidence substantially, and was more effective than the de-biasing technique most often prescribed in the research literature (“consider the alternative”). Importantly, considering the unknowns was selective in its impact: it reduced confidence only in domains where participants were overconfident, but did not affect confidence in domains where participants were well-calibrated or under-confident. Chapter 2 investigates how inferences about the knowability of missing information impacts investment choices. Recent research has found that people intuitively distinguish aleatory uncertainty that is inherently random or stochastic (e.g. What is the probability that a fair coin will land heads?) from epistemic uncertainty that is attributed to missing knowledge or information (e.g., Which company had a larger market capitalization at the end of 2015, Google or Apple?). In a series of surveys and experiments involving laypeople, experienced investors, and financial advisors, I found that investors who viewed stock market uncertainty as more epistemic/knowable searched for more stock information and were willing to pay more for financial advice, whereas investors who viewed stock market uncertainty as more aleatory/random diversify more. Similarly, when investors were primed to think about epistemic uncertainty they are more willing to pay for stock information whereas when they were primed to think about aleatory uncertainty they diversified more when…

Subjects/Keywords: Psychology; Marketing; Management; Choice; Decision Making; Judgment; Memory; Overconfidence; Uncertainty

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Walters, D. (2017). Known Unknowns in Judgment and Choice. (Thesis). UCLA. Retrieved from http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/0hj5c9s5

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Walters, Daniel. “Known Unknowns in Judgment and Choice.” 2017. Thesis, UCLA. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/0hj5c9s5.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Walters, Daniel. “Known Unknowns in Judgment and Choice.” 2017. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Walters D. Known Unknowns in Judgment and Choice. [Internet] [Thesis]. UCLA; 2017. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/0hj5c9s5.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Walters D. Known Unknowns in Judgment and Choice. [Thesis]. UCLA; 2017. Available from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/0hj5c9s5

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

20. Vitanova, Ivana. Managerial overconfidence : interactions with corporate governance and firm performance : Surconfiance managériale : interactions avec la gouvernance des entreprises et la performance.

Degree: Docteur es, Sciences de gestion, 2014, Université Lumière – Lyon II

URL: http://www.theses.fr/2014LYO22018

►

Face au constat d'une vision assez négative de la surconfiance managériale dans les travaux académiques en économie et gestion (analysée dans le premier chapitre de… (more)

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Face au constat d'une vision assez négative de la surconfiance managériale dans les travaux académiques en économie et gestion (analysée dans le premier chapitre de cette thèse) nous présentons des implications plus positives de ce biais sur la performance des entreprises. Ainsi, dans le Chapitre 2 nous réalisons une étude empirique qui tient compte de l'endogénéité de la surconfiance managériale et de sa contingence aux facteurs contextuels tels que la gouvernancede l'entreprise et la rémunération du dirigeant. Nous montrons que lorsque nous corrigeons le biais d'endogenéité dans les données (via la méthode de double différence) nous observons une relation positive entre la surconfiance managériale et la performance. Puis, dans le Chapitre 3 nous proposons un modèle théorique qui vise à présenter un médiateur potentiel de cette relation. Notre modèle prédit qu'un dirigeant surconfiant introduirait des tournois incitatifsau sein de l'équipe managériale plus souvent qu'un dirigeant rationnel. Ces tournois auraient pour effet d'accroitre le niveau d'effort total fourni par les membres de l'équipe managériale et d'améliorer ainsi la performance de l'entreprise. Enfin, dans le Chapitre 4 nous démontrons via une étude sur des entrepreneurs naissants que deux types de confiance différents, la confiance en ses propres compétences et la confiance en la réussite de l'opportunité entrepreneuriale, ontdes effets opposés sur la probabilité de réussite du processus entrepreneurial. Le premier type a un effet positif alors que le second a un effet négatif sur la probabilité de créer une entreprise opérationnelle.

