subject:( Forecasting )

University of Johannesburg

1. Mohapi, Alphons. The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa.

Degree: 2013, University of Johannesburg

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M.Comm. (Financial Economics)

The term structure of interest rates, particularly the term spread determined from the difference between ten-year government bond yields and three-month Treasury… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Recessions - Forecasting; Economic forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Mohapi, A. (2013). The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa. (Thesis). University of Johannesburg. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10210/8559

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Mohapi, Alphons. “The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa.” 2013. Thesis, University of Johannesburg. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10210/8559.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Mohapi, Alphons. “The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa.” 2013. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Mohapi A. The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa. [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Johannesburg; 2013. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/8559.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Mohapi A. The explanatory power of the yield curve in predicting recessions in South Africa. [Thesis]. University of Johannesburg; 2013. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/8559

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Oregon State University

2. Tirakitti, Sunthorn. An investigation of the effects of information displays on human forecasting performance.

Degree: MS, Industrial and General Engineering, 1977, Oregon State University

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1957/43779

► With increasing frequency man is required to operate as a controller of complex processes. Although his ability to operate quickly varying processes has been extensively… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Tirakitti, S. (1977). An investigation of the effects of information displays on human forecasting performance. (Masters Thesis). Oregon State University. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1957/43779

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Tirakitti, Sunthorn. “An investigation of the effects of information displays on human forecasting performance.” 1977. Masters Thesis, Oregon State University. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/1957/43779.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Tirakitti, Sunthorn. “An investigation of the effects of information displays on human forecasting performance.” 1977. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Tirakitti S. An investigation of the effects of information displays on human forecasting performance. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Oregon State University; 1977. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1957/43779.

Council of Science Editors:

Tirakitti S. An investigation of the effects of information displays on human forecasting performance. [Masters Thesis]. Oregon State University; 1977. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1957/43779

Universidad de Cantabria

3. García Manzanas, Rodrigo. Statistical downscaling of precipitation in seasonal forecasting: advantages and limitations of different approaches: Regionalización estadística de precipitación en la predicción estacional : ventajas y limitaciones de distintas estrategias.

Degree: 2016, Universidad de Cantabria

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10902/9718

► ABSTRACT: Seasonal climate predictions have a great number of applications and can help decision-making in many important socioeconomic sectors. However, the low spatial resolution (around… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Seasonal forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

García Manzanas, R. (2016). Statistical downscaling of precipitation in seasonal forecasting: advantages and limitations of different approaches: Regionalización estadística de precipitación en la predicción estacional : ventajas y limitaciones de distintas estrategias. (Doctoral Dissertation). Universidad de Cantabria. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10902/9718

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

García Manzanas, Rodrigo. “Statistical downscaling of precipitation in seasonal forecasting: advantages and limitations of different approaches: Regionalización estadística de precipitación en la predicción estacional : ventajas y limitaciones de distintas estrategias.” 2016. Doctoral Dissertation, Universidad de Cantabria. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10902/9718.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

García Manzanas, Rodrigo. “Statistical downscaling of precipitation in seasonal forecasting: advantages and limitations of different approaches: Regionalización estadística de precipitación en la predicción estacional : ventajas y limitaciones de distintas estrategias.” 2016. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

García Manzanas R. Statistical downscaling of precipitation in seasonal forecasting: advantages and limitations of different approaches: Regionalización estadística de precipitación en la predicción estacional : ventajas y limitaciones de distintas estrategias. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Universidad de Cantabria; 2016. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10902/9718.

Council of Science Editors:

García Manzanas R. Statistical downscaling of precipitation in seasonal forecasting: advantages and limitations of different approaches: Regionalización estadística de precipitación en la predicción estacional : ventajas y limitaciones de distintas estrategias. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Universidad de Cantabria; 2016. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10902/9718

University of Johannesburg

4. Barreira, Jose. Development of a sales forecasting model for canopy windows.

Degree: 2014, University of Johannesburg

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/11467

►

M.Com. (Business Management)

Forecasting is an important function used in a wide range of business planning or decision-making situations. The purpose ofthis study was to… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Sales forecasting; Sales forecasting model - Development

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APA (6^th Edition):

Barreira, J. (2014). Development of a sales forecasting model for canopy windows. (Thesis). University of Johannesburg. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10210/11467

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Barreira, Jose. “Development of a sales forecasting model for canopy windows.” 2014. Thesis, University of Johannesburg. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10210/11467.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Barreira, Jose. “Development of a sales forecasting model for canopy windows.” 2014. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Barreira J. Development of a sales forecasting model for canopy windows. [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Johannesburg; 2014. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/11467.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Barreira J. Development of a sales forecasting model for canopy windows. [Thesis]. University of Johannesburg; 2014. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10210/11467

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Oxford

5. Furman, Yoel Avraham. Forecasting with large datasets.

Degree: PhD, 2014, University of Oxford

URL: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701

► This thesis analyzes estimation methods and testing procedures for handling large data series. The first chapter introduces the use of the adaptive elastic net, and… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: 330.01; Economic forecasting; Finance – Forecasting; Econometrics

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APA (6^th Edition):

Furman, Y. A. (2014). Forecasting with large datasets. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oxford. Retrieved from http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Furman, Yoel Avraham. “Forecasting with large datasets.” 2014. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oxford. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Furman, Yoel Avraham. “Forecasting with large datasets.” 2014. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Furman YA. Forecasting with large datasets. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oxford; 2014. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701.

Council of Science Editors:

Furman YA. Forecasting with large datasets. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oxford; 2014. Available from: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:69f2833b-cc53-457a-8426-37c06df85bc2 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.711701

Colorado School of Mines

6. Williams, John. Building a better wind forecast: a stochastic forecast system using a fully-coupled hydrologic-atmospheric model.

