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Delft University of Technology
1.
Chiou, Eleftheria (author).
Investigation of the evolution of the irrigation system in ancient Mesopotamia using a hydraulic model.
Degree: 2017, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:680b095c-e607-4da9-90c1-1012b5e88b2c 
► In this study a simplified model of the rivers Tigris and Euphrates during the Uruk period (3500-3100 B.C.) was created in order to define the…
(more)
▼ In this study a simplified model of the rivers Tigris and Euphrates during the Uruk period (3500-3100 B.C.) was created in order to define the hydraulic behaviour of the rivers in ancient Mesopotamia. The model was used to test the effect of a number of factors on the water-level of the river system. Especially, the role of the development of settlements in the Mesopotamian valley and the way the irrigation system was operated was examined. Also, physical processes such as the avulsion of the secondary branches of the two rivers was taken into account. According to the results of the simulation Euphrates is much more sensitive to an increase in water demand than Tigris. However, when two branches in the upper part of the river are closed the problem of low water level in Euphrates is solved. Furthermore, the development of settlements and irrigation nodes in ancient Mesopotamia, at the lower part of the valley, has as a result a lack of sufficient water even at the early stages of societal development. On the other hand, Euphrates does not seem to be so sensitive to an increase in water demand in the upper part of the valley.
Advisors/Committee Members: Ertsen, Maurits (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: ancient Mesopotamia; irrigation system; hydraulic model
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APA (6th Edition):
Chiou, E. (. (2017). Investigation of the evolution of the irrigation system in ancient Mesopotamia using a hydraulic model. (Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:680b095c-e607-4da9-90c1-1012b5e88b2c
Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Chiou, Eleftheria (author). “Investigation of the evolution of the irrigation system in ancient Mesopotamia using a hydraulic model.” 2017. Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:680b095c-e607-4da9-90c1-1012b5e88b2c.
Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Chiou, Eleftheria (author). “Investigation of the evolution of the irrigation system in ancient Mesopotamia using a hydraulic model.” 2017. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Chiou E(. Investigation of the evolution of the irrigation system in ancient Mesopotamia using a hydraulic model. [Internet] [Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2017. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:680b095c-e607-4da9-90c1-1012b5e88b2c.
Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation
Council of Science Editors:
Chiou E(. Investigation of the evolution of the irrigation system in ancient Mesopotamia using a hydraulic model. [Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2017. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:680b095c-e607-4da9-90c1-1012b5e88b2c
Note: this citation may be lacking information needed for this citation format:
Not specified: Masters Thesis or Doctoral Dissertation
Delft University of Technology
2.
Bartholomew, Erin (author).
Robust Decision Support Methods: A Comparative Analysis.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:eb0257b7-6791-49e0-ac2d-3a4c8803b29a
► Methods for decision support in the context of deep uncertainty have been gaining interest in the context of complex and adaptive problems that are characterized…
(more)
▼ Methods for decision support in the context of deep uncertainty have been gaining interest in the context of complex and adaptive problems that are characterized by “tipping point” behaviours. Unlike a traditional “predict-then-act” methods, which determine policies based on specific predictions of future behaviour, these decision support methods seek policies that are robust to inherently uncertain future conditions. Three robust decision support methods have been identified: multi-objective robust decision making (MORDM), multi-scenario MORDM, and multi- objective robust optimization (MORO). These three methods are all based on the robust decision making (RDM) structure, but search for solution alternatives in different ways. While MORDM considers a single absolute performance measure when selecting solution alternatives, multi- scenario MORDM uses multiple references to determine performance in an effort to yield more robust solution alternatives. Finally, MORO directly optimizes alternatives for robustness to determine a set of potential solutions, making the most effort to consider robustness of all three methods. It has been previously assumed that the performance of each method is largely dependent on the behaviour of the problem and structure of the desired solution, but there has been no comparison made in literature to test that idea. This study proposes framework for comparing decision support methods for multiple problem and solution structures and uses that framework to compare the efficacy of all three robust decision support methods given a highly stylized problem that is commonly used in deep uncertainty research: the lake problem. Three solution implementation structures will be considered: a static structure known as the intertemporal variation, a dynamic structure known as the direct policy search variation (DPS), and a newly proposed variation named the planned adaptive DPS variation that aims to better capture real-world implementation properties. The results indicate that generally, independent of policy implementation structure, the more that robustness is incorporated into the early stages of analysis, the more robust the identified set of potential solutions will be. The increase in robustness comes with a sharply increasing computational cost, with MORO quickly becoming prohibitively expensive to run. The proposed planned adaptive DPS lake problem variant was also shown to yield a set of solution alternatives that do not weigh conflicting objectives as evenly as the other two variants, leading to an extremely conservative set of solution alternatives, especially in a multi-scenario MORDM analysis. Therefore, the development of a hybrid robust decision support method that can consistently find the most robust solutions while evenly weighing conflicting objectives and minimizing the computational cost is much needed. Until that time, analysts and decision makers will be able to use this framework to compare existing robust decision support and select the method that best fits…
Advisors/Committee Members: Verbraeck, Alexander (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Warnier, Martijn (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Deep uncertainty; Robust decision making; multi-objective evolutionary algorithms; the lake problem; wicked problems
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APA (6th Edition):
Bartholomew, E. (. (2018). Robust Decision Support Methods: A Comparative Analysis. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:eb0257b7-6791-49e0-ac2d-3a4c8803b29a
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Bartholomew, Erin (author). “Robust Decision Support Methods: A Comparative Analysis.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:eb0257b7-6791-49e0-ac2d-3a4c8803b29a.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Bartholomew, Erin (author). “Robust Decision Support Methods: A Comparative Analysis.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Bartholomew E(. Robust Decision Support Methods: A Comparative Analysis. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:eb0257b7-6791-49e0-ac2d-3a4c8803b29a.