In light of the observation of a globally negative vision of managerial overconfidence in the economics and management literature (analyzed in the first chapter of this PhD Thesis) we present some positive implications of the overconfidence bias on firm performance. In Chapter 2 we perform an empirical study that accounts for the endogeneity of managerial overconfidence and its contingence upon contextual factors such as corporate governance and managerial compensation. We show that when we control for the endogeneity biais in the data (through the difference-in-differences method) we observe a positive relationship between managerial overconfidence and firm performance. Then, in Chapter 3 we propose a theoretical model that presents one potential mediator of this positive relationship. Our model predicts that an overconfident CEO would implement incentivizing tournaments between the top management team membersmore often than a rational CEO. These tournaments would lead to an increase in the total effort supply of top executives and hence improve the performance of the firm. At last, in Chapter 4 we show, through a study of nascent entrepreneurs, that two different types of confidence, confidence in one's own abilities and confidence in opportunity outcomes have opposed effects on the likelihood of a successful start-up process. The first type has a positive effect whereas the second one has a negative effect on the…

Advisors/Committee Members: Vilanova, Laurent (thesis director).

Subjects/Keywords: Surconfiance; Gouvernance d'entreprise; Performance; Rémunération; Overconfidence; Corporate governance; Performance; Compensation

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APA (6^th Edition):

Vitanova, I. (2014). Managerial overconfidence : interactions with corporate governance and firm performance : Surconfiance managériale : interactions avec la gouvernance des entreprises et la performance. (Doctoral Dissertation). Université Lumière – Lyon II. Retrieved from http://www.theses.fr/2014LYO22018

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Vitanova, Ivana. “Managerial overconfidence : interactions with corporate governance and firm performance : Surconfiance managériale : interactions avec la gouvernance des entreprises et la performance.” 2014. Doctoral Dissertation, Université Lumière – Lyon II. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://www.theses.fr/2014LYO22018.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Vitanova, Ivana. “Managerial overconfidence : interactions with corporate governance and firm performance : Surconfiance managériale : interactions avec la gouvernance des entreprises et la performance.” 2014. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Vitanova I. Managerial overconfidence : interactions with corporate governance and firm performance : Surconfiance managériale : interactions avec la gouvernance des entreprises et la performance. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Université Lumière – Lyon II; 2014. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://www.theses.fr/2014LYO22018.

Council of Science Editors:

Vitanova I. Managerial overconfidence : interactions with corporate governance and firm performance : Surconfiance managériale : interactions avec la gouvernance des entreprises et la performance. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Université Lumière – Lyon II; 2014. Available from: http://www.theses.fr/2014LYO22018

21. Angel Ferrero, Maria Claudia. Idée, innovation et création d'entreprise : une investigation du rôle de la surconfiance et de la prise de risque dans le comportement innovant des entrepreneurs : Idea, Innovation and new venture creation : An investigation on the role of confidence and risk-taking on entrepreneurs innovative behavior.

Degree: Docteur es, Sciences de Gestion, 2016, Montpellier

URL: http://www.theses.fr/2016MONTD007

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Ce travail cherche à mieux comprendre les facteurs cognitifs en jeu dans les différentes étapes d’élaboration et de réalisation du projet entrepreneurial : quel est… (more)

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Ce travail cherche à mieux comprendre les facteurs cognitifs en jeu dans les différentes étapes d’élaboration et de réalisation du projet entrepreneurial : quel est l’impact de la cognition entrepreneuriale sur la réalisation et le succès d’une opportunité d’innovation ? Pour répondre à cette question nous décomposons la problématique en trois axes. Le premier essai propose un modèle conceptuel de l’innovation entrepreneuriale en tant que processus individuel. Nous conceptualisons les différentes activités – génération d’une idée créative, évaluation et implémentation – et examinons leurs spécificités et l’influence des facteurs cognitifs sur chaque étape. Le deuxième article présente une analyse empirique qui teste les hypothèses issues du modèle à travers une expérimentation avec 70 entrepreneurs. Le design expérimental permet de reproduire le processus d’innovation, depuis la génération de l’idée jusqu’à l’implémentation tout en offrant également une mesure de la performance de l’innovation sur le marché. Nos résultats montrent que la créativité est un facteur d’innovation mais que ce lien entre génération de l’idée et implémentation est influencé par les facteurs cognitifs : excès de confiance, optimisme et comportement face au risque. Le troisième article se concentre sur la décision par des individus innovants de créer ou non leur entreprise. Avec une étude quantitative sur 124 chercheurs, dont 76 ont créée leur entreprise, nous apportons un éclairage au lien entre innovation et création d’entreprise : être innovant ne suffit pas pour devenir entrepreneur, l’effet du sentiment d’auto-efficacité et du comportement face au risque sont des éléments déterminants.