Degree: PhD, Geology and Geological Engineering, 2012, Colorado School of Mines

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11124/76832

► Wind power is rapidly gaining prominence as a major source of renewable energy. Harnessing this promising energy source is challenging because of the intermittent nature… (more)

▼ Wind power is rapidly gaining prominence as a major source of renewable energy. Harnessing this promising energy source is challenging because of the intermittent nature of wind and its propensity to change speed and direction over short time scales. Accurate forecasting tools are critical to support the integration of wind energy into power grids and to maximize its impact on renewable energy portfolios. A numerical weather prediction tool is limited by model errors arising from simplifications in the way it represents the physics of the natural system. Land surface - atmosphere feedbacks are strongly dependent on both atmospheric processes and hydrologic processes at and below the land surface. It has been shown in the literature that improving the physical representation of these feedbacks leads to better forecast results for precipitation distribution and wind speeds. Key to this physical representation is soil moisture distribution. By using PF.WRF, a fully-coupled hydrologic and atmospheric model incorporating the ParFlow hydrologic model in the the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric code, it is possible to dynamically simulate water movements in the subsurface generating more realistic soil moisture fields to interact directly with atmospheric processes. This work traces uncertainty propagation from subsurface hydraulic conductivity through soil moisture and latent heat flux and into the atmosphere to analyze its impact on wind speed, the extent of that impact in the presence of prevailing winds, and the length scales over which that impact is important. A data assimilation system using an implementation of the ensemble Kalman filter is developed and verified to reduce uncertainty in simulated wind speed by informing the forecast system with observed soil moisture values, demonstrating that even in a small model domain wind speed is sensitive to variation in soil moisture distribution. Advisors/Committee Members: Maxwell, Reed M. (advisor), Cohen, Ronald R. H. (committee member), Delle Monache, Luca (committee member), Hering, Amanda S. (committee member), Lundquist, Julie K. (committee member).

Subjects/Keywords: Wind forecasting; Wind power – Forecasting; Stochastic analysis

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APA (6^th Edition):

Williams, J. (2012). Building a better wind forecast: a stochastic forecast system using a fully-coupled hydrologic-atmospheric model. (Doctoral Dissertation). Colorado School of Mines. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11124/76832

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Williams, John. “Building a better wind forecast: a stochastic forecast system using a fully-coupled hydrologic-atmospheric model.” 2012. Doctoral Dissertation, Colorado School of Mines. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11124/76832.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Williams, John. “Building a better wind forecast: a stochastic forecast system using a fully-coupled hydrologic-atmospheric model.” 2012. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Williams J. Building a better wind forecast: a stochastic forecast system using a fully-coupled hydrologic-atmospheric model. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Colorado School of Mines; 2012. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11124/76832.

Council of Science Editors:

Williams J. Building a better wind forecast: a stochastic forecast system using a fully-coupled hydrologic-atmospheric model. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Colorado School of Mines; 2012. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11124/76832

University of Oklahoma

7. Marsh, Patrick T. A method for calibrating probabilistic forecasts.

Degree: PhD, 2013, University of Oklahoma

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318661

► This study concludes by applying this calibration method to the individual members of a 15 member high resolution ensemble forecast system. Results reveal that each… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Numerical weather forecasting; Weather forecasting – Mathematical models

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APA (6^th Edition):

Marsh, P. T. (2013). A method for calibrating probabilistic forecasts. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oklahoma. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318661

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Marsh, Patrick T. “A method for calibrating probabilistic forecasts.” 2013. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oklahoma. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318661.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Marsh, Patrick T. “A method for calibrating probabilistic forecasts.” 2013. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Marsh PT. A method for calibrating probabilistic forecasts. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2013. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318661.

Council of Science Editors:

Marsh PT. A method for calibrating probabilistic forecasts. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2013. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318661

University of Oklahoma

8. Snook, Nathan A. Assimilation of CASA and WSR-88D Radar Data for Tornadic Convective Storms using an Ensemble Kalman Filter and Applications in Probabilistic Ensemble Forecasting.

Degree: PhD, 2011, University of Oklahoma

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318686

► Sensitivity to the assumed observation error used during EnKF data assimilation is noted in the nested-grid experiments. Experiments using assumed observation errors of 2 ms-1… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Doppler radar; Tornadoes – Forecasting; Thunderstorm forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Snook, N. A. (2011). Assimilation of CASA and WSR-88D Radar Data for Tornadic Convective Storms using an Ensemble Kalman Filter and Applications in Probabilistic Ensemble Forecasting. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oklahoma. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318686

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Snook, Nathan A. “Assimilation of CASA and WSR-88D Radar Data for Tornadic Convective Storms using an Ensemble Kalman Filter and Applications in Probabilistic Ensemble Forecasting.” 2011. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oklahoma. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318686.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Snook, Nathan A. “Assimilation of CASA and WSR-88D Radar Data for Tornadic Convective Storms using an Ensemble Kalman Filter and Applications in Probabilistic Ensemble Forecasting.” 2011. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Snook NA. Assimilation of CASA and WSR-88D Radar Data for Tornadic Convective Storms using an Ensemble Kalman Filter and Applications in Probabilistic Ensemble Forecasting. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2011. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318686.

Council of Science Editors:

Snook NA. Assimilation of CASA and WSR-88D Radar Data for Tornadic Convective Storms using an Ensemble Kalman Filter and Applications in Probabilistic Ensemble Forecasting. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2011. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318686

University of Oklahoma

9. Ge, Guoqing. ON THE FURTHER STUDIES OF SUITABLE STORM-SCALE 3DVAR DATA ASSIMILATION FOR THE PREDICTION OF TORNADIC THUNDERSTORMS.

Degree: PhD, 2011, University of Oklahoma

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/319176

► To help boost dynamic consistency among model variables, the storm-scale diagnostic pressure equation is incorporated into the storm-scale 3DVAR cost function in the form of… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Thunderstorm forecasting; Weather forecasting; Tornadoes; Doppler radar

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APA (6^th Edition):

Ge, G. (2011). ON THE FURTHER STUDIES OF SUITABLE STORM-SCALE 3DVAR DATA ASSIMILATION FOR THE PREDICTION OF TORNADIC THUNDERSTORMS. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oklahoma. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11244/319176

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Ge, Guoqing. “ON THE FURTHER STUDIES OF SUITABLE STORM-SCALE 3DVAR DATA ASSIMILATION FOR THE PREDICTION OF TORNADIC THUNDERSTORMS.” 2011. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oklahoma. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11244/319176.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Ge, Guoqing. “ON THE FURTHER STUDIES OF SUITABLE STORM-SCALE 3DVAR DATA ASSIMILATION FOR THE PREDICTION OF TORNADIC THUNDERSTORMS.” 2011. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Ge G. ON THE FURTHER STUDIES OF SUITABLE STORM-SCALE 3DVAR DATA ASSIMILATION FOR THE PREDICTION OF TORNADIC THUNDERSTORMS. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2011. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/319176.

Council of Science Editors:

Ge G. ON THE FURTHER STUDIES OF SUITABLE STORM-SCALE 3DVAR DATA ASSIMILATION FOR THE PREDICTION OF TORNADIC THUNDERSTORMS. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2011. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/319176

University of Oklahoma

10. Gibbs, Jeremy Alan. DOWNSCALING TECHNIQUES FOR RETRIEVAL OF NEAR-SURFACE METEOROLOGICAL FIELDS AND TURBULENCE PARAMETERS FROM ATMOSPHERIC NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.