Council of Science Editors:
Bartholomew E(. Robust Decision Support Methods: A Comparative Analysis. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:eb0257b7-6791-49e0-ac2d-3a4c8803b29a
Delft University of Technology
3.
van Wijngaarden, Sophie (author).
An incremental method for configurable product changes: Improving the validation process of engineering changes to the C-BOM of high-tech configurable products.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381fbca8-68b6-4302-bd96-aa85713c0389
► Manufacturing technologically complex and configurable products is challenging. Companies are constantly trying to improve product quality and customer service level while reducing lead-times and total…
(more)
▼ Manufacturing technologically complex and configurable products is challenging. Companies are constantly trying to improve product quality and customer service level while reducing lead-times and total costs in order to improve their competitiveness. Nowadays, companies are forced to offer customized products based on the needs and requirements of every individual customer, in order to stay competitive. However, this results in a highly complicated product with many variants and a complicated manufacturing process. Product configuration management is therefore widely used in order to maintain the low production costs, while having a large number of product variants. Engineering change management is the core activity of product configuration management. Engineering changes can have an extremely large impact on the product’s performance, functional elements and physical elements (i.e. product knowledge base) and therefore, must be considered as part of configuration management. This research is concerned with the design of an approach for validating engineering changes to configurable bills-of-materials and aims at the context of high-tech configurable products. This validation approach supports product configuration managers to structure their activities for the implementation of engineering changes and checks whether a changed conditional bill-of-materials is defect-free and therefore, results in valid product configurations.
Advisors/Committee Members: Verbraeck, Alexander (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Huang, Yilin (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Configurable product; C-BOM; Engineering change; Product configuration
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APA (6th Edition):
van Wijngaarden, S. (. (2018). An incremental method for configurable product changes: Improving the validation process of engineering changes to the C-BOM of high-tech configurable products. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381fbca8-68b6-4302-bd96-aa85713c0389
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
van Wijngaarden, Sophie (author). “An incremental method for configurable product changes: Improving the validation process of engineering changes to the C-BOM of high-tech configurable products.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381fbca8-68b6-4302-bd96-aa85713c0389.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
van Wijngaarden, Sophie (author). “An incremental method for configurable product changes: Improving the validation process of engineering changes to the C-BOM of high-tech configurable products.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
van Wijngaarden S(. An incremental method for configurable product changes: Improving the validation process of engineering changes to the C-BOM of high-tech configurable products. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381fbca8-68b6-4302-bd96-aa85713c0389.
Council of Science Editors:
van Wijngaarden S(. An incremental method for configurable product changes: Improving the validation process of engineering changes to the C-BOM of high-tech configurable products. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381fbca8-68b6-4302-bd96-aa85713c0389
Delft University of Technology
4.
Carter, Celine (author).