This thesis investigates the cognitive factors involved all along the entrepreneurial process and their impact over the different activities underlying such process. We aim at answering the research question: What is the impact of entrepreneurial cognition on the successful implementation of an innovation?To tackle this question, we depicted the subject in three axes. The first essay proposes a conceptual model of individual innovation embedded in the entrepreneurial process. We conceptualize the different stages of creative idea generation, evaluation and implementation and examine the peculiarities of each stage and the influence of cognitive factors. The second paper presents an empirical analysis that tests the hypotheses issued from the model through an economic experiment with 70 entrepreneurs. The experimental design provides an objective measure of innovation and imitates every stage of the process: from the generation of ideas all throughout the implementation and performance of innovations in the market. Our findings show that although creativity is the source of innovations, the relationship between generation of ideas and its implementation is influenced by cognitive factors: overconfidence, optimism and risk-taking. The third essay focuses on the decision by innovative individuals to start a venture. Building on a quantitative study with…

Advisors/Committee Members: Bessière, Véronique (thesis director).

Subjects/Keywords: Innovation; Cognition; Surconfiance; Venture creation; Innovation; Creativity; Cognition; Risk-Taking; Overconfidence

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APA (6^th Edition):

Angel Ferrero, M. C. (2016). Idée, innovation et création d'entreprise : une investigation du rôle de la surconfiance et de la prise de risque dans le comportement innovant des entrepreneurs : Idea, Innovation and new venture creation : An investigation on the role of confidence and risk-taking on entrepreneurs innovative behavior. (Doctoral Dissertation). Montpellier. Retrieved from http://www.theses.fr/2016MONTD007

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Angel Ferrero, Maria Claudia. “Idée, innovation et création d'entreprise : une investigation du rôle de la surconfiance et de la prise de risque dans le comportement innovant des entrepreneurs : Idea, Innovation and new venture creation : An investigation on the role of confidence and risk-taking on entrepreneurs innovative behavior.” 2016. Doctoral Dissertation, Montpellier. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://www.theses.fr/2016MONTD007.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Angel Ferrero, Maria Claudia. “Idée, innovation et création d'entreprise : une investigation du rôle de la surconfiance et de la prise de risque dans le comportement innovant des entrepreneurs : Idea, Innovation and new venture creation : An investigation on the role of confidence and risk-taking on entrepreneurs innovative behavior.” 2016. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Angel Ferrero MC. Idée, innovation et création d'entreprise : une investigation du rôle de la surconfiance et de la prise de risque dans le comportement innovant des entrepreneurs : Idea, Innovation and new venture creation : An investigation on the role of confidence and risk-taking on entrepreneurs innovative behavior. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Montpellier; 2016. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://www.theses.fr/2016MONTD007.

Council of Science Editors:

Angel Ferrero MC. Idée, innovation et création d'entreprise : une investigation du rôle de la surconfiance et de la prise de risque dans le comportement innovant des entrepreneurs : Idea, Innovation and new venture creation : An investigation on the role of confidence and risk-taking on entrepreneurs innovative behavior. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Montpellier; 2016. Available from: http://www.theses.fr/2016MONTD007

NSYSU

22. Lin, Xi-Xuan. Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan.

Degree: Master, Industrial Technology Graduate Program in Financial Innovation, 2018, NSYSU

URL: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0528118-221557

► We aim to investigate the relationship between banks and firms with overconfident CEOs. By examining the loans from 2000 to 2016 in the Taiwan market,… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: board size; family firms; loan spread; CEO overconfidence; Behavioral finance

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APA (6^th Edition):

Lin, X. (2018). Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan. (Thesis). NSYSU. Retrieved from http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0528118-221557