Degree: PhD, 2012, University of Oklahoma

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318674

► Mean fields of meteorological quantities predicted by the WRF model in a mesoscale configuration generally compare favor- ably with observational and LES data. However, inspection… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Numerical weather forecasting; Weather forecasting – Mathematical models

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APA (6^th Edition):

Gibbs, J. A. (2012). DOWNSCALING TECHNIQUES FOR RETRIEVAL OF NEAR-SURFACE METEOROLOGICAL FIELDS AND TURBULENCE PARAMETERS FROM ATMOSPHERIC NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oklahoma. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318674

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Gibbs, Jeremy Alan. “DOWNSCALING TECHNIQUES FOR RETRIEVAL OF NEAR-SURFACE METEOROLOGICAL FIELDS AND TURBULENCE PARAMETERS FROM ATMOSPHERIC NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.” 2012. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oklahoma. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318674.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Gibbs, Jeremy Alan. “DOWNSCALING TECHNIQUES FOR RETRIEVAL OF NEAR-SURFACE METEOROLOGICAL FIELDS AND TURBULENCE PARAMETERS FROM ATMOSPHERIC NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.” 2012. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Gibbs JA. DOWNSCALING TECHNIQUES FOR RETRIEVAL OF NEAR-SURFACE METEOROLOGICAL FIELDS AND TURBULENCE PARAMETERS FROM ATMOSPHERIC NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2012. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318674.

Council of Science Editors:

Gibbs JA. DOWNSCALING TECHNIQUES FOR RETRIEVAL OF NEAR-SURFACE METEOROLOGICAL FIELDS AND TURBULENCE PARAMETERS FROM ATMOSPHERIC NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2012. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/318674

University of Oklahoma

11. Fan, Yun. Cross-Sectional Determinants of the Impact of Management Cash Flow Forecasts.

Degree: PhD, 2011, University of Oklahoma

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/320297

► I examine the impact of management cash flow forecasts on market participants, including investors and analysts. I posit and find that the news in management… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Cash flow – Forecasting; Corporate profits – Forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Fan, Y. (2011). Cross-Sectional Determinants of the Impact of Management Cash Flow Forecasts. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oklahoma. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11244/320297

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Fan, Yun. “Cross-Sectional Determinants of the Impact of Management Cash Flow Forecasts.” 2011. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oklahoma. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11244/320297.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Fan, Yun. “Cross-Sectional Determinants of the Impact of Management Cash Flow Forecasts.” 2011. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Fan Y. Cross-Sectional Determinants of the Impact of Management Cash Flow Forecasts. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2011. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/320297.

Council of Science Editors:

Fan Y. Cross-Sectional Determinants of the Impact of Management Cash Flow Forecasts. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2011. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/320297

12. Fernandes Filho, Roberto Braga. Integração de modelos de previsão de demanda qualitativos e quantitativos e comparação com seus desempenhos individuais.

Degree: 2015, Brazil

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10183/117896

►

Um bom sistema de previsão de demanda é um dos passos para o sucesso de uma empresa. Previsões com baixos erros permitem a manutenção de… (more)

▼

Um bom sistema de previsão de demanda é um dos passos para o sucesso de uma empresa. Previsões com baixos erros permitem a manutenção de um estoque reduzido, uma ocupação de fábrica e uma gestão financeira mais eficiente, em conjunto com outros benefícios trazidos por um sistema confiável. Há diversas formas de realizar uma previsão, mas há anos a que vem sendo considerada mais promissora é a que integra métodos quantitativos e qualitativos. Ambos os métodos possuem vantagens exclusivas, o que torna a integração particularmente interessante. Este trabalho visa o desenvolvimento e teste de um sistema de previsão em uma empresa de grande porte, a fim de disponibilizar uma forma confiável de integração de métodos. Busca ainda validar o auxilio de especialistas nos ajustes de previsão de forma que os problemas provenientes do julgamento humano possam ser evitados. Uma comparação entre as várias previsões realizadas é apresentada, de forma que o leitor possa interpretá-las e julgar quais possam ser as mais adequadas à situação em que se encontra.

A good forecasting system is one of the steps to the success of a company. Forecasts with small errors enable the maintenance of a reduced inventory, a more efficient factory occupation and financial management, together with other benefits provided by a reliable system. There are several ways to make a forecast, but for years the quantitative and qualitative methods integrated has been considered more promising. Both methods have unique advantages which makes it particularly interesting integration. This paper aims to develop and test a forecasting system in a large company in order to provide a reliable form of integration methods. It also seeks to validate the aid of experts in the predictive adjustments so that problems derived from the human judgment can be avoided. A comparison of the various forecasts made is provided in a way that the reader can interpret them and judge which may be the most appropriate to the situation you are in.

Advisors/Committee Members: Cassel, Ricardo Augusto.

Subjects/Keywords: Previsão de demanda; Demand; Forecasting; Integrated forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Fernandes Filho, R. B. (2015). Integração de modelos de previsão de demanda qualitativos e quantitativos e comparação com seus desempenhos individuais. (Masters Thesis). Brazil. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10183/117896

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Fernandes Filho, Roberto Braga. “Integração de modelos de previsão de demanda qualitativos e quantitativos e comparação com seus desempenhos individuais.” 2015. Masters Thesis, Brazil. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10183/117896.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Fernandes Filho, Roberto Braga. “Integração de modelos de previsão de demanda qualitativos e quantitativos e comparação com seus desempenhos individuais.” 2015. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Fernandes Filho RB. Integração de modelos de previsão de demanda qualitativos e quantitativos e comparação com seus desempenhos individuais. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Brazil; 2015. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10183/117896.

Council of Science Editors:

Fernandes Filho RB. Integração de modelos de previsão de demanda qualitativos e quantitativos e comparação com seus desempenhos individuais. [Masters Thesis]. Brazil; 2015. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10183/117896

Penn State University

13. Boden, Joshua Randal. Regime Dependent Bias Correction of Ensemble Output.

Degree: 2013, Penn State University

URL: https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/18777

► Today’s most commonly used point sensible weather forecasting guidance (MOS) does not fully exploit recent increases in modeling prowess and continues to struggle with atmospheric… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Ensemble; Regime; Forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Boden, J. R. (2013). Regime Dependent Bias Correction of Ensemble Output. (Thesis). Penn State University. Retrieved from https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/18777

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Boden, Joshua Randal. “Regime Dependent Bias Correction of Ensemble Output.” 2013. Thesis, Penn State University. Accessed April 21, 2021. https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/18777.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Boden, Joshua Randal. “Regime Dependent Bias Correction of Ensemble Output.” 2013. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Boden JR. Regime Dependent Bias Correction of Ensemble Output. [Internet] [Thesis]. Penn State University; 2013. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/18777.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Boden JR. Regime Dependent Bias Correction of Ensemble Output. [Thesis]. Penn State University; 2013. Available from: https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/18777

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Penn State University

14. York, Jason Christopher. Evaluating the Performance and Accuracy of Forecasting Incident Rates for Mining Operations.