Using an Automated Model to Develop Conceptual Designs: Improving an Existing Model for the Conceptual Design of Baggage Handling Systems.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:c5c73c7e-5fa8-45d3-897d-273b047fada8
► Baggage handling systems (BHS) are unknown to most people, but play a vital role at airports. A BHS is a system that consists of different…
(more)
▼ Baggage handling systems (BHS) are unknown to most people, but play a vital role at airports. A BHS is a system that consists of different subsystems, each with its own functions. It is important to make well-informed decisions about the BHS as early as the conceptual design phase, which is the part of the design where the basic solution, such as system configuration (the type and amount of equipment) and system layout (volume reservation for the system), is selected. The choices made in this phase influences the cost, performance, and reliability of the system. Even though the impact of the choices in the conceptual design phase is high, tools to guide the decisions are lacking. Previous research by Noort (2018) and Vijlbrief (2019) has led to an initial model that automates the conceptual design of a BHS. This initial model still has major limitations which need to be resolved in order to finalize the model. Thus, the goal of this research is to improve the model by increasing both the usability and usefulness of the initial model. The usability has increased by decreasing the run time, writing a manual to motivate the learning of the model, and adding a dashboard to visualize the results. The usefulness has increased by expanding the scope of the model, increasing the model precision by limiting uncertainties, and adding levels of detail to the outcome. Since both facets of the model have been increased, it can be concluded that the adjustments made to the initial model can be seen as improvements. It can therefore be said that the model proposed in this research can be seen as an improved model for the conceptual design of baggage handling systems.
Engineering and Policy Analysis
Advisors/Committee Members: Lefter, Iulia (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Verbraeck, Alexander (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Baggage Handling System; Model improvement; Usability; Usefulness
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APA ·
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APA (6th Edition):
Carter, C. (. (2019). Using an Automated Model to Develop Conceptual Designs: Improving an Existing Model for the Conceptual Design of Baggage Handling Systems. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:c5c73c7e-5fa8-45d3-897d-273b047fada8
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Carter, Celine (author). “Using an Automated Model to Develop Conceptual Designs: Improving an Existing Model for the Conceptual Design of Baggage Handling Systems.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:c5c73c7e-5fa8-45d3-897d-273b047fada8.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Carter, Celine (author). “Using an Automated Model to Develop Conceptual Designs: Improving an Existing Model for the Conceptual Design of Baggage Handling Systems.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Carter C(. Using an Automated Model to Develop Conceptual Designs: Improving an Existing Model for the Conceptual Design of Baggage Handling Systems. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:c5c73c7e-5fa8-45d3-897d-273b047fada8.
Council of Science Editors:
Carter C(. Using an Automated Model to Develop Conceptual Designs: Improving an Existing Model for the Conceptual Design of Baggage Handling Systems. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:c5c73c7e-5fa8-45d3-897d-273b047fada8
Delft University of Technology
5.
van Schilt, Isabelle (author).
Balancing connectivity and reliability in the schedule design of airlines by buffer scheduling: a Proof of Concept: Research on how to trade off passenger connections and delays in hub-and-spoke airline schedules.
Degree: 2020, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:66051bfc-2ba8-4aee-89f8-c464c8075ab9
► In the last decades, the environmental impact of aviation has been an emerging topic of discussion worldwide. With an expected CO2 emission increase of 21%…
(more)
▼ In the last decades, the environmental impact of aviation has been an emerging topic of discussion worldwide. With an expected CO2 emission increase of 21% by 2040 for air traffic, there is an urgency to reduce the negative impact on the environment. On top of that, the number of passengers is expected to double within the next 20 years. This challenge requires intervention from governments, airlines and passengers. Creating a more reliable flight planning would reduce the fuel consumption and costs for airlines. However, for airlines with a hub-and-spoke network, the schedule design relies on maximizing the connecting passengers. A more reliable planning with embedded buffers could lead to a lower offering of connecting flights. The goal of this research is to design a novel optimization model for balancing reliability and connectivity by buffer scheduling in the flight schedule, and to evaluate the impact on environmental sustainability. This research provides a Proof of Concept with a case of KLM Royal Dutch Airlines. The optimization model presents a Pareto optimal front that makes the trade-off between reliability and connectivity explicit. Main findings of this research are that (i) the model is suitable for supporting decision-making on a basic level, (ii) the stochastic variance of the model should be limited and (iii) the flight schedule presented by the model reduces the CO2 emissions significantly. Further research is required on how to optimize schedules with a higher level of complexity for the methodological elements and on the business side.
Engineering and Policy Analysis
Advisors/Committee Members: Verbraeck, Alexander (mentor), Lefter, Iulia (graduation committee), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), van Kalker, Jonna (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
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APA (6th Edition):
van Schilt, I. (. (2020). Balancing connectivity and reliability in the schedule design of airlines by buffer scheduling: a Proof of Concept: Research on how to trade off passenger connections and delays in hub-and-spoke airline schedules. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:66051bfc-2ba8-4aee-89f8-c464c8075ab9
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
van Schilt, Isabelle (author). “Balancing connectivity and reliability in the schedule design of airlines by buffer scheduling: a Proof of Concept: Research on how to trade off passenger connections and delays in hub-and-spoke airline schedules.” 2020. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:66051bfc-2ba8-4aee-89f8-c464c8075ab9.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
van Schilt, Isabelle (author). “Balancing connectivity and reliability in the schedule design of airlines by buffer scheduling: a Proof of Concept: Research on how to trade off passenger connections and delays in hub-and-spoke airline schedules.” 2020. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
van Schilt I(. Balancing connectivity and reliability in the schedule design of airlines by buffer scheduling: a Proof of Concept: Research on how to trade off passenger connections and delays in hub-and-spoke airline schedules. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:66051bfc-2ba8-4aee-89f8-c464c8075ab9.
Council of Science Editors:
van Schilt I(. Balancing connectivity and reliability in the schedule design of airlines by buffer scheduling: a Proof of Concept: Research on how to trade off passenger connections and delays in hub-and-spoke airline schedules. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:66051bfc-2ba8-4aee-89f8-c464c8075ab9
Delft University of Technology
6.
van Bruggen, Anne (author).
Transformative Modeling: Building Capacity for Transformation in Large Scale Socio-Technical Systems using Computer Modeling with Stakeholders.
Degree: 2017, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:670c86c1-3ddd-44e1-950a-8e338f04d86a
► Coherent responses to wicked problems such as climate change require a new way of doing science and tools to give insight into the transformation of…
(more)
▼ Coherent responses to wicked problems such as climate change require a new way of doing science and tools to give insight into the transformation of large-scale socio-technical systems. Simulation models support transformative processes by offering a simplified version of reality and a boundary object that unites stakeholders around a simplified representation of reality. The challenge is how to structure the transdisciplinary process of involving stakeholders in simulation modeling and distinguish between a proliferation of approaches within the fragmented field of modelling with stakeholders. This thesis designs a conceptual framework for a transformative modelling process with stakeholders based on a literature review of existing approaches and twenty-three interviews with modelers. Transformation is conceptualized as a rigorous process in which a system is shifted onto alternative development pathway in light of evolving conceptual frameworks, such as seeing the world as an interconnected system. Approaches to modeling with stakeholders are transformative if the main interest is in stakeholder empowerment, giving the stakeholder control over goal setting and model use. Amongst the fragmented approaches, four distinct forms of transformative modelling can be identified: Group Model Building, Companion Modeling, Challenge-and-Reconstruct Learning, and generic environmental modeling. The categorization of existing approaches and their essential differences allows for the systematic development and comparison of transformative approaches over time. The development of the approaches occurs within an ideal-typical framework made up of iterative cycles of roughly three phases. First the modeling effort should be frontloaded with framing efforts to become critically aware of practices influences thought, but build a core team or nucleus of friends that see an urgency to collaborate with others on common problems. Elements of ongoing meaningful conversations that engage a growing number of stakeholders in model building should be documented to identify sustainable sources of stakeholder motivation and leads to joint action to address wicked problems. In the second phase, the team is accompanied by experienced model builders and facilitators to build models to support the collective process. Finally, the team translates their conceptual framework into reality by taking concrete action. As transformative modeling matures, developers should collaborate through systematic learning in cycles of planning, action, and reflection across approaches and disciplines to continually improve their practice.
Industrial Ecology
Advisors/Committee Members: Nikolic, Igor (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution), Leiden University (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: modeling; social design; transformation; collaboration; climate change; decision making; complex adaptive systems; Industrial Ecology; complexity; sustainability; social simulation; social learning; Innovation; participation processes; transdisciplinary
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APA ·
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APA (6th Edition):
van Bruggen, A. (. (2017). Transformative Modeling: Building Capacity for Transformation in Large Scale Socio-Technical Systems using Computer Modeling with Stakeholders. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:670c86c1-3ddd-44e1-950a-8e338f04d86a
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
van Bruggen, Anne (author). “Transformative Modeling: Building Capacity for Transformation in Large Scale Socio-Technical Systems using Computer Modeling with Stakeholders.” 2017. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:670c86c1-3ddd-44e1-950a-8e338f04d86a.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
van Bruggen, Anne (author). “Transformative Modeling: Building Capacity for Transformation in Large Scale Socio-Technical Systems using Computer Modeling with Stakeholders.” 2017. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
van Bruggen A(. Transformative Modeling: Building Capacity for Transformation in Large Scale Socio-Technical Systems using Computer Modeling with Stakeholders. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2017. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:670c86c1-3ddd-44e1-950a-8e338f04d86a.