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Lin, Xi-Xuan. “Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan.” 2018. Thesis, NSYSU. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0528118-221557.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Lin, Xi-Xuan. “Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan.” 2018. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Lin X. Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan. [Internet] [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2018. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0528118-221557.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Lin X. Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan. [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2018. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0528118-221557

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

NSYSU

23. Lin, Xi-Xuan. Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan.

Degree: Master, Finance, 2018, NSYSU

URL: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0524118-233928

► We aim to investigate the relationship between banks and firms with overconfident CEOs. By examining the loans from 2000 to 2016 in the Taiwan market,… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: board size; family firms; loan spread; CEO overconfidence; Behavioral finance

Record Details Similar Records Cite « Share

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Lin, X. (2018). Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan. (Thesis). NSYSU. Retrieved from http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0524118-233928

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Lin, Xi-Xuan. “Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan.” 2018. Thesis, NSYSU. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0524118-233928.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Lin, Xi-Xuan. “Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan.” 2018. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Lin X. Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan. [Internet] [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2018. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0524118-233928.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Lin X. Overconfident CEOs and the Cost of Bank Loans: Evidence from Taiwan. [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2018. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0524118-233928

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Virginia Tech

24. Li, Wei-Hsien. Two Essays on Mergers and Acquisitions.

Degree: PhD, Finance, Insurance, and Business Law, 2012, Virginia Tech

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10919/37545

► This dissertation consists of two chapters. The first chapter examines the valuation effect of the Q-hypothesis of mergers and acquisitions. The Q-hypothesis of mergers and… (more)

▼ This dissertation consists of two chapters. The first chapter examines the valuation effect of the Q-hypothesis of mergers and acquisitions. The Q-hypothesis of mergers and acquisitions proposes that takeovers of low-Q targets by high-Q acquirers should be value creating as acquirers redeploy the targetsâ assets. I revisit the valuation effects of mergers and acquisitions by considering the potential costs of asset reallocation, impact from misvaluation, and the size of the reallocated assets. By examining the combined announcement returns and changes in operating performance, I find evidence consistent with both the benefits and costs of asset reallocation in the full sample of M&As from 1989 to 2010. Controlling for impact for market misvaluation in the proxy of Q, I find that the relation between value creation and the Q-difference is an inverse U-shape. This is direct evidence in support of the Q-hypothesis of M&As using firm-level data from after 1990. The results are not driven by the acquirerâ s corporate governance structure and the difference in industry. The second chapter investigates investigate the effect of CEO overconfidence on learning from the market in completing the announced mergers and acquisitions (M&As). Overconfident CEOs overestimate their ability to create value and believe that the market incorrectly values the firm. Therefore, they will be less likely to revise their M&A announcement according to unfavorable market reaction. I construct a proxy for CEO overconfidence based on the CEOâ s decisions on exercising options similar to Malmendier and Tate (2005, 2008). Controlling for the corporate governance structure of the firm, I find that an overconfident CEO is more likely to complete a bid despite unfavorable market feedback. I do not find my results are driven by alternative interpretations including managerial quality and private information. Advisors/Committee Members: Mansi, Sattar A. (committee member), Keown, Arthur J. (committee member), Easterwood, John C. (committeecochair), Ince, Ozgur S. (committeecochair).

Subjects/Keywords: CEO Learning; Managerial bias; Overconfidence; Asset reallocation; Valuation; M&As

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Li, W. (2012). Two Essays on Mergers and Acquisitions. (Doctoral Dissertation). Virginia Tech. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10919/37545

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Li, Wei-Hsien. “Two Essays on Mergers and Acquisitions.” 2012. Doctoral Dissertation, Virginia Tech. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/37545.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Li, Wei-Hsien. “Two Essays on Mergers and Acquisitions.” 2012. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Li W. Two Essays on Mergers and Acquisitions. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Virginia Tech; 2012. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10919/37545.

Council of Science Editors:

Li W. Two Essays on Mergers and Acquisitions. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Virginia Tech; 2012. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10919/37545

Université Montpellier II

25. Smaoui Chabchoub, Aida. Excès de confiance et optimisme des dirigeants : cas des firmes initiatrices d'une acquisition : Overconfidence and optimism of CEO : case of firms initiating acquisition.

