1.
Oystrakh, Mykhaylo.
The Effect of Technological Innovations on Economic Activity.
Degree: 2016, University of Waterloo
URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10012/10444
In this PHD dissertation, the nature of technological shocks and their effect on economic activity are
examined. The first chapter is dedicated to the analysis of general purpose technologies (GPTs) and their
identification in the patent data. I argue that the previous literature has been identifying sub-technologies
of a given GPT rather than the technology itself. Moreover, I argue that the quantity of active GPTs
identified using the old methodology is substantially greater than theoretically possible. The first chapter
of my thesis presents an alternative approach to the identification of a general purpose technology than
the one used in the previous literature and provides an example of such a technology identified in the
patent data. This technology is the microcomputer. The chapter examines its evolution, diffusion, and the
effect it has on other patented technologies. The findings are in line with the theoretical GPT literature.
In the second chapter of my dissertation, I examine the effect of a positive technology shock on aggregate
hours worked. Compared to the previous literature, the novelty of the approach proposed in the
current study comes from two directions: the choice of variables and the technique used to identify the
technological shock. A patent-based measure is the main measure used to approximate the unobserved
aggregate technological process. The second important novelty of the study is the use of the sign restriction
Vector Autoregression (VAR) shock identification technique that is believed to be more robust than
the alternative identification techniques used in the literature. The sign restrictions are determined using
a general equilibrium model with skilled and unskilled labour featuring skill-specific and general technology
shocks. The analysis shows that aggregate hours increase following both kinds of technological
shocks. The results obtained in the study are robust to the technology measure used. When a patent-based
measure is replaced with a production function residual measure the effect of the shock still improves the
aggregate hours. Moreover, the results are robust to the way aggregate hours themselves are specified.
Finally the results are supported when more conventional long run restrictions are applied on the VAR.
However, with the long run restrictions it does matter how the aggregate hours are specified the same way
it mattered in the previous studies.
In the third chapter, I continue the analysis of the effect of a technological improvement on the labour
market. In this study, I attempt to address the general criticism of the VAR methodology about the fact
that only a limited number of variables can be processed. This limitation requires a researcher to make a
choice in favour of certain variables and to justify this choice. Moreover, no matter which variables are
chosen for the final modeling form, some information would still be excluded from the study. I overcome
this limitation by incorporating factor analysis techniques into the VAR…
Subjects/Keywords: Technology shocks; Vector Autoregression/ VAR; tree structures; General Purpose Technology/GPT; sign restrictions; skilled and unskilled labour; Factor-to-Factor VAR/F-FAVAR; FAVAR; evolutionary path; impulse-response function/IRF; Patents; aggregate hours worked; aggregate technological process
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APA (6th Edition):
Oystrakh, M. (2016). The Effect of Technological Innovations on Economic Activity. (Thesis). University of Waterloo. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10012/10444
Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Oystrakh, Mykhaylo. “The Effect of Technological Innovations on Economic Activity.” 2016. Thesis, University of Waterloo. Accessed December 14, 2019.
http://hdl.handle.net/10012/10444.
Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Oystrakh, Mykhaylo. “The Effect of Technological Innovations on Economic Activity.” 2016. Web. 14 Dec 2019.
Vancouver:
Oystrakh M. The Effect of Technological Innovations on Economic Activity. [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Waterloo; 2016. [cited 2019 Dec 14].
Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10012/10444.
Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation
Council of Science Editors:
Oystrakh M. The Effect of Technological Innovations on Economic Activity. [Thesis]. University of Waterloo; 2016. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10012/10444
Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation