subject:( Economic forecasting)

University of Johannesburg

1. Mohapi, Alphons. The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa.

Degree: 2013, University of Johannesburg

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M.Comm. (Financial Economics)

The term structure of interest rates, particularly the term spread determined from the difference between ten-year government bond yields and three-month Treasury… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Recessions - Forecasting; Economic forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Mohapi, A. (2013). The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa. (Thesis). University of Johannesburg. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10210/8559

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Mohapi, Alphons. “The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa.” 2013. Thesis, University of Johannesburg. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10210/8559.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Mohapi, Alphons. “The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa.” 2013. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Mohapi A. The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa. [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Johannesburg; 2013. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/8559.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Mohapi A. The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa. [Thesis]. University of Johannesburg; 2013. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/8559

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Oxford

2. Furman, Yoel Avraham. Forecasting with large datasets.

Degree: PhD, 2014, University of Oxford

URL: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701

► This thesis analyzes estimation methods and testing procedures for handling large data series. The first chapter introduces the use of the adaptive elastic net, and… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: 330.01; Economic forecasting; Finance – Forecasting; Econometrics

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APA (6^th Edition):

Furman, Y. A. (2014). Forecasting with large datasets. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oxford. Retrieved from http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Furman, Yoel Avraham. “Forecasting with large datasets.” 2014. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oxford. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Furman, Yoel Avraham. “Forecasting with large datasets.” 2014. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Furman YA. Forecasting with large datasets. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oxford; 2014. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701.

Council of Science Editors:

Furman YA. Forecasting with large datasets. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oxford; 2014. Available from: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701

University of Pretoria

3. [No author]. The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty .

Degree: 2010, University of Pretoria

URL: http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-05072010-153246/

► With businesses operating in an environment of uncertainty, questions were raised around the role of rolling forecasts in this environment and how the current financial… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: UCTD; Uncertainty; Economic forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

author], [. (2010). The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty . (Masters Thesis). University of Pretoria. Retrieved from http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-05072010-153246/

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

author], [No. “The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty .” 2010. Masters Thesis, University of Pretoria. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-05072010-153246/.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

author], [No. “The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty .” 2010. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

author] [. The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty . [Internet] [Masters thesis]. University of Pretoria; 2010. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-05072010-153246/.

Council of Science Editors:

author] [. The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty . [Masters Thesis]. University of Pretoria; 2010. Available from: http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-05072010-153246/

University of Pretoria

4. Seechoonparsad, Hemendra. The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty.

Degree: Gordon Institute of Business Science (GIBS), 2010, University of Pretoria

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2263/24444

► With businesses operating in an environment of uncertainty, questions were raised around the role of rolling forecasts in this environment and how the current financial… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: UCTD; Uncertainty; Economic forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Seechoonparsad, Hemendra. (2010). The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty. (Masters Thesis). University of Pretoria. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/2263/24444

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Seechoonparsad, Hemendra. “The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty.” 2010. Masters Thesis, University of Pretoria. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/2263/24444.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Seechoonparsad, Hemendra. “The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty.” 2010. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Vancouver:

Seechoonparsad, Hemendra. The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. University of Pretoria; 2010. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/2263/24444.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Council of Science Editors:

Seechoonparsad, Hemendra. The role of rolling forecasts in high environmental uncertainty. [Masters Thesis]. University of Pretoria; 2010. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/2263/24444

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Michigan State University

5. Kim, Kiwhan. Properties of unit root tests with heterogeneous and dependent errors.

Degree: PhD, Department of Economics, 1990, Michigan State University

URL: http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:20739

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Kim, K. (1990). Properties of unit root tests with heterogeneous and dependent errors. (Doctoral Dissertation). Michigan State University. Retrieved from http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:20739

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Kim, Kiwhan. “Properties of unit root tests with heterogeneous and dependent errors.” 1990. Doctoral Dissertation, Michigan State University. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:20739.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Kim, Kiwhan. “Properties of unit root tests with heterogeneous and dependent errors.” 1990. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Kim K. Properties of unit root tests with heterogeneous and dependent errors. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Michigan State University; 1990. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:20739.

Council of Science Editors:

Kim K. Properties of unit root tests with heterogeneous and dependent errors. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Michigan State University; 1990. Available from: http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:20739

Drexel University

6. Zhou, Yaou. Auditor Changes by the Firms Just Missing Analysts’ Forecasts.

Degree: 2018, Drexel University

URL: https://idea.library.drexel.edu/islandora/object/idea%3A7899

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This study explores a unique setting to examine whether firms tend to change their auditors when their annually reported EPS "just misses" the most recent… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Accounting; Economic forecasting; Auditors' reports

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APA (6^th Edition):

Zhou, Y. (2018). Auditor Changes by the Firms Just Missing Analysts’ Forecasts. (Thesis). Drexel University. Retrieved from https://idea.library.drexel.edu/islandora/object/idea%3A7899

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Zhou, Yaou. “Auditor Changes by the Firms Just Missing Analysts’ Forecasts.” 2018. Thesis, Drexel University. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://idea.library.drexel.edu/islandora/object/idea%3A7899.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Zhou, Yaou. “Auditor Changes by the Firms Just Missing Analysts’ Forecasts.” 2018. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Zhou Y. Auditor Changes by the Firms Just Missing Analysts’ Forecasts. [Internet] [Thesis]. Drexel University; 2018. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://idea.library.drexel.edu/islandora/object/idea%3A7899.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Zhou Y. Auditor Changes by the Firms Just Missing Analysts’ Forecasts. [Thesis]. Drexel University; 2018. Available from: https://idea.library.drexel.edu/islandora/object/idea%3A7899

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Rutgers University

7. Kim, Kihwan, 1981-. Essays on forecasting macroeconomic variables using mixed frequency data.

Degree: PhD, Economics, 2016, Rutgers University

URL: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50025/

►

This dissertation investigate the forecasting performance of mixed frequency factor models with mixed frequency dataset. In the first chapter, I consider the mixed fre- quency… (more)

▼

This dissertation investigate the forecasting performance of mixed frequency factor models with mixed frequency dataset. In the first chapter, I consider the mixed fre- quency factor approach used in ADS (2009) to construct their co-incident activity index, and ask the question of whether a class of mixed frequency indexes is useful for predicting the future values of quarterly U.S. real GDP growth and monthly industrial production, unemployment and inflation. My forecasting assessment of the mixed frequency factor model is performed in conjunction with standard prediction models such as autoregression, multivariate distributed lag models, and diffu- sion index models of the variety examined by Stock and Watson (2002a). The main findings of the study are as follows. First, prediction models using only mixed frequency indexes show their best performance at short-term GDP forecasting horizons, and are particularly good during recessions. Second, prediction models using both mixed frequency indexes and diffusion indexes forecast monthly variables more accurately than models using single frequency type indexes. Third, model combi- nations perform relatively poorly in real GDP forecasting contexts, although they perform better when applied to the prediction of monthly variables. Fourth, survey information can be conveniently exploited with higher frequency variables such as daily and weekly variables, and mixed frequency indexes using such survey information are sometimes useful in forecasting lower frequency variables. In the second chapter, I evaluate the predictive performance of hybrid models for forecasting four economic variables. The hybrid approach takes into account the notion that simple autoregression and sophisticated factor modelspredictive abilities may change according to the state of the econ- omy. I find that hybrid prediction models produce better forecasts than standard models and than combination models, in most cases, using the same menu of models discussed above. For example, in one-quarter ahead GDP forecasts, the best hybrid model reduces the mean squared forecast error of the best model combinations and the linear models by 14 and 11 percent, on average, respectively. More specifically, the mean squared forecast error of autoregression is reduced by approximately 35 percent. In 12-month ahead predictions of inflation, the best hybrid model improves the best model combinations and the linear models by 11 percent and 16 percent, on average, respectively. This number again increases, in this case to 36 percent, when comparing only with autoregression. One reason for these findings is that hybrid prediction models more effectively utilize survey information.

Advisors/Committee Members: Swanson, Norman R. (chair), Landon-Lane, John (internal member), Yang, Xiye (internal member), Armah, Nii Ayi (outside member).

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting; Macroeconomics – Econometric models

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APA (6^th Edition):

Kim, Kihwan, 1. (2016). Essays on forecasting macroeconomic variables using mixed frequency data. (Doctoral Dissertation). Rutgers University. Retrieved from https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50025/

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Kim, Kihwan, 1981-. “Essays on forecasting macroeconomic variables using mixed frequency data.” 2016. Doctoral Dissertation, Rutgers University. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50025/.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Kim, Kihwan, 1981-. “Essays on forecasting macroeconomic variables using mixed frequency data.” 2016. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Kim, Kihwan 1. Essays on forecasting macroeconomic variables using mixed frequency data. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2016. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50025/.

Council of Science Editors:

Kim, Kihwan 1. Essays on forecasting macroeconomic variables using mixed frequency data. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2016. Available from: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50025/

Rutgers University

8. Lee, Sungkyung, 1986-. Essays in macroeconomic forecasting and model evaluation.

Degree: PhD, Economics, 2018, Rutgers University

URL: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/59155/

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This dissertation studies forecasting model specification, estimation, prediction, and evaluation in big data environments. In an effort to contribute to the discussions of macroeconomic forecasting,… (more)

▼

This dissertation studies forecasting model specification, estimation, prediction, and evaluation in big data environments. In an effort to contribute to the discussions of macroeconomic forecasting, I examine the studies of forecasting model specification and forecast accuracy testings and introduce new methodologies in empirical frameworks. The whole set-up of forecasting model specification and forecasting evaluation framework is a continuum of decisions, which can lead to different forecasting results. In closely-connected two papers, I attempt to empirically evaluate the implications of using different methodologies throughout all stages of macro forecasting and provide insightful conclusions for future researches in the literature. Chapter 2 revisits the question of predictive accuracy testing and model selection, and asks the question: does the loss function really matter, and if so, what can be gained when utilizing loss function-free model comparison and selection tests? So far in forecasting literature, forecasting results have been compared based on moment-based approaches which mostly concern about only first and second moment of forecasting errors and require to choose a loss function to begin with, which is an additional decisional problem. In Chapter 2, I compare forecasting results based on a distributional comparison approach suggested by Jin et al. (2016), which is technically based on the stochastic dominance principles and loss-function robust. A series of empirical experiments are carried out using macroeconomic time series data modeled using big data methods, including a large number of dimension reduction, shrinkage, and machine learning methods. Analysis and ranking of these methods is found to depend crucially on whether loss function dependent evaluation of their accuracy is carried out, or not. Chapter 3 builds on my first chapter by focusing on the usefulness of so called “supervised” approaches to forecast model selection in big-data environments. When constructing forecasting models using latent factor variables that are designed to condense information from large datasets into a small set of useful explanatory variables, standard approaches involve extracting information relevant to the entire dataset, and not targeted to a particular variable being forecasted. Supervised approaches to model specification do not do this, but instead penalize model specifications according to metrics designed to focus on the particular target variable(s) of interest. In order to evaluate the efficacy of supervised approaches, I carry out Monte Carlo simulations and empirical exercises and empirical results suggest that supervised approaches that are geared for the purpose of forecasting do serve its own purpose.

Advisors/Committee Members: Swanson, Norman R. (chair), Landon-Lane, John (internal member), Liao, Yuan (internal member), Kim, Hyun-Hak (outside member), School of Graduate Studies.

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting – Econometric models

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APA (6^th Edition):

Lee, Sungkyung, 1. (2018). Essays in macroeconomic forecasting and model evaluation. (Doctoral Dissertation). Rutgers University. Retrieved from https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/59155/

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Lee, Sungkyung, 1986-. “Essays in macroeconomic forecasting and model evaluation.” 2018. Doctoral Dissertation, Rutgers University. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/59155/.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Lee, Sungkyung, 1986-. “Essays in macroeconomic forecasting and model evaluation.” 2018. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Lee, Sungkyung 1. Essays in macroeconomic forecasting and model evaluation. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2018. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/59155/.

Council of Science Editors:

Lee, Sungkyung 1. Essays in macroeconomic forecasting and model evaluation. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2018. Available from: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/59155/

Rutgers University

9. Montero, Roque E. Forecasting and monetary policy analysis: new empirical evidence.

Degree: PhD, Economics, 2016, Rutgers University

URL: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50105/

► This dissertation presents new empirical evidence in two specific fields in economics: Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis. The dissertation comprises two separate but related papers,… (more)

▼ This dissertation presents new empirical evidence in two specific fields in economics: Forecasting and Monetary Policy Analysis. The dissertation comprises two separate but related papers, each of one tackles one of these two fields. The main objective aims to provide new lights and insights about specific questions that have been studied before in the literature, but using alternative methodological approaches to improve our understanding of the topics. In Chapter 2, I argue that the out-of-sample forecast performance of nonlinear models for the conditional mean has being underestimated in the literature because these models are highly parameterized and hence parameter estimation error can easily offset their predictive gains. Thus, I consider restricted versions of nonlinear models that are commonly used in forecast competition between linear and nonlinear models. The restrictions aim to reduce the number of parameters to estimate allowing the specification of parsimonious nonlinear models. This setting explores more deeply the space of nonlinear models in order to find a suitable specification able to boost the performance of this type of models. The empirical evaluation is conducted using a linear benchmark and both global and local test of forecast predictive accuracy. The main results can be summarized as follow. First, if forecast comparison between linear and nonlinear models excludes restricted nonlinear models then results are in line with previous findings. However, results change dramatically in some cases when restricted versions of nonlinear models are incorporated. In particular, I spot cases on which the mean square forecast error decreases by almost fifty percent relative to the benchmark model. These results give us new lights about the performance of nonlinear models and challenge the conventional view that the literature has about them because they show that their predictive gains may be elusive but that a simple exploration of their functional form may reveal significant predictive gains. In Chapter 3, I investigate the propagation of a foreign monetary policy shock over a small open economy, in particular over the Chilean economy. This is an joint research project with Jorge Fornero and Andres Yany from the Central Bank of Chile. Our motivation is base on the ongoing period of monetary normalization already started by the Fed. We follow Canova (2007) and compare the impulse response functions of Structural VAR models and a DSGE model tailored for the Chilean economy. We use the recursive VAR model of Sims (1980a) and an extension of the “agnostic” VAR model of Uhlig (2005) and Arias et al. (2014) for small open economies following Koop and Korobilis (2010). The results suggest that the recursive VAR model does not properly identify the shock and its implications are counterintuitive. On the contrary, beyond the quantitative differences, we find that the responses of the “agnostic” VAR model are in line qualitatively with those of the DSGE model except for output. However, the transmission… Advisors/Committee Members: Swanson, Norman (chair), Landon-Lane, John (internal member), Mizrach, Bruce (internal member), Chao, John (outside member).

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting; Economics, Mathematical; Economic policy

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APA (6^th Edition):

Montero, R. E. (2016). Forecasting and monetary policy analysis: new empirical evidence. (Doctoral Dissertation). Rutgers University. Retrieved from https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50105/

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Montero, Roque E. “Forecasting and monetary policy analysis: new empirical evidence.” 2016. Doctoral Dissertation, Rutgers University. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50105/.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Montero, Roque E. “Forecasting and monetary policy analysis: new empirical evidence.” 2016. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Montero RE. Forecasting and monetary policy analysis: new empirical evidence. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2016. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50105/.

Council of Science Editors:

Montero RE. Forecasting and monetary policy analysis: new empirical evidence. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2016. Available from: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/50105/

10. An, Zidong. Inattention, Uncertainty, and Macroeconomic Dynamics.

Degree: 2019, American University

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1961/auislandora:84459

►

This dissertation consists of three essays on expectation formation process.The first chapter estimates information stickiness using the common component of professional forecasters' inattention to many… (more)

▼

This dissertation consists of three essays on expectation formation process.The first chapter estimates information stickiness using the common component of professional forecasters' inattention to many economic variables. Information stickiness is hard to measure, but important for monetary policy effectiveness. Professional forecasters in the U.S. Survey of Professional Forecasters and cross-country Consensus Forecasts on average update information every three to four months. More importantly, forecaster inattention is state-dependent, and it is driven by both economic fundamentals and market volatility. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with inattentive firms, this chapter characterizes the relationship between inattention and monetary policy effectiveness. Using empirical analyses, this paper confirms that monetary policy is more effective when firms are inattentive. The second chapter discusses the assumption of sticky information model and derives two novel model implications. Both ex-ante forecast disagreement and ex-post forecast accuracy are associated with the level of inattention at individual level. Between ex-ante forecast disagreement and inattention, there is a U-shaped relationship. When an individual forecaster updates information much more or much less frequently relative to the average level, she tends to have larger disagreement. Between ex-post forecast accuracy and inattention, there is a strictly negative relationship. A forecaster who tends to update her forecast more frequently is expected to have more accurate forecast. Using micro-level data, this chapter finds that forecasters are not interchangeable in terms of their forecast disagreement, forecast accuracy, and inattention. Furthermore, their empirical relationships confirm the model implications. This chapter provides an assessment of the IMF's unemployment forecasts, which have not received much scrutiny to date. The focus is on the internal consistency of the IMF's growth and unemployment forecasts, and specifically on seeing whether the relationship between the two is consistent with the relationship in the data, i.e., with Okun's Law. We find that the average performance is good, in the sense that the relationship between growth and unemployment forecasts is fairly comparable to that which prevails in the data: on average, the Okun coefficient in the forecasts mirrors the Okun coefficient in the data. Nevertheless, there is room for improvement, particularly in the year-ahead forecasts and for the group of middle-income countries. We show that a linear combination of Okun-based unemployment forecasts and WEO unemployment forecasts can deliver significant gains in forecast accuracy for developing economies.

Economics

Forecast Accuracy, Forecast Disagreement, Inattention, Monetary Policy, Survey Forecast, Uncertainty

Economics

Degree Awarded: Ph.D. Economics. American University

Advisors/Committee Members: Sheng, Xuguang (Thesis advisor), Broder, Ivy (Other), Mathy, Gabriel (Other), Loungani, Prakash (Other).

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting; Monetary policy; Uncertainty – Economic aspects

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APA (6^th Edition):

An, Z. (2019). Inattention, Uncertainty, and Macroeconomic Dynamics. (Doctoral Dissertation). American University. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1961/auislandora:84459

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

An, Zidong. “Inattention, Uncertainty, and Macroeconomic Dynamics.” 2019. Doctoral Dissertation, American University. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/1961/auislandora:84459.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

An, Zidong. “Inattention, Uncertainty, and Macroeconomic Dynamics.” 2019. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

An Z. Inattention, Uncertainty, and Macroeconomic Dynamics. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. American University; 2019. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1961/auislandora:84459.