Degree: Docteur es, Sciences de gestion, 2010, Université Montpellier II

URL: http://www.theses.fr/2010MON20205

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L'introduction de la dimension comportementale dans l'explication des phénomènes de fusions-acquisitions a permis de remplacer les suppositions traditionnelles de rationalité des acteurs par des suppositions… (more)

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L'introduction de la dimension comportementale dans l'explication des phénomènes de fusions-acquisitions a permis de remplacer les suppositions traditionnelles de rationalité des acteurs par des suppositions comportementales potentiellement plus réalistes. La finance d'entreprise comportementale permet de traiter le phénomène de fusion-acquisition dans un cadre élargi en intégrant dans l'analyse l'hypothèse de l' irrationalité des acteurs notamment les dirigeants des acquéreurs. Le présent travail porte sur l'étude de la relation qui existe entre les biais comportementaux des dirigeants des acquéreurs tels que le biais d'excès de confiance, et les opérations d'acquisitions. Nous développons, dans un premier temps, plusieurs mesures d'excès de confiance des dirigeants. Dans un second temps, les différentes mesures développées seront mobilisées pour étudier l'effet de l'excès de confiance sur les politiques d'acquisition. Sur un échantillon d'entreprises françaises engagées dans des opérations d'acquisition durant la période 1999-2007, nous montrons que les dirigeants surconfiants des acquéreurs ont tendance à réaliser plus d'acquisition et à les effectuer avec une prime d'offre plus élevée. Cependant, ces acquisitions ne sont pas rentables pour les actionnaires des acquéreurs étant donné que les rentabilités réalisées sont négatives autour de la date d'annonce.

The introduction of the behavioral dimension in the explanation of the phenomena of mergers and acquisitions has allowed to replace the traditional assumptions of rationality of the participants by potentially more realistic behavioral assumptions. Behavioral corporate finance allows to treat the phenomenon of mergers and acquisitions in a framework widened, incorporating into the analysis the hypothesis of the irrationality of participants in particular the managers of bidders. The present work focuses on studying the relationship between the behavioural bias of managers of bidders such as overconfidence bias, and the operations of acquisition. Firstly, we develop several measures of CEO overconfidence. Secondly, these measures are used to study the effect of overconfidence on acquisitions policies. From a sample of French firms involved in operations of acquisitions during the period 1999-2007, we show that the overconfident CEO tend to make more acquisitions and to make them with a higher acquisition premium. However, these acquisitions are unprofitable for the shareholders of the bidders since the returns realized are negative around the date of announcement.

Advisors/Committee Members: Bessière, Véronique (thesis director).

Subjects/Keywords: Excès de confiance; Optimisme; Dirigeants; Acquisitions; Overconfidence; Optimism; Directors; Acquisition

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Smaoui Chabchoub, A. (2010). Excès de confiance et optimisme des dirigeants : cas des firmes initiatrices d'une acquisition : Overconfidence and optimism of CEO : case of firms initiating acquisition. (Doctoral Dissertation). Université Montpellier II. Retrieved from http://www.theses.fr/2010MON20205

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Smaoui Chabchoub, Aida. “Excès de confiance et optimisme des dirigeants : cas des firmes initiatrices d'une acquisition : Overconfidence and optimism of CEO : case of firms initiating acquisition.” 2010. Doctoral Dissertation, Université Montpellier II. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://www.theses.fr/2010MON20205.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Smaoui Chabchoub, Aida. “Excès de confiance et optimisme des dirigeants : cas des firmes initiatrices d'une acquisition : Overconfidence and optimism of CEO : case of firms initiating acquisition.” 2010. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Smaoui Chabchoub A. Excès de confiance et optimisme des dirigeants : cas des firmes initiatrices d'une acquisition : Overconfidence and optimism of CEO : case of firms initiating acquisition. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Université Montpellier II; 2010. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://www.theses.fr/2010MON20205.