Degree: 2015, Penn State University

URL: https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/27493

► The push for increased safety in the workplace has led to advancements in regulations, technology, and techniques; many of which, have resulted in a reduction… (more)

▼ The push for increased safety in the workplace has led to advancements in regulations, technology, and techniques; many of which, have resulted in a reduction of incidents that affect employees, equipment, and the environment. Unfortunately, the potential benefits of a safety program are only realized after an incident has occurred. Resource allocation in an organization’s safety programs has the important task of balancing cost versus often unseen benefits. One way that safety professionals can provide an estimate of the potential return on investment is to estimate how incident rates can change, based upon different resource allocation strategies. Previous studies have utilized four different statistical forecasting methods (moving average, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing, and double exponential smoothing) to predict how incident rates are affected by changes in the allocation of resources. This study evaluates the incident rate prediction performance of five different statistical forecasting methods—the four above as well as a new method (auto regressive moving average) which has never been used in prior resource allocation studies. This study evaluates the accuracy of the forecasting methods on common data sets to provide a commensurable comparison of the methods , in order to assess which forecast methods should be considered for incident rate prediction. This study finds that the double exponential smoothing and auto regressive moving average methods provide the most accurate incident rate predictions based on the datasets utilized. For the two test data sets, the double exponential smoothing method has a forecast accuracy of 92.95% and the auto regressive moving average method has a forecast accuracy of 91.85%. Both methods resulted in a coefficient of determination above the accuracy measure (0.50), with an average R2 of 0.78 for the double exponential smoothing method and 0.80 for the auto regressive moving average method. In contrast, the exponential smoothing method was least accurate with an average forecast accuracy of 78.31% and a coefficient of determination of 0.56. This result is explained by the fact that the datasets tested demonstrated a decreasing linear trend, and the exponential smoothing method does not forecast as well with data that demonstrates trends. While the measures of the other three methods tested were less accurate than the double exponential smoothing and ARMA methods, their performance is still above the levels of accuracy defined in this study. Advisors/Committee Members: Jeremy Michael Gernand, Thesis Advisor/Co-Advisor.

Subjects/Keywords: Incident Rates; Forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

York, J. C. (2015). Evaluating the Performance and Accuracy of Forecasting Incident Rates for Mining Operations. (Thesis). Penn State University. Retrieved from https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/27493

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

York, Jason Christopher. “Evaluating the Performance and Accuracy of Forecasting Incident Rates for Mining Operations.” 2015. Thesis, Penn State University. Accessed April 21, 2021. https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/27493.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

York, Jason Christopher. “Evaluating the Performance and Accuracy of Forecasting Incident Rates for Mining Operations.” 2015. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

York JC. Evaluating the Performance and Accuracy of Forecasting Incident Rates for Mining Operations. [Internet] [Thesis]. Penn State University; 2015. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/27493.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

York JC. Evaluating the Performance and Accuracy of Forecasting Incident Rates for Mining Operations. [Thesis]. Penn State University; 2015. Available from: https://submit-etda.libraries.psu.edu/catalog/27493

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Calgary

15. Tracz, David. Deep snow slab avalanches .

Degree: 2012, University of Calgary

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1880/49102; http://dx.doi.org/10.11575/PRISM/20529

► Deep slab avalanches are a unique and difficult-to-forecast natural hazard. This thesis analyzed a variety of data sources from southwestern Canada including two large databases… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Snow Avalanche; Forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Tracz, D. (2012). Deep snow slab avalanches . (Thesis). University of Calgary. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/1880/49102; http://dx.doi.org/10.11575/PRISM/20529

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Tracz, David. “Deep snow slab avalanches .” 2012. Thesis, University of Calgary. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/1880/49102; http://dx.doi.org/10.11575/PRISM/20529.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Tracz, David. “Deep snow slab avalanches .” 2012. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Tracz D. Deep snow slab avalanches . [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Calgary; 2012. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1880/49102; http://dx.doi.org/10.11575/PRISM/20529.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Tracz D. Deep snow slab avalanches . [Thesis]. University of Calgary; 2012. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/1880/49102; http://dx.doi.org/10.11575/PRISM/20529

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Wisconsin-Stout

16. Feldman, Tyler L. Implementation of forecasting metrics to improve order fulfillment and inventory velocity.

Degree: 2019, University of Wisconsin-Stout

URL: http://digital.library.wisc.edu/1793/79604 ; http://www2.uwstout.edu/content/lib/thesis/2019/2019feldmant.pdf

► When important strategic and tactical decisions and operational plans are made based on forecast, it is imperative to have as accurate of a forecast as… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Forecasting; Performance – Measurement

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APA (6^th Edition):

Feldman, T. L. (2019). Implementation of forecasting metrics to improve order fulfillment and inventory velocity. (Thesis). University of Wisconsin-Stout. Retrieved from http://digital.library.wisc.edu/1793/79604 ; http://www2.uwstout.edu/content/lib/thesis/2019/2019feldmant.pdf

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Feldman, Tyler L. “Implementation of forecasting metrics to improve order fulfillment and inventory velocity.” 2019. Thesis, University of Wisconsin-Stout. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://digital.library.wisc.edu/1793/79604 ; http://www2.uwstout.edu/content/lib/thesis/2019/2019feldmant.pdf.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Feldman, Tyler L. “Implementation of forecasting metrics to improve order fulfillment and inventory velocity.” 2019. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Feldman TL. Implementation of forecasting metrics to improve order fulfillment and inventory velocity. [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Wisconsin-Stout; 2019. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://digital.library.wisc.edu/1793/79604 ; http://www2.uwstout.edu/content/lib/thesis/2019/2019feldmant.pdf.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Feldman TL. Implementation of forecasting metrics to improve order fulfillment and inventory velocity. [Thesis]. University of Wisconsin-Stout; 2019. Available from: http://digital.library.wisc.edu/1793/79604 ; http://www2.uwstout.edu/content/lib/thesis/2019/2019feldmant.pdf

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Delft University of Technology

17. Ozkale, B. (author). Forecasting and Modelling of Cash Payments at Retail Stores: The Case of SAR and Kappe.

Degree: 2013, Delft University of Technology

URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e109803e-b215-463a-9b62-74e5233d5e47

►

Recently, some retail stores face large amount of cash transactions and thus leave traditional cash handling organizations to improve the efficiency. When switching to a… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: forecasting; behavioral modelling

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APA (6^th Edition):

Ozkale, B. (. (2013). Forecasting and Modelling of Cash Payments at Retail Stores: The Case of SAR and Kappe. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e109803e-b215-463a-9b62-74e5233d5e47

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Ozkale, B (author). “Forecasting and Modelling of Cash Payments at Retail Stores: The Case of SAR and Kappe.” 2013. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e109803e-b215-463a-9b62-74e5233d5e47.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Ozkale, B (author). “Forecasting and Modelling of Cash Payments at Retail Stores: The Case of SAR and Kappe.” 2013. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Ozkale B(. Forecasting and Modelling of Cash Payments at Retail Stores: The Case of SAR and Kappe. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2013. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e109803e-b215-463a-9b62-74e5233d5e47.