Council of Science Editors:

An Z. Inattention, Uncertainty, and Macroeconomic Dynamics. [Doctoral Dissertation]. American University; 2019. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1961/auislandora:84459

University of Oxford

11. Martinez, Andrew. General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts.

Degree: PhD, 2019, University of Oxford

URL: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199

► Multi-horizon forecasts from large scale models play important roles in ongoing policy debates across a wide range of disciplines. Although there are many ways to… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: 330; Econometric Models; Economic forecasting – Evaluation; Economic forecasting; Time-series analysis; Econometrics; Weather forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Martinez, A. (2019). General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oxford. Retrieved from http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Martinez, Andrew. “General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts.” 2019. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oxford. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Martinez, Andrew. “General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts.” 2019. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Martinez A. General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oxford; 2019. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199.

Council of Science Editors:

Martinez A. General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oxford; 2019. Available from: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199

Portland State University

12. Jolly, Richard Donald. The Role of Feedback in the Assimilation of Information in Prediction Markets.

Degree: PhD, Systems Science, 2011, Portland State University

URL: https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/468

► Leveraging the knowledge of an organization is an ongoing challenge that has given rise to the field of knowledge management. Yet, despite spending enormous… (more)

▼ Leveraging the knowledge of an organization is an ongoing challenge that has given rise to the field of knowledge management. Yet, despite spending enormous sums of organizational resources on Information Technology (IT) systems, executives recognize there is much more knowledge to harvest. Prediction markets are emerging as one tool to help extract this tacit knowledge and make it operational. Yet, prediction markets, like other markets, are subject to pathologies (e.g., bubbles and crashes) which compromise their accuracy and may discourage organizational use. The techniques of experimental economics were used to study the characteristics of prediction markets. Empirical data was gathered from an on-line asynchronous prediction market. Participants allocated tickets based on private information and, depending on the market type, public information indicative of how prior participants had allocated their tickets. The experimental design featured three levels of feedback (no-feedback, percentages of total allocated tickets and frequency of total allocated tickets) presented to the participants. The research supported the hypothesis that information assimilation in feedback markets is composed of two mechanisms - information collection and aggregation. These are defined as: Collection - The compilation of dispersed information - individuals using their own private information make judgments and act accordingly in the market. Aggregation - The market's judgment on the implications of this gathered information - an inductive process. This effect comes from participants integrating public information with their private information in their decision process. Information collection was studied in isolation in no feedback markets and the hypothesis that markets outperform the average of their participants was supported. The hypothesis that with the addition of feedback, the process of aggregation would be present was also supported. Aggregation was shown to create agreement in markets (as measured by entropy) and drive market results closer to correct values (the known probabilities). However, the research also supported the hypothesis that aggregation can lead to information mirages, creating a market bubble. The research showed that the presence and type of feedback can be used to modulate market performance. Adding feedback, or more informative feedback, increased the market's precision at the expense of accuracy. The research supported the hypotheses that these changes were due to the inductive aggregation process which creates agreement (increasing precision), but also occasionally generates information mirages (which reduces accuracy). The way individual participants use information to make allocations was characterized. In feedback markets the fit of participants' responses to various decision models demonstrated great variety. The decision models ranged from little use of information (e.g., MaxiMin), use of only private information (e.g., allocation in proportion to probabilities), use of only public information… Advisors/Committee Members: Wayne Wakeland.

Subjects/Keywords: Prediction market; Information aggregation; Feedback; Economic forecasting; Business forecasting; Knowledge management

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APA (6^th Edition):

Jolly, R. D. (2011). The Role of Feedback in the Assimilation of Information in Prediction Markets. (Doctoral Dissertation). Portland State University. Retrieved from https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/468

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Jolly, Richard Donald. “The Role of Feedback in the Assimilation of Information in Prediction Markets.” 2011. Doctoral Dissertation, Portland State University. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/468.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Jolly, Richard Donald. “The Role of Feedback in the Assimilation of Information in Prediction Markets.” 2011. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Jolly RD. The Role of Feedback in the Assimilation of Information in Prediction Markets. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Portland State University; 2011. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/468.

Council of Science Editors:

Jolly RD. The Role of Feedback in the Assimilation of Information in Prediction Markets. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Portland State University; 2011. Available from: https://pdxscholar.library.pdx.edu/open_access_etds/468

Michigan State University

13. Janell, Paul A. An empirical evaluation of the relationship between errors in analysts' forecasts of earnings per share and stock prices.

Degree: PhD, Department of Accounting and Financial Administration, 1974, Michigan State University

URL: http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:42587

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting; Stock price forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Janell, P. A. (1974). An empirical evaluation of the relationship between errors in analysts' forecasts of earnings per share and stock prices. (Doctoral Dissertation). Michigan State University. Retrieved from http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:42587

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Janell, Paul A. “An empirical evaluation of the relationship between errors in analysts' forecasts of earnings per share and stock prices.” 1974. Doctoral Dissertation, Michigan State University. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:42587.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Janell, Paul A. “An empirical evaluation of the relationship between errors in analysts' forecasts of earnings per share and stock prices.” 1974. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Janell PA. An empirical evaluation of the relationship between errors in analysts' forecasts of earnings per share and stock prices. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Michigan State University; 1974. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:42587.

Council of Science Editors:

Janell PA. An empirical evaluation of the relationship between errors in analysts' forecasts of earnings per share and stock prices. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Michigan State University; 1974. Available from: http://etd.lib.msu.edu/islandora/object/etd:42587

Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University

14. Giyose, Dorrington. Possible scenarios for Africa's economic futures towards 2055.

Degree: Faculty of Business and Economic Sciences, 2014, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021188

► This academic discourse is a research treatise that is submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the Masters in Business Administration (MBA) degree at the… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting – South Africa; Future, The

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APA (6^th Edition):

Giyose, D. (2014). Possible scenarios for Africa's economic futures towards 2055. (Thesis). Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021188

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Giyose, Dorrington. “Possible scenarios for Africa's economic futures towards 2055.” 2014. Thesis, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021188.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Giyose, Dorrington. “Possible scenarios for Africa's economic futures towards 2055.” 2014. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Giyose D. Possible scenarios for Africa's economic futures towards 2055. [Internet] [Thesis]. Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University; 2014. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021188.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Giyose D. Possible scenarios for Africa's economic futures towards 2055. [Thesis]. Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University; 2014. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1021188

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

15. Veliev, Raoul. Economic modelling of countries in transition and artificial intelligence applications to economic.

Degree: PhD, 2000, Federation University Australia

URL: http://researchonline.federation.edu.au/vital/access/HandleResolver/1959.17/164890 ; https://library.federation.edu.au/record=b1197843

►

The basic aims of this research were twofold. Firstly to develop a new macroeconomic model, which was aimed at capturing particularities of countries in transition… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Economics; Economic forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Veliev, R. (2000). Economic modelling of countries in transition and artificial intelligence applications to economic. (Doctoral Dissertation). Federation University Australia. Retrieved from http://researchonline.federation.edu.au/vital/access/HandleResolver/1959.17/164890 ; https://library.federation.edu.au/record=b1197843

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Veliev, Raoul. “Economic modelling of countries in transition and artificial intelligence applications to economic.” 2000. Doctoral Dissertation, Federation University Australia. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://researchonline.federation.edu.au/vital/access/HandleResolver/1959.17/164890 ; https://library.federation.edu.au/record=b1197843.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Veliev, Raoul. “Economic modelling of countries in transition and artificial intelligence applications to economic.” 2000. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Veliev R. Economic modelling of countries in transition and artificial intelligence applications to economic. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Federation University Australia; 2000. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://researchonline.federation.edu.au/vital/access/HandleResolver/1959.17/164890 ; https://library.federation.edu.au/record=b1197843.