Council of Science Editors:

Smaoui Chabchoub A. Excès de confiance et optimisme des dirigeants : cas des firmes initiatrices d'une acquisition : Overconfidence and optimism of CEO : case of firms initiating acquisition. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Université Montpellier II; 2010. Available from: http://www.theses.fr/2010MON20205

University of Arkansas

26. Bregu, Klajdi. Three Essays on the Effect of Overconfidence on Economic Decision Making.

Degree: PhD, 2017, University of Arkansas

URL: https://scholarworks.uark.edu/etd/2397

► This dissertation uses experimental evidence to explore the effects of overconfidence on economic decision making. In Chapter 1 I provide experimental evidence of the… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Alcohol; Asset Markets; Insurance; Overconfidence; Overtrading; Behavioral Economics

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APA (6^th Edition):

Bregu, K. (2017). Three Essays on the Effect of Overconfidence on Economic Decision Making. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Arkansas. Retrieved from https://scholarworks.uark.edu/etd/2397

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Bregu, Klajdi. “Three Essays on the Effect of Overconfidence on Economic Decision Making.” 2017. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Arkansas. Accessed February 17, 2020. https://scholarworks.uark.edu/etd/2397.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Bregu, Klajdi. “Three Essays on the Effect of Overconfidence on Economic Decision Making.” 2017. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Bregu K. Three Essays on the Effect of Overconfidence on Economic Decision Making. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Arkansas; 2017. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: https://scholarworks.uark.edu/etd/2397.

Council of Science Editors:

Bregu K. Three Essays on the Effect of Overconfidence on Economic Decision Making. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Arkansas; 2017. Available from: https://scholarworks.uark.edu/etd/2397

SUNY College at Brockport

27. Stephan, Gina R. The Effects of Self-Assisted Monitoring on Children's Recall Predictions.

Degree: MA, Psychology, 2016, SUNY College at Brockport

URL: https://digitalcommons.brockport.edu/psh_theses/11

► Young children consistently overestimate their judgments of how well they will perform on a picture recall task compared to their actual performance (Flavell, Friedrichs,… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Monitoring; Overconfidence; Self-Monitoring; Metacognition; Judgment Accuracy; Preschool age; Psychology

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APA (6^th Edition):

Stephan, G. R. (2016). The Effects of Self-Assisted Monitoring on Children's Recall Predictions. (Thesis). SUNY College at Brockport. Retrieved from https://digitalcommons.brockport.edu/psh_theses/11

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Stephan, Gina R. “The Effects of Self-Assisted Monitoring on Children's Recall Predictions.” 2016. Thesis, SUNY College at Brockport. Accessed February 17, 2020. https://digitalcommons.brockport.edu/psh_theses/11.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Stephan, Gina R. “The Effects of Self-Assisted Monitoring on Children's Recall Predictions.” 2016. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Stephan GR. The Effects of Self-Assisted Monitoring on Children's Recall Predictions. [Internet] [Thesis]. SUNY College at Brockport; 2016. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: https://digitalcommons.brockport.edu/psh_theses/11.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Stephan GR. The Effects of Self-Assisted Monitoring on Children's Recall Predictions. [Thesis]. SUNY College at Brockport; 2016. Available from: https://digitalcommons.brockport.edu/psh_theses/11

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of New Orleans

28. Huda, Makeen. The Impact of Intangible Capital and Diversity Reputation on Firm Performance.

Degree: PhD, Economics and Finance, 2019, University of New Orleans

URL: https://scholarworks.uno.edu/td/2669

► This dissertation examines the effects that intangible capital and diversity reputation have on firm performance. In Chapter 1, entitled “CEO Overconfidence and Intangible Corporate… (more)

▼ This dissertation examines the effects that intangible capital and diversity reputation have on firm performance. In Chapter 1, entitled “CEO Overconfidence and Intangible Corporate Investments,” we extend the corporate investment and CEO overconfidence literature by examining how CEO overconfidence affects investment-cashflow sensitivity using a new measure of Tobin’s q and cashflow. Specifically, we incorporate intangible capital, which neo-classical investment theory mostly ignores, in the empirical analysis. We develop three overconfidence measures and their interaction with the respective standard and new cashflow settings to capture the investment-cashflow sensitivity effect of CEO overconfidence. We use three investment measures (physical, intangible, and total investments) and find that the effect of managerial overconfidence on investment-cashflow sensitivity is more prominent for corporate intangible investments than physical investments. Moreover, our results show that the standard measure of physical capital weakly explains the intangible investment-cashflow density. Our study offers useful insights in that it explains the reason why investment-cashflow sensitivity has been weaker in recent years. We also show that investment-cashflow sensitivity is stronger when intangible capital is incorporated into the analysis. Chapter 2 is entitled “Diversity Reputation and Firm Performance.” The modern American workplace is a microcosm of modern American society. The increasing diversity of the American workforce has made the increasing diversity of the American workplace a necessity. We explore the impact of diversity reputation on firm performance. We measure a firm’s diversity reputation by its inclusion in DiversityInc’s list of Top 50 Companies for Diversity. We measure firm performance by various accounting measures (return on assets, return on investment, and return on sales) as well as one market-based measure, Tobin’s Q. We find that firms that have a better diversity reputation outperform firms that do not. Advisors/Committee Members: Hassan, M. Kabir, Brodmann, Jennifer, Mukherjee, Tarun.

Subjects/Keywords: Intangible Capital; Total Cashflow; CEO Overconfidence; Diversity; Firm Performance; Corporate Finance

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APA (6^th Edition):

Huda, M. (2019). The Impact of Intangible Capital and Diversity Reputation on Firm Performance. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of New Orleans. Retrieved from https://scholarworks.uno.edu/td/2669

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Huda, Makeen. “The Impact of Intangible Capital and Diversity Reputation on Firm Performance.” 2019. Doctoral Dissertation, University of New Orleans. Accessed February 17, 2020. https://scholarworks.uno.edu/td/2669.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Huda, Makeen. “The Impact of Intangible Capital and Diversity Reputation on Firm Performance.” 2019. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Huda M. The Impact of Intangible Capital and Diversity Reputation on Firm Performance. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of New Orleans; 2019. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: https://scholarworks.uno.edu/td/2669.

Council of Science Editors:

Huda M. The Impact of Intangible Capital and Diversity Reputation on Firm Performance. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of New Orleans; 2019. Available from: https://scholarworks.uno.edu/td/2669

29. Basile, Alexandra Gilda. Performance Calibration in Children With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) And A Community Sample of Typically Developing Children.

Degree: PhD, Psychology(Functional Area: Clinical-Developmental), 2018, York University

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10315/34232

► This study investigated performance calibration in 81 8-12 year-old children [M = 119.89 months (or 9 years, 11months), SD = 14.92 months, 26 females], 39… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Developmental psychology; Metacognition; Performance calibration; ADHD; Children; Overconfidence

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Basile, A. G. (2018). Performance Calibration in Children With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) And A Community Sample of Typically Developing Children. (Doctoral Dissertation). York University. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10315/34232

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Basile, Alexandra Gilda. “Performance Calibration in Children With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) And A Community Sample of Typically Developing Children.” 2018. Doctoral Dissertation, York University. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://hdl.handle.net/10315/34232.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Basile, Alexandra Gilda. “Performance Calibration in Children With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) And A Community Sample of Typically Developing Children.” 2018. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Basile AG. Performance Calibration in Children With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) And A Community Sample of Typically Developing Children. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. York University; 2018. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10315/34232.

Council of Science Editors:

Basile AG. Performance Calibration in Children With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) And A Community Sample of Typically Developing Children. [Doctoral Dissertation]. York University; 2018. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10315/34232

Karlstad University

30. Yxenholt, Louise. Att överskatta sin egen förmåga & tidsinkonsistens : En studie om hur gymnasieelever överskattar sin egen förmåga och effekten av tidsinkonsistens.

Degree: Karlstad Business School, 2016, Karlstad University

URL: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-43692

►

Att överskatta sin egen förmåga är en aspekt av en självutvärderings bias som indikerar att det finns att stark självförtroende. Tidsinkonsistens är ett begrepp… (more)

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Att överskatta sin egen förmåga är en aspekt av en självutvärderings bias som indikerar att det finns att stark självförtroende. Tidsinkonsistens är ett begrepp som många människor kan känna igen sig med. Det innebär att man fattar ett beslut inför framtiden men när det är dags att verkställa beslutet så ändrar man sig. Denna studie gjordes för att undersöka om elever överskattar sin förmåga på ett terminsprov i matematik och om tidsinkonsistens förekommer hos elever på gymnasiet. Mellan 9-12 dagar innan eleverna hade ett terminsprov i matematik fick de svara på en enkät bestående av 4 frågor. Precis innan de skulle skriva sitt prov fick de svara på samma enkät en gång till. En fråga på enkäten handlade om betyg, och eleverna skulle då försöka uppskatta vilket betyg deras provresultat skulle motsvara. Elevernas svar från båda enkäterna jämfördes sedan med deras verkliga betyg för att se om eleverna överskattade sin förmåga eller inte. Resultatet visade att cirka 54 procent av eleverna överskattade sin förmåga vid första enkäten och cirka 44 procent vid andra enkäten. Av pojkarna var det 60 procent som överskattade sin förmåga vid första tillfället och cirka 47 procent vid andra tillfället. Av flickorna var det cirka 51 procent som överskattade sin förmåga vid första tillfället och cirka 43 procent vid andra tillfället. Resultatet visade då att både killar och tjejer tenderar att överskatta sin förmåga. För att undersöka tidsinkonsistens jämfördes elevernas förväntade betyg vid det första tillfället med deras förväntade betyg vid det andra tillfället. Det var cirka 31 procent av alla elever som var tidsinkonsistenta, i form av att de ändrade sitt förväntade betyg vid det andra tillfället jämfört med vid första tillfället. Av pojkarna var det cirka 30 procent och av flickorna var det cirka 32 procent som var tidsinkonsistenta. Resultatet visade alltså inte så stor skillnad mellan könen. Detta innebär att de flesta elever var tidskonsistenta, de ändrade alltså inte sin uppfattning angående sin kunskap inom matematik vid det andra tillfället.

Overconfidence is most easily explained by individuals who overestimate their own ability and knowledge. Time inconsistency is a concept that many people can identify with. It involves making a decision about the future, but when it is time to execute the decision individual’s change their minds. This study was done to investigate the overconfidence and the time-inconsistency of students in high school. Between 9-12 days before the students had a test in mathematics, they were given a questionnaire consisting of 4 questions. Just before they would write their tests they had to answer the same questionnaire again. One question focused on grades, and the students would then try to estimate what grade their test scores would correspond. The responses from both questionnaires were then compared with the actual grade to see if the students were overconfident about their knowledge of mathematics. The results showed that about 54 percent of the students…

Subjects/Keywords: Overconfidence; time-inconsistency; gender; Överskattad förmåga; tidsinkonsistens; kön

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Yxenholt, L. (2016). Att överskatta sin egen förmåga & tidsinkonsistens : En studie om hur gymnasieelever överskattar sin egen förmåga och effekten av tidsinkonsistens. (Thesis). Karlstad University. Retrieved from http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-43692

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Yxenholt, Louise. “Att överskatta sin egen förmåga & tidsinkonsistens : En studie om hur gymnasieelever överskattar sin egen förmåga och effekten av tidsinkonsistens.” 2016. Thesis, Karlstad University. Accessed February 17, 2020. http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-43692.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Yxenholt, Louise. “Att överskatta sin egen förmåga & tidsinkonsistens : En studie om hur gymnasieelever överskattar sin egen förmåga och effekten av tidsinkonsistens.” 2016. Web. 17 Feb 2020.

Vancouver:

Yxenholt L. Att överskatta sin egen förmåga & tidsinkonsistens : En studie om hur gymnasieelever överskattar sin egen förmåga och effekten av tidsinkonsistens. [Internet] [Thesis]. Karlstad University; 2016. [cited 2020 Feb 17]. Available from: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-43692.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Yxenholt L. Att överskatta sin egen förmåga & tidsinkonsistens : En studie om hur gymnasieelever överskattar sin egen förmåga och effekten av tidsinkonsistens. [Thesis]. Karlstad University; 2016. Available from: http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:kau:diva-43692

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Open Access Theses and Dissertations