Council of Science Editors:

Ozkale B(. Forecasting and Modelling of Cash Payments at Retail Stores: The Case of SAR and Kappe. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2013. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e109803e-b215-463a-9b62-74e5233d5e47

Delft University of Technology

18. Koopman, Daan (author). Modelling Terrorist Attacks.

Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology

URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:8be343eb-300f-456e-b700-b8251d1f2c0e

►

This thesis adds to quantitative literature on terrorism by examining the relationship between various annual country statistics and the number of terrorist attacks. In addition,… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Terrorism; Modelling; Forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Koopman, D. (. (2018). Modelling Terrorist Attacks. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:8be343eb-300f-456e-b700-b8251d1f2c0e

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Koopman, Daan (author). “Modelling Terrorist Attacks.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:8be343eb-300f-456e-b700-b8251d1f2c0e.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Koopman, Daan (author). “Modelling Terrorist Attacks.” 2018. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Koopman D(. Modelling Terrorist Attacks. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:8be343eb-300f-456e-b700-b8251d1f2c0e.

Council of Science Editors:

Koopman D(. Modelling Terrorist Attacks. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:8be343eb-300f-456e-b700-b8251d1f2c0e

Victoria University of Wellington

19. Anderson, Ronald Boyd. Simulation of Automotive Warranty Data.

Degree: 2013, Victoria University of Wellington

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10063/3066

► This thesis will investigate the prediction of the number of claims in a two dimensional automotive warranty claim model for the case of minimal repair.The… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Warranty; Analysis; Forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Anderson, R. B. (2013). Simulation of Automotive Warranty Data. (Masters Thesis). Victoria University of Wellington. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10063/3066

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Anderson, Ronald Boyd. “Simulation of Automotive Warranty Data.” 2013. Masters Thesis, Victoria University of Wellington. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10063/3066.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Anderson, Ronald Boyd. “Simulation of Automotive Warranty Data.” 2013. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Anderson RB. Simulation of Automotive Warranty Data. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Victoria University of Wellington; 2013. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10063/3066.

Council of Science Editors:

Anderson RB. Simulation of Automotive Warranty Data. [Masters Thesis]. Victoria University of Wellington; 2013. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10063/3066

Victoria University of Wellington

20. Rana, Sapna. Wintertime precipitation climate of Central Southwest Asia: Diagnostics and forecasting.

Degree: 2019, Victoria University of Wellington

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10063/8553

► Central Southwest Asia (CSWA; 20°–47°N, 40°–85°E) is a water-scarce and a societally vulnerable region, prone to significant variations in precipitation during the winter months of… (more)

▼ Central Southwest Asia (CSWA; 20°–47°N, 40°–85°E) is a water-scarce and a societally vulnerable region, prone to significant variations in precipitation during the winter months of November–April. Wintertime precipitation variations have a direct impact on CSWA's water resources, agricultural productivity, energy use, and human society. Because of the close relationship between climate and human well-being, an improved understanding of winter season precipitation and its variability over CSWA is of critical importance. However, due to multiple regional challenges (e.g. socio-political instability, extreme topographical heterogeneity, poor coverage of in situ stations, and others) analysis of precipitation in this region has been limited. In an attempt to bridge the existing knowledge gap, this thesis aims to advance our understanding of CSWA's wintertime precipitation climate through three separate, but inter-related studies on 1) evaluation of multi-source gridded precipitation dataset, 2) investigation of spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation and its links with large-scale modes of climate variability, 3) development of a statistical forecast model. Additionally, precipitation evaluation is also relevant to the overlapping and important region of the Indian subcontinent; a detailed seasonal analysis for which is also presented. First, the performance of several commonly used gridded precipitation products from multiple sources: gauge-based, satellite-derived, and reanalysis is analysed for all four seasons over the Indian Subcontinent. Results show that the degree of uncertainty in all precipitation estimates varies by region (e.g. topographic relief) and the type of precipitation (e.g. convective, orographic). At the seasonal scale, satellite-products perform better, while reanalyses generally overestimate precipitation. Greater discrepancies occur in areas with low gauge densities, owing to which a complete understanding of the accuracy and limitations of precipitation estimates is hampered for the northwestern region of the Indian subcontinent. In an extension study, ten multi-source precipitation products are evaluated against an ensemble of four gauge-only datasets. This analysis is carried out for CSWA, which also includes the northwestern region of the Indian subcontinent. Spatial and temporal analysis of results shows that GPCC is a suitable observational dataset for studying long-term wintertime precipitation variations over CSWA. The satellite-derived TRMM 3B42-V7 is a potentially reliable alternative to gauge measurements, while the performance of MERRA reanalysis is satisfactory. Further, the spatial-temporal patterns of wintertime precipitation variability over CSWA are explored. Three leading patterns are identified by empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, and the associated time series are related to global SST and other large-scale atmospheric circulation fields. The leading patterns of winter precipitation are significantly linked with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO);… Advisors/Committee Members: McGregor, James, Renwick, James.

Subjects/Keywords: Climate; Rainfall; Forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

Rana, S. (2019). Wintertime precipitation climate of Central Southwest Asia: Diagnostics and forecasting. (Doctoral Dissertation). Victoria University of Wellington. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10063/8553

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Rana, Sapna. “Wintertime precipitation climate of Central Southwest Asia: Diagnostics and forecasting.” 2019. Doctoral Dissertation, Victoria University of Wellington. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10063/8553.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Rana, Sapna. “Wintertime precipitation climate of Central Southwest Asia: Diagnostics and forecasting.” 2019. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Rana S. Wintertime precipitation climate of Central Southwest Asia: Diagnostics and forecasting. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Victoria University of Wellington; 2019. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10063/8553.