Council of Science Editors:

Veliev R. Economic modelling of countries in transition and artificial intelligence applications to economic. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Federation University Australia; 2000. Available from: http://researchonline.federation.edu.au/vital/access/HandleResolver/1959.17/164890 ; https://library.federation.edu.au/record=b1197843

Georgia Tech

16. Chen, Yuang-Sung Al. Financial analyst forecast dispersion : determinants and usefulness as an ex-ante measure of risk.

Degree: PhD, Management, 1988, Georgia Tech

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1853/29391

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting; Econometrics

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Chen, Y. A. (1988). Financial analyst forecast dispersion : determinants and usefulness as an ex-ante measure of risk. (Doctoral Dissertation). Georgia Tech. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1853/29391

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Chen, Yuang-Sung Al. “Financial analyst forecast dispersion : determinants and usefulness as an ex-ante measure of risk.” 1988. Doctoral Dissertation, Georgia Tech. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/29391.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Chen, Yuang-Sung Al. “Financial analyst forecast dispersion : determinants and usefulness as an ex-ante measure of risk.” 1988. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Chen YA. Financial analyst forecast dispersion : determinants and usefulness as an ex-ante measure of risk. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Georgia Tech; 1988. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1853/29391.

Council of Science Editors:

Chen YA. Financial analyst forecast dispersion : determinants and usefulness as an ex-ante measure of risk. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Georgia Tech; 1988. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1853/29391

Rutgers University

17. Armah, Nii Ayi Christian, 1980. Essays in forecasting.

Degree: PhD, Economics, 2009, Rutgers University

URL: http://hdl.rutgers.edu/1782.2/rucore10001600001.ETD.000051172

►

This dissertation comprises three essays in macroeconomic forecasting. The first essay discusses model selection and predictive accuracy tests in the context of parameter and model… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Macroeconomics; Economic forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Armah, Nii Ayi Christian, 1. (2009). Essays in forecasting. (Doctoral Dissertation). Rutgers University. Retrieved from http://hdl.rutgers.edu/1782.2/rucore10001600001.ETD.000051172

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Armah, Nii Ayi Christian, 1980. “Essays in forecasting.” 2009. Doctoral Dissertation, Rutgers University. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.rutgers.edu/1782.2/rucore10001600001.ETD.000051172.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Armah, Nii Ayi Christian, 1980. “Essays in forecasting.” 2009. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Armah, Nii Ayi Christian 1. Essays in forecasting. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2009. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.rutgers.edu/1782.2/rucore10001600001.ETD.000051172.

Council of Science Editors:

Armah, Nii Ayi Christian 1. Essays in forecasting. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2009. Available from: http://hdl.rutgers.edu/1782.2/rucore10001600001.ETD.000051172

18. Cheng, Mingmian, 1990-. Essays on hypothesis testing and forecasting with high-frequency financial data.

Degree: PhD, Economics, 2018, Rutgers University

URL: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/57522/

► This dissertation studies methodologies for hypothesis testing and forecasting in financial econometrics, and comprises two essays on these topics, respectively. The first essay mainly aims… (more)

▼ This dissertation studies methodologies for hypothesis testing and forecasting in financial econometrics, and comprises two essays on these topics, respectively. The first essay mainly aims to shed light on the importance of the proper application of jump testing methods, while the second essay provides alternative methodological approaches to volatility forecasting. In Chapter 2, we examine and compare a variety of jump tests in the financial econometrics literature. Numerous tests designed to detect realized jumps over a fixed time span have been proposed and extensively studied in recent years. These tests differ from "long time span" jump tests that detect jumps by examining the magnitude of the intensity parameter in the data generating process of an asset. In this chapter, a long time span jump test thereof called the CSS test, which is a variant of Corradi et al. (2018), is compared with a variety of fixed time span jump tests, in a series of Monte Carlo experiments. The CSS test is consistent against the null hypothesis of zero jump intensity, while the fixed time span tests are not designed to detect jumps in the data generating process, and instead detect realized jumps over a fixed time span. An empirical investigation of individual, sector specific and market level stock prices is also carried out in order to contrast findings based on these different varieties of tests. The fixed time span tests examined include the higher order power variation ASJ test of Ait-Sahalia and Jacod (2009), the classic bipower variation BNS test of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2006), and the truncated power variation PZ test of Podolskij and Ziggel (2010). It is found that both the ASJ test and the CSS test exhibit good finite sample properties for time spans both short and long. The other tests suffer from finite sample distortions under long time spans. When applied to stock price and stock index data, the two aforementioned tests indicate that the prevalence of jumps is not as universal as might be expected. Various sector ETFs and individual stocks, for example, appear to exhibit no jumping behavior during a number of annual periods. In Chapter 3, we use factor-augmented heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR)-type models to predict the daily integrated volatility of asset returns. Our approach is based on a proposed two-step dimension reduction procedure designed to extract latent common volatility factors from a large dimensional and high-frequency returns dataset with 267 constituents of the S&P 500 index. In the first step, we apply either least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) or elastic net shrinkage on estimates of integrated volatility of all constituents in the dataset, in order to select a subset of asset return series for further processing. In the second step, we utilize (sparse) principal component analysis to estimate latent common asset return factors, from which latent integrated volatility factors are extracted. Although we find limited in-sample fit improvement, relative to a… Advisors/Committee Members: Swanson, Norman Rasmus (chair), Yang, Xiye (internal member), Liao, Yuan (internal member), Corradi, Valentina (outside member), School of Graduate Studies.

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting

…3.3. Dimension Reduction and Forecasting Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 3.3.1… …Analysis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 3.3.4. Forecasting Methods… …3.4.2. Empirical Findings: Forecasting Performance . . . . . . . . . . . 60 3.4.3. Empirical… …dissertation, hypothesis tests of continuous-time modeling and methods for volatility forecasting are… …Elusive Predictive Accuracy Gains When Forecasting Volatility”, we use factor-augmented…

1 more image…

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APA (6^th Edition):

Cheng, Mingmian, 1. (2018). Essays on hypothesis testing and forecasting with high-frequency financial data. (Doctoral Dissertation). Rutgers University. Retrieved from https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/57522/

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Cheng, Mingmian, 1990-. “Essays on hypothesis testing and forecasting with high-frequency financial data.” 2018. Doctoral Dissertation, Rutgers University. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/57522/.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Cheng, Mingmian, 1990-. “Essays on hypothesis testing and forecasting with high-frequency financial data.” 2018. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Cheng, Mingmian 1. Essays on hypothesis testing and forecasting with high-frequency financial data. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2018. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/57522/.

Council of Science Editors:

Cheng, Mingmian 1. Essays on hypothesis testing and forecasting with high-frequency financial data. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Rutgers University; 2018. Available from: https://rucore.libraries.rutgers.edu/rutgers-lib/57522/

University of Florida

19. Sorokina, Ekaterina Igorevna. Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage.

Degree: MS, Recreation, Parks, and Tourism - Tourism, Recreation, and Sport Management, 2013, University of Florida

URL: https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737

► The high number of closures within independently owned hotel sector has reached around 80% of all hotel closures in the US market in 2013. The lack… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Analytical forecasting; Data smoothing; Datasets; Economic models; Forecasting models; Forecasting techniques; Hotels; Sales forecasting; Time series forecasting; Time series models; forecasting – hotels – modelling – pricing

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APA (6^th Edition):

Sorokina, E. I. (2013). Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage. (Masters Thesis). University of Florida. Retrieved from https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Sorokina, Ekaterina Igorevna. “Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage.” 2013. Masters Thesis, University of Florida. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Sorokina, Ekaterina Igorevna. “Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage.” 2013. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Sorokina EI. Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. University of Florida; 2013. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737.

Council of Science Editors:

Sorokina EI. Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage. [Masters Thesis]. University of Florida; 2013. Available from: https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737

Georgia Tech

20. Richter, Thera Holland. Methodology of the economic base analysis.

Degree: MS, City Planning, 1959, Georgia Tech

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1853/20944

Subjects/Keywords: Economic surveys; Economic forecasting Methodology

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APA (6^th Edition):

Richter, T. H. (1959). Methodology of the economic base analysis. (Masters Thesis). Georgia Tech. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1853/20944

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Richter, Thera Holland. “Methodology of the economic base analysis.” 1959. Masters Thesis, Georgia Tech. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/1853/20944.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Richter, Thera Holland. “Methodology of the economic base analysis.” 1959. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Richter TH. Methodology of the economic base analysis. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Georgia Tech; 1959. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1853/20944.

Council of Science Editors:

Richter TH. Methodology of the economic base analysis. [Masters Thesis]. Georgia Tech; 1959. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1853/20944

Kansas State University

21. Fukasawa, Yoshikazu. Prospects for Japan's economic growth.

Degree: 1974, Kansas State University

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2097/8343

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting; Japan – Economic conditions

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APA (6^th Edition):

Fukasawa, Y. (1974). Prospects for Japan's economic growth. (Thesis). Kansas State University. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/2097/8343

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Fukasawa, Yoshikazu. “Prospects for Japan's economic growth.” 1974. Thesis, Kansas State University. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/2097/8343.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Fukasawa, Yoshikazu. “Prospects for Japan's economic growth.” 1974. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Fukasawa Y. Prospects for Japan's economic growth. [Internet] [Thesis]. Kansas State University; 1974. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/2097/8343.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Fukasawa Y. Prospects for Japan's economic growth. [Thesis]. Kansas State University; 1974. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/2097/8343

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of New South Wales

22. Elliott, Gregory Ronald. An open systems perspective of futures research.

Degree: Commerce. Marketing, 1985, University of New South Wales

URL: http://handle.unsw.edu.au/1959.4/63217 ; https://unsworks.unsw.edu.au/fapi/datastream/unsworks:59695/SOURCE01?view=true

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting; Forecasting; Economic forecasting; Financial institutions; Thesis Digitisation Program

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APA (6^th Edition):

Elliott, G. R. (1985). An open systems perspective of futures research. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of New South Wales. Retrieved from http://handle.unsw.edu.au/1959.4/63217 ; https://unsworks.unsw.edu.au/fapi/datastream/unsworks:59695/SOURCE01?view=true

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Elliott, Gregory Ronald. “An open systems perspective of futures research.” 1985. Doctoral Dissertation, University of New South Wales. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://handle.unsw.edu.au/1959.4/63217 ; https://unsworks.unsw.edu.au/fapi/datastream/unsworks:59695/SOURCE01?view=true.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Elliott, Gregory Ronald. “An open systems perspective of futures research.” 1985. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Elliott GR. An open systems perspective of futures research. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of New South Wales; 1985. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://handle.unsw.edu.au/1959.4/63217 ; https://unsworks.unsw.edu.au/fapi/datastream/unsworks:59695/SOURCE01?view=true.

Council of Science Editors:

Elliott GR. An open systems perspective of futures research. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of New South Wales; 1985. Available from: http://handle.unsw.edu.au/1959.4/63217 ; https://unsworks.unsw.edu.au/fapi/datastream/unsworks:59695/SOURCE01?view=true

Stellenbosch University

23. Steinbach, Max Rudibert. Essays on dynamic macroeconomics.

Degree: PhD, Economics, 2014, Stellenbosch University

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/86196

► ENGLISH ABSTRACT: In the first essay of this thesis, a medium scale DSGE model is developed and estimated for the South African economy. When used… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Economics; Macroeconomics – Econometric models; Economic forecasting – Econometric models; South Africa – Economic conditions – Econometric models; UCTD

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APA (6^th Edition):

Steinbach, M. R. (2014). Essays on dynamic macroeconomics. (Doctoral Dissertation). Stellenbosch University. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/86196

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Steinbach, Max Rudibert. “Essays on dynamic macroeconomics.” 2014. Doctoral Dissertation, Stellenbosch University. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/86196.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Steinbach, Max Rudibert. “Essays on dynamic macroeconomics.” 2014. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Steinbach MR. Essays on dynamic macroeconomics. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Stellenbosch University; 2014. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/86196.

Council of Science Editors:

Steinbach MR. Essays on dynamic macroeconomics. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Stellenbosch University; 2014. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10019.1/86196

University of Johannesburg

24. Nhlapo, Sibusiso Johannes. The potential short and long term benefits of major infrastructure projects to the South African economy.

Degree: 2014, University of Johannesburg

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/9698

►

M.Ing. (Engineering Management)

As a result of its direct relations with the different sectors of the economy, the construction industry is used as a tool… (more)

▼

M.Ing. (Engineering Management)

As a result of its direct relations with the different sectors of the economy, the construction industry is used as a tool by governments around the world for economic recovery. The South African government has taken such a stance following the 2008/2009 global financial crisis, by proposing the government‘s infrastructure spending and expansion programme for economic growth and development. The South African economy took a stalling from 4.1% in 2007 to 2.3% in 2008 and then turning negative in 2009. This research paper seeks to gather insight of the relationship between construction output and economic growth, as well as the potential long and short term benefits of major infrastructure projects to the South African economy. South Africa; as a developing country and with its construction industry currently in the upward trend, there are lessons that can be learnt from the developed countries. To this end, trends in construction output and GDP have been scrutinised to examine any pattern of development relating the construction industry and its relationship with the economy as a whole. The examination spanned over 32 countries grouped according to their respective development status. With South Africa‘s significant increase in the annual change in construction output between 2004 and 2008, amid developments of the FIFA world cup, confirmed the relation between construction investment and economic growth. The contribution of the construction industry to GDP for developed countries all follow the same trend of having high contributions in the beginning of development declining as less and less new infrastructure is required by the country. The contribution of construction averaged at 6 per cent for the entire duration of analysis between 1970 and 2011. Compared to international standards, South Africa‘s contribution of construction to GDP is determined to be very low at 3 per cent for the duration 1963 and 2011. Further, the construction industry has displayed characteristics of instability for South Africa when compared to developed countries over the same period.

Subjects/Keywords: Infrastructure (Economics) - South Africa; Construction projects - Economic aspects - South Africa; Economic forecasting - South Africa

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APA (6^th Edition):

Nhlapo, S. J. (2014). The potential short and long term benefits of major infrastructure projects to the South African economy. (Thesis). University of Johannesburg. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10210/9698

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Nhlapo, Sibusiso Johannes. “The potential short and long term benefits of major infrastructure projects to the South African economy.” 2014. Thesis, University of Johannesburg. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10210/9698.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Nhlapo, Sibusiso Johannes. “The potential short and long term benefits of major infrastructure projects to the South African economy.” 2014. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Nhlapo SJ. The potential short and long term benefits of major infrastructure projects to the South African economy. [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Johannesburg; 2014. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/9698.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Nhlapo SJ. The potential short and long term benefits of major infrastructure projects to the South African economy. [Thesis]. University of Johannesburg; 2014. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/9698

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Central Connecticut State University

25. Stefon, Adam Louis, 1984-. Brazil's emergence as a key player in international affairs: examining Brazil's potential to reshape the regional and global geopolitical landscape.

Degree: Department of International and Area Studies, 2010, Central Connecticut State University

URL: http://content.library.ccsu.edu/u?/ccsutheses,1622

► Brazil is rapidly transitioning into an economic superpower and key global player in the 21st century - a development that few if any could have… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Brazil – Foreign relations – 1985-; Brazil – Foreign economic relations; Geopolitics – Brazil; Economic forecasting – Brazil

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APA (6^th Edition):

Stefon, Adam Louis, 1. (2010). Brazil's emergence as a key player in international affairs: examining Brazil's potential to reshape the regional and global geopolitical landscape. (Thesis). Central Connecticut State University. Retrieved from http://content.library.ccsu.edu/u?/ccsutheses,1622

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Stefon, Adam Louis, 1984-. “Brazil's emergence as a key player in international affairs: examining Brazil's potential to reshape the regional and global geopolitical landscape.” 2010. Thesis, Central Connecticut State University. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://content.library.ccsu.edu/u?/ccsutheses,1622.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Stefon, Adam Louis, 1984-. “Brazil's emergence as a key player in international affairs: examining Brazil's potential to reshape the regional and global geopolitical landscape.” 2010. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Stefon, Adam Louis 1. Brazil's emergence as a key player in international affairs: examining Brazil's potential to reshape the regional and global geopolitical landscape. [Internet] [Thesis]. Central Connecticut State University; 2010. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://content.library.ccsu.edu/u?/ccsutheses,1622.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Stefon, Adam Louis 1. Brazil's emergence as a key player in international affairs: examining Brazil's potential to reshape the regional and global geopolitical landscape. [Thesis]. Central Connecticut State University; 2010. Available from: http://content.library.ccsu.edu/u?/ccsutheses,1622

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Montana

26. Sylvester, James T. Economic base model : alternative methods of analysis and their application to rural areas using covered wages and salaries.

Degree: MA, 1990, University of Montana

URL: https://scholarworks.umt.edu/etd/8437

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting Montana.; Economic indicators Montana.

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APA (6^th Edition):

Sylvester, J. T. (1990). Economic base model : alternative methods of analysis and their application to rural areas using covered wages and salaries. (Masters Thesis). University of Montana. Retrieved from https://scholarworks.umt.edu/etd/8437

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Sylvester, James T. “Economic base model : alternative methods of analysis and their application to rural areas using covered wages and salaries.” 1990. Masters Thesis, University of Montana. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://scholarworks.umt.edu/etd/8437.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Sylvester, James T. “Economic base model : alternative methods of analysis and their application to rural areas using covered wages and salaries.” 1990. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Sylvester JT. Economic base model : alternative methods of analysis and their application to rural areas using covered wages and salaries. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. University of Montana; 1990. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://scholarworks.umt.edu/etd/8437.

Council of Science Editors:

Sylvester JT. Economic base model : alternative methods of analysis and their application to rural areas using covered wages and salaries. [Masters Thesis]. University of Montana; 1990. Available from: https://scholarworks.umt.edu/etd/8437

NSYSU

27. Hsu, Min-chieh. Forecasting Taiwan's GDP,Export,Fixed Investment and Terms of Trade.

Degree: Master, Economics, 2016, NSYSU

URL: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0617116-185556

► Taiwan is an island surrounded by sea, so the economic growth mostly relies on international trade. Our paper is subject to discuss that the exports… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Export; Forecasting; Economic Growth; Factor-augmented Error Correction Models; Cointegration

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Hsu, M. (2016). Forecasting Taiwan's GDP,Export,Fixed Investment and Terms of Trade. (Thesis). NSYSU. Retrieved from http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0617116-185556

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Hsu, Min-chieh. “Forecasting Taiwan's GDP,Export,Fixed Investment and Terms of Trade.” 2016. Thesis, NSYSU. Accessed April 12, 2021. http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0617116-185556.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Hsu, Min-chieh. “Forecasting Taiwan's GDP,Export,Fixed Investment and Terms of Trade.” 2016. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Hsu M. Forecasting Taiwan's GDP,Export,Fixed Investment and Terms of Trade. [Internet] [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2016. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0617116-185556.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Hsu M. Forecasting Taiwan's GDP,Export,Fixed Investment and Terms of Trade. [Thesis]. NSYSU; 2016. Available from: http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0617116-185556

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Ryerson University

28. Hosseinizadeh, Pouyan. Predicting system collapse : application of kernel-based machine learning and inclination analysis.

Degree: 2009, Ryerson University

URL: https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A1314

► While many modelling methods have been developed and introduced to predict the actual state of a system at the next point of time, the purpose… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Finance – Mathematical models; Investments – Mathematics; Economic forecasting – Econometric models; Kernel functions

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Hosseinizadeh, P. (2009). Predicting system collapse : application of kernel-based machine learning and inclination analysis. (Thesis). Ryerson University. Retrieved from https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A1314

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Hosseinizadeh, Pouyan. “Predicting system collapse : application of kernel-based machine learning and inclination analysis.” 2009. Thesis, Ryerson University. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A1314.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Hosseinizadeh, Pouyan. “Predicting system collapse : application of kernel-based machine learning and inclination analysis.” 2009. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Hosseinizadeh P. Predicting system collapse : application of kernel-based machine learning and inclination analysis. [Internet] [Thesis]. Ryerson University; 2009. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A1314.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Hosseinizadeh P. Predicting system collapse : application of kernel-based machine learning and inclination analysis. [Thesis]. Ryerson University; 2009. Available from: https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A1314

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Ryerson University

29. Kankanamalage, Chandrabhanu Opathella Ganehi. Techno-economic models for integration of wind energy.

Degree: 2013, Ryerson University

URL: https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A2752

► This thesis focuses on three specific areas of integrating wind energy with power systems: 1) technical modeling of wind generators for power flow analysis, 2)… (more)

▼ This thesis focuses on three specific areas of integrating wind energy with power systems: 1) technical modeling of wind generators for power flow analysis, 2) probabilistic modeling of wind generators for planning studies, and 3) economic modeling for integration of wind energy in electricity markets. Wind generator output is a function of wind speed and 3-phase terminal voltages. Complete nonlinear three-phase models of wind generators are accurate but are computationally cumbersome and unsuitable for power flow analysis purposes. Intelligent models of wind generators are proposed for their accurate representation and use in power flow analysis algorithms. The main advantages of these intelligent models of wind generators are their mathematical simplicity, computational speed and numerical accuracy when the generators are connected to unbalanced three-phase distribution systems. These proposed intelligent models of wind generators were tested with the three-phase, unbalanced, IEEE 37-bus test system. The results show that the intelligent models of wind generators are computationally ten times faster than exact nonlinear models. In addition, simplicity of the proposed intelligent models of wind generators allows easy integration into commercial software such as PSS®E and PSS®SINCAL. In the second study, a probabilistic model of wind generators was integrated with algorithm for distribution system analysis. The proposed probabilistic power flow analysis method for distribution systems takes into account the stochastic nature of wind generation and forecasted bus-wise peak load. Probability distribution functions for bus voltages are reconstructed. The proposed method is tested on a modified 70-bus distribution system and the results are reported. Thirdly, an economic integration model for wind generators with electricity markets is proposed. The proposed model is in the form of a Wind Generators Cooperative (WGC). This proposed model overcomes challenges posed by uncertainty and intermittency of wind generation. The proposed cooperative model maximizes returns for wind generators by minimizing the effect of uncertainty by smoothing effect and using pumped-hydro facilities. A case study with actual data from Ontario (Canada) was completed. Analyses clearly demonstrate that the WGC increases returns to wind generators and reduces their exposure to uncertainty. Advisors/Committee Members: Venkatesh, Bala (Degree supervisor), Singh, B. N. (Degree supervisor), Ryerson University (Degree grantor).

Subjects/Keywords: Wind power.; Wind power – Economic aspects – Ontario – Case studies.; Wind forecasting.

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Kankanamalage, C. O. G. (2013). Techno-economic models for integration of wind energy. (Thesis). Ryerson University. Retrieved from https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A2752

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Kankanamalage, Chandrabhanu Opathella Ganehi. “Techno-economic models for integration of wind energy.” 2013. Thesis, Ryerson University. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A2752.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Kankanamalage, Chandrabhanu Opathella Ganehi. “Techno-economic models for integration of wind energy.” 2013. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Kankanamalage COG. Techno-economic models for integration of wind energy. [Internet] [Thesis]. Ryerson University; 2013. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A2752.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Kankanamalage COG. Techno-economic models for integration of wind energy. [Thesis]. Ryerson University; 2013. Available from: https://digital.library.ryerson.ca/islandora/object/RULA%3A2752

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Alberta

30. McIntyre, B. E. An economic forecasting model.

Degree: MS, Department of Mechanical Engineering, 1988, University of Alberta

URL: https://era.library.ualberta.ca/files/vt150m64k

Subjects/Keywords: Economic forecasting – Mathematical models.

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

McIntyre, B. E. (1988). An economic forecasting model. (Masters Thesis). University of Alberta. Retrieved from https://era.library.ualberta.ca/files/vt150m64k

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

McIntyre, B E. “An economic forecasting model.” 1988. Masters Thesis, University of Alberta. Accessed April 12, 2021. https://era.library.ualberta.ca/files/vt150m64k.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

McIntyre, B E. “An economic forecasting model.” 1988. Web. 12 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

McIntyre BE. An economic forecasting model. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. University of Alberta; 1988. [cited 2021 Apr 12]. Available from: https://era.library.ualberta.ca/files/vt150m64k.

Council of Science Editors:

McIntyre BE. An economic forecasting model. [Masters Thesis]. University of Alberta; 1988. Available from: https://era.library.ualberta.ca/files/vt150m64k

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Open Access Theses and Dissertations