Council of Science Editors:

Rana S. Wintertime precipitation climate of Central Southwest Asia: Diagnostics and forecasting. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Victoria University of Wellington; 2019. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10063/8553

University of Illinois – Urbana-Champaign

21. Bajjalieh, Joseph W. Forecasting diesel fuel prices.

Degree: MS, 0176, 2011, University of Illinois – Urbana-Champaign

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2142/18393

► Midwest agriculture depends heavily on corn, soybean, and wheat production which requires considerable diesel fuel to meet producer output objectives. An ability to anticipate fuel… (more)

▼ Midwest agriculture depends heavily on corn, soybean, and wheat production which requires considerable diesel fuel to meet producer output objectives. An ability to anticipate fuel price movements may allow producers, farm managers, and fuel distributors to better plan their transactions to reduce costs or to hedge against price change. Despite potential gains from understanding diesel fuel price movements, little research has been performed to generate and assess diesel price forecasts. This research focuses on developing and evaluating the effectiveness of futures-based, structural-based, and time-series models to forecast diesel prices. Several composite forecast techniques, such as averaging, least squared regressions, and Harvey, Leybourne, and Newbold encompassing procedures also are evaluated to determine if they can improve forecasting performance. Models are specified and evaluated during an in-sample period, March 1994-February 2002, for one-, two-, and three-month forecast horizons. Using the in-sample specifications that are re-estimated each month for an out-of-sample period, March 2002-December 2008, diesel fuel price forecasts are developed and assessed. For the out-of-sample period, models are re-estimated recursively, and by using 4-year, 8-year rolling-window regressions to allow for the effects of structural change on forecast performance. During the in-sample period, no individual model consistently outperforms its rivals. However, composite forecasting methods improve forecast precision, but they are not statistically superior to the individual forecasts. Further, composite methods are generally not able to anticipate price changes as well as the individual models, which are led by the ARIMA specification. During the out-of-sample period, model performance decreases relative to the earlier period as new information and events emerge. In particular, mean squared errors gradually increase throughout the out-of-sample period. Among the models, forecast errors are highly correlated and anticipated information gains from combining forecasts do not arise. As a reflection of changing market conditions, 4-year rolling-window estimates clearly dominate forecast performance for all models and forecast horizons. Despite coefficients that are rarely significant, relative inventory-based models consistently are most accurate, suggesting the importance of allowing for inventories particularly in periods of low stocks and high prices. Interestingly, most models are able to anticipate price changes relatively well, with crude oil futures-based and time series models correctly identifying the direction of price change 60-80 percent of the time. Clearly, forecasting in periods of structural change is challenging. The research here suggests forecasts based on a relatively short rolling-window framework provide the most precise diesel fuel price estimates which are able to identify the direction of price change with reasonable accuracy. Further research may find it useful to consider allowing… Advisors/Committee Members: Garcia, Philip (advisor).

Subjects/Keywords: Forecasting; Diesel prices

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APA (6^th Edition):

Bajjalieh, J. W. (2011). Forecasting diesel fuel prices. (Thesis). University of Illinois – Urbana-Champaign. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/2142/18393

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Bajjalieh, Joseph W. “Forecasting diesel fuel prices.” 2011. Thesis, University of Illinois – Urbana-Champaign. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/2142/18393.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Bajjalieh, Joseph W. “Forecasting diesel fuel prices.” 2011. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Bajjalieh JW. Forecasting diesel fuel prices. [Internet] [Thesis]. University of Illinois – Urbana-Champaign; 2011. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/2142/18393.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Bajjalieh JW. Forecasting diesel fuel prices. [Thesis]. University of Illinois – Urbana-Champaign; 2011. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/2142/18393

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Texas – Austin

22. -1040-3036. Electricity market forecast using machine learning approaches.

Degree: PhD, Electrical and Computer Engineering, 2020, University of Texas – Austin

URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.26153/tsw/8153

► Electricity generation and load should always be balanced to maintain a tightly regulated system frequency in the power grid. Electricity generation and load both depend… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Electricity price forecasting

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APA (6^th Edition):

-1040-3036. (2020). Electricity market forecast using machine learning approaches. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Texas – Austin. Retrieved from http://dx.doi.org/10.26153/tsw/8153

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

-1040-3036. “Electricity market forecast using machine learning approaches.” 2020. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Texas – Austin. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.26153/tsw/8153.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

-1040-3036. “Electricity market forecast using machine learning approaches.” 2020. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Vancouver:

-1040-3036. Electricity market forecast using machine learning approaches. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Texas – Austin; 2020. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.26153/tsw/8153.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

Council of Science Editors:

-1040-3036. Electricity market forecast using machine learning approaches. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Texas – Austin; 2020. Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.26153/tsw/8153

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Author name may be incomplete

23. Krishnan, Siddharth. Seeing the Forest for the Trees: New approaches to Characterizing and Forecasting Cascades.

Degree: PhD, Computer Science and Applications, 2018, Virginia Tech

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10919/83362

► Cascades are a popular construct to observe and study information propagation (or diffusion) in social media such as Twitter and are defined using notions of… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Information cascades; Forecasting

10 more images…

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APA (6^th Edition):

Krishnan, S. (2018). Seeing the Forest for the Trees: New approaches to Characterizing and Forecasting Cascades. (Doctoral Dissertation). Virginia Tech. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10919/83362

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Krishnan, Siddharth. “Seeing the Forest for the Trees: New approaches to Characterizing and Forecasting Cascades.” 2018. Doctoral Dissertation, Virginia Tech. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10919/83362.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Krishnan, Siddharth. “Seeing the Forest for the Trees: New approaches to Characterizing and Forecasting Cascades.” 2018. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Krishnan S. Seeing the Forest for the Trees: New approaches to Characterizing and Forecasting Cascades. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. Virginia Tech; 2018. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10919/83362.

Council of Science Editors:

Krishnan S. Seeing the Forest for the Trees: New approaches to Characterizing and Forecasting Cascades. [Doctoral Dissertation]. Virginia Tech; 2018. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10919/83362

University of Oklahoma

24. Mulhearn, Tyler. Reflecting on the past and looking towards the future: The effects of case analysis and outcome valence on forecasting.

Degree: PhD, 2018, University of Oklahoma

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/299812

► Prior research has demonstrated the importance of forecasting to creative problem-solving performance. Less is known about how case analysis and outcome valence impact forecasting performance.… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Forecasting; Creativity; Planning

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APA (6^th Edition):

Mulhearn, T. (2018). Reflecting on the past and looking towards the future: The effects of case analysis and outcome valence on forecasting. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oklahoma. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/11244/299812

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Mulhearn, Tyler. “Reflecting on the past and looking towards the future: The effects of case analysis and outcome valence on forecasting.” 2018. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oklahoma. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/11244/299812.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Mulhearn, Tyler. “Reflecting on the past and looking towards the future: The effects of case analysis and outcome valence on forecasting.” 2018. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Mulhearn T. Reflecting on the past and looking towards the future: The effects of case analysis and outcome valence on forecasting. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2018. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/299812.

Council of Science Editors:

Mulhearn T. Reflecting on the past and looking towards the future: The effects of case analysis and outcome valence on forecasting. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oklahoma; 2018. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/11244/299812

Iowa State University

25. Mauri, Ezio- Luca. Differences between severe and non-severe warm-season nocturnal bow echo environments.

Degree: 2020, Iowa State University

URL: https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/etd/18354

► During the warm season, nocturnal bow echoes, bowing segments of convection, frequently generate some of the most damaging straight-line surface winds, even in situations where… (more)

▼ During the warm season, nocturnal bow echoes, bowing segments of convection, frequently generate some of the most damaging straight-line surface winds, even in situations where elevated convection occurs and the threat of damaging winds would normally be thought to be lower. The prediction of the strength of bow echoes is of crucial importance to operational meteorologists and the public. Moreover, correct forecasts of wind intensity of nocturnal bow echoes tend to be more challenging for operational meteorologists than daytime bow echoes. To address this forecast problem, this work analyzes multiple meteorological variables obtained from the Storm Prediction Center mesoanalysis system to investigate differences in warm-season nocturnal bow echo environments that produce severe winds versus those that do not. A sample of 132 cases from 2010 to 2018, was classified into high intensity (>70 knots) severe winds (HS), low intensity (50-55 knots) severe winds (LS), and non-severe winds (NS). A total of 43 forecast parameters were analyzed over a 120 x 120 km region centered on the highest storm wind report or most pronounced bowing convective segment. Results suggest that shear-related parameters discriminate only between severe and non-severe cases, while CAPE-related parameters discriminate only between HS and LS/NS bow echoes. Severe composite parameters are among the best discriminators between all severity types, especially Evans Derecho Composite Parameter (DCP) and Significant Tornado Parameter (STP); on the other hand, CIN-related parameters are among the worst discriminators for all severity types. The most skillful forecast parameters for HS bow echoes are STP and most unstable CAPE, while for LS bow echoes are V wind component at best CAPE (VMXP) level, STP and Supercell Composite Parameter. Results also indicate that combining surface-based CAPE with 0 – 6 km U shear component, and DCP with VMXP, resulted in the most skillful HS and LS forecasts, respectively. These findings may help forecasters identify long-lived, high intensity bow echoes from low intensity severe and non-severe ones. An additional preliminary work was performed to better understand the reasons behind bow echo cases that are simulated well and those that are not and whether any systematic environmental differences were present between good and bad simulations. The Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) was used to simulate ten bow echo cases, and environmental parameters in a 200x200 km box just ahead of the system were averaged and compared with observations for both good and bad simulated bow echo cases. Preliminary results were inconclusive as no systematic differences between well simulated and poorly simulated bow echo environments were observed. Most parameters were highly case-dependent and unlikely to help forecasters anticipate errors in WRF-depicted systems for bow echo events.

Subjects/Keywords: Forecasting; Severe Weather

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APA (6^th Edition):

Mauri, E. L. (2020). Differences between severe and non-severe warm-season nocturnal bow echo environments. (Thesis). Iowa State University. Retrieved from https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/etd/18354

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Mauri, Ezio- Luca. “Differences between severe and non-severe warm-season nocturnal bow echo environments.” 2020. Thesis, Iowa State University. Accessed April 21, 2021. https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/etd/18354.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Mauri, Ezio- Luca. “Differences between severe and non-severe warm-season nocturnal bow echo environments.” 2020. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Mauri EL. Differences between severe and non-severe warm-season nocturnal bow echo environments. [Internet] [Thesis]. Iowa State University; 2020. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/etd/18354.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Mauri EL. Differences between severe and non-severe warm-season nocturnal bow echo environments. [Thesis]. Iowa State University; 2020. Available from: https://lib.dr.iastate.edu/etd/18354

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

26. Bingham, Frederick Morton. Multiscale simulation, data assimilation, and forecasting in support of the SPURS-2 field campaign.

Degree: 2019, NC Docks

URL: http://libres.uncg.edu/ir/uncw/f/binghamf2019-1.pdf

► A multiscale simulation, data assimilation, forecasting system was developed in support of the SPURS-2 (Salinity Processes in the Upper-ocean Regional Study 2) field campaign. Before… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Salinity; Forecasting; Seawater

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APA (6^th Edition):

Bingham, F. M. (2019). Multiscale simulation, data assimilation, and forecasting in support of the SPURS-2 field campaign. (Thesis). NC Docks. Retrieved from http://libres.uncg.edu/ir/uncw/f/binghamf2019-1.pdf

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Bingham, Frederick Morton. “Multiscale simulation, data assimilation, and forecasting in support of the SPURS-2 field campaign.” 2019. Thesis, NC Docks. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://libres.uncg.edu/ir/uncw/f/binghamf2019-1.pdf.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Bingham, Frederick Morton. “Multiscale simulation, data assimilation, and forecasting in support of the SPURS-2 field campaign.” 2019. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Bingham FM. Multiscale simulation, data assimilation, and forecasting in support of the SPURS-2 field campaign. [Internet] [Thesis]. NC Docks; 2019. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://libres.uncg.edu/ir/uncw/f/binghamf2019-1.pdf.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Bingham FM. Multiscale simulation, data assimilation, and forecasting in support of the SPURS-2 field campaign. [Thesis]. NC Docks; 2019. Available from: http://libres.uncg.edu/ir/uncw/f/binghamf2019-1.pdf

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Arizona

27. Biegel, Hannah. Near Real-Time Forecasting of Epidemics Using Data Assimilation with Simple Models .

Degree: 2020, University of Arizona

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10150/650874

► With the advent of expedient data sharing of epidemiological reports, efforts have been made to forecast ongoing epidemics in real-time. Throughout this work, we develop… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: COVID-19 forecasting; data assimilation; epidemic forecasting; influenza forecasting; mathematical modeling

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APA (6^th Edition):

Biegel, H. (2020). Near Real-Time Forecasting of Epidemics Using Data Assimilation with Simple Models . (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Arizona. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10150/650874

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Biegel, Hannah. “Near Real-Time Forecasting of Epidemics Using Data Assimilation with Simple Models .” 2020. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Arizona. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10150/650874.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Biegel, Hannah. “Near Real-Time Forecasting of Epidemics Using Data Assimilation with Simple Models .” 2020. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Biegel H. Near Real-Time Forecasting of Epidemics Using Data Assimilation with Simple Models . [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Arizona; 2020. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10150/650874.

Council of Science Editors:

Biegel H. Near Real-Time Forecasting of Epidemics Using Data Assimilation with Simple Models . [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Arizona; 2020. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10150/650874

University of Florida

28. Sorokina, Ekaterina Igorevna. Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage.

Degree: MS, Recreation, Parks, and Tourism - Tourism, Recreation, and Sport Management, 2013, University of Florida

URL: https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737

► The high number of closures within independently owned hotel sector has reached around 80% of all hotel closures in the US market in 2013. The lack… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: Analytical forecasting; Data smoothing; Datasets; Economic models; Forecasting models; Forecasting techniques; Hotels; Sales forecasting; Time series forecasting; Time series models; forecasting – hotels – modelling – pricing

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APA (6^th Edition):

Sorokina, E. I. (2013). Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage. (Masters Thesis). University of Florida. Retrieved from https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Sorokina, Ekaterina Igorevna. “Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage.” 2013. Masters Thesis, University of Florida. Accessed April 21, 2021. https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Sorokina, Ekaterina Igorevna. “Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage.” 2013. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Sorokina EI. Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. University of Florida; 2013. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737.

Council of Science Editors:

Sorokina EI. Making Future More Feasible for Independently Owned Hotels Application of Time Series Models for Hotel Sales Forecasts as Means to Gain a Competitive Advantage. [Masters Thesis]. University of Florida; 2013. Available from: https://ufdc.ufl.edu/UFE0045737

Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University

29. Gwatiringa, Tsitsi. Virtual reality bridging the gap between work experience required and university qualifications in South Africa.

Degree: 2019, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University

URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/42331

► Increasing technological evolutions are constantly requiring humankind to reform how we plan for the future. Pervasive technologies such as Virtual Reality are making our working… (more)

▼ Increasing technological evolutions are constantly requiring humankind to reform how we plan for the future. Pervasive technologies such as Virtual Reality are making our working life and education to become more digital, complex and interconnected. The job landscape has already been disrupted by the Fourth Industrial Revolution (FIR). The way we work and learn is set to be transformed as the jobs people have and required skills necessary for success are some of the areas most impacted by technological advances such as the FIR and this is particularly concerning for the South African context. New ways of education are required in order to allow future employees to flexibly react to the future world of work and meet the demands of such a digitised working environment. The expected future trajectory of the job landscape may present challenges but there are also unique opportunities. By way of the futures methodology, the intention of this research was to systematically make inquiries, create, suggest and test foreseeable and desirable future visions. Ultimately, the purpose of the research was to assess and suggest plausible futures for the future of education and future of jobs in South Africa. The Six Pillars of Futures Studies approach to research by Inayatullah was applied throughout this study. The mapping (environmental scanning) of Virtual Reality technologies as a driver of change was done, highlighting the impact of such technology on tertiary education and on the world of work. The purpose of the environmental scanning was to uncover existing and driving forces that will influence the future of tertiary education and the future of work. The Causal Layer Analysis (CLA) was the primary futures methodology applied in this research. CLA was used to investigate deeper causal issues from various viewpoints in order to formulate scenarios for the future. The study developed four different future scenarios, namely, “Virtually Going & Thriving”, “Running on Fumes”, “Sneaky Turn” and “Oh Snap! Never Left”. These scenarios can be used as departure points for bridging the gap between education qualifications and skills requirement for jobs in South Africa. Formulated from the “Virtually Going & Thriving" scenario the recommended vision, "Future Vision of Education and Work in South Africa towards 2030" incorporates a realistic, attainable and desirable future that could foreground the improvement of the skills gap in the South African context. The desired future of education and future of work in South Africa is a result of transformation of the tertiary education sector and the acceptance of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, of digital learning, of the new world of work, the demand for new skills - it is a future where Virtual Reality technology is being applied in an innovative approach to equip students with the right skills, to reskill and upskill workers in the workplace and technologies have been leveraged for a sustainable future. The preferred future offered by this research, the “Future Vision of Education and…

Subjects/Keywords: Employment forecasting – South Africa; Labor supply – South Africa – Forecasting; Work environment – South Africa – Forecasting

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Gwatiringa, T. (2019). Virtual reality bridging the gap between work experience required and university qualifications in South Africa. (Thesis). Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University. Retrieved from http://hdl.handle.net/10948/42331

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Gwatiringa, Tsitsi. “Virtual reality bridging the gap between work experience required and university qualifications in South Africa.” 2019. Thesis, Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://hdl.handle.net/10948/42331.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Gwatiringa, Tsitsi. “Virtual reality bridging the gap between work experience required and university qualifications in South Africa.” 2019. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Gwatiringa T. Virtual reality bridging the gap between work experience required and university qualifications in South Africa. [Internet] [Thesis]. Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University; 2019. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/42331.

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

Council of Science Editors:

Gwatiringa T. Virtual reality bridging the gap between work experience required and university qualifications in South Africa. [Thesis]. Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University; 2019. Available from: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/42331

Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation

University of Oxford

30. Martinez, Andrew. General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts.

Degree: PhD, 2019, University of Oxford

URL: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199

► Multi-horizon forecasts from large scale models play important roles in ongoing policy debates across a wide range of disciplines. Although there are many ways to… (more)

Subjects/Keywords: 330; Econometric Models; Economic forecasting – Evaluation; Economic forecasting; Time-series analysis; Econometrics; Weather forecasting

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APA · Chicago · MLA · Vancouver · CSE | Export to Zotero / EndNote / Reference Manager

APA (6^th Edition):

Martinez, A. (2019). General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts. (Doctoral Dissertation). University of Oxford. Retrieved from http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199

Chicago Manual of Style (16^th Edition):

Martinez, Andrew. “General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts.” 2019. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Oxford. Accessed April 21, 2021. http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199.

MLA Handbook (7^th Edition):

Martinez, Andrew. “General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts.” 2019. Web. 21 Apr 2021.

Vancouver:

Martinez A. General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts. [Internet] [Doctoral dissertation]. University of Oxford; 2019. [cited 2021 Apr 21]. Available from: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199.

Council of Science Editors:

Martinez A. General-to-specific approaches for evaluating multi-step system forecasts. [Doctoral Dissertation]. University of Oxford; 2019. Available from: http://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:15ccc6f0-6d40-48ae-bcd8-21bcb97aacd3 ; https://ethos.bl.uk/OrderDetails.do?uin=uk.bl.ethos.786199

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Open Access Theses and Dissertations