Council of Science Editors:
van Bruggen A(. Transformative Modeling: Building Capacity for Transformation in Large Scale Socio-Technical Systems using Computer Modeling with Stakeholders. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2017. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:670c86c1-3ddd-44e1-950a-8e338f04d86a
Delft University of Technology
7.
Steinmann, Patrick (author).
Behavior-Based Scenario Discovery: Induction of decision-relevant input subspaces from nonlinear model outputs using time series clustering.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:cb4fee52-e23f-41d3-9c63-7ca7ec948304
► Many societal, environmental and technological challenges can be characterized as wicked problems by virtue of being difficult to understand, define and solve. examples include sustainable…
(more)
▼ Many societal, environmental and technological challenges can be characterized as wicked problems by virtue of being difficult to understand, define and solve. examples include sustainable management and consumption of resources, resilient technical infrastructure or curbing plastic pollution of the oceans. One method of tackling such wicked problems is the use of computer-aided modelling and simulation. Model-based decision support is a growing discipline involving the use of computer models of complex systems to explore, understand and manage them. A core concept in model-based decision support is scenario discovery. In scenario discovery, a model’s inputs and outputs are related to understand under which conditions policy-relevant outputs may occur. In a first step, a diverse set of inputs is used to generate a variety of outputs. In a second step, the subset of decision-relevant outputs is identified among the outputs through some external criterion, such as a threshold value. Finally, the inputs which generated those outputs of interest are identified, and a generative rule set is induced which usefully predicts under which conditions an input will generate an output meeting the external criterion. This rule set bounds an input subspace of interest, from which (most of) the outputs of interest originate. While scenario discovery performs adequately for quasi-linear and simple models, it is not well suited to behaviorally complex, nonlinear models. This is both because external criteria are hard to define for complex model behaviors, and also because there are often significant interactions and dependencies between model inputs, which current rule induction algorithms have trouble identifying.......
MSc Engineering and Policy Analysis
Advisors/Committee Members: Verbraeck, Alexander (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Chappin, Emile (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Time series; clustering; System Dynamics; Exploratory Modeling; Scenario discovery; Patient Rule Induction Method
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APA ·
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MLA ·
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Export
to Zotero / EndNote / Reference
Manager
APA (6th Edition):
Steinmann, P. (. (2018). Behavior-Based Scenario Discovery: Induction of decision-relevant input subspaces from nonlinear model outputs using time series clustering. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:cb4fee52-e23f-41d3-9c63-7ca7ec948304
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Steinmann, Patrick (author). “Behavior-Based Scenario Discovery: Induction of decision-relevant input subspaces from nonlinear model outputs using time series clustering.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:cb4fee52-e23f-41d3-9c63-7ca7ec948304.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Steinmann, Patrick (author). “Behavior-Based Scenario Discovery: Induction of decision-relevant input subspaces from nonlinear model outputs using time series clustering.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Steinmann P(. Behavior-Based Scenario Discovery: Induction of decision-relevant input subspaces from nonlinear model outputs using time series clustering. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:cb4fee52-e23f-41d3-9c63-7ca7ec948304.
Council of Science Editors:
Steinmann P(. Behavior-Based Scenario Discovery: Induction of decision-relevant input subspaces from nonlinear model outputs using time series clustering. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:cb4fee52-e23f-41d3-9c63-7ca7ec948304
Delft University of Technology
8.
Jockin, Pieter (author).
Integration of dynamics into input-output analysis: Integration of dynamic features representing demand change and production technology change into the input-output analysis framework.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:effe0e68-a11e-4109-bece-a7ad70751def
► The transition to a circular economy requires drastic changes to the economy. A tool for macro-economic analysis of structural changes in the economy, input-output analysis,…
(more)
▼ The transition to a circular economy requires drastic changes to the economy. A tool for macro-economic analysis of structural changes in the economy, input-output analysis, lacks dynamic features. This thesis set out to integrate dynamic features representing demand change and technological change. A conceptual model is designed that integrates agent-based models representing these dynamics with an input-output model. Demand change was incorporated as individual consumers allocating their budgets with a utility function. A recursive utility function based on the notions of prospect theory was implemented with which consumers allocated their budget over several sectors. For technological change both incremental change was incorporated by implementing the Wright curve, and innovation was incorporated which can be modelled with general evolutionary algorithms. The conceptual model is assessed with a stylised implementation in a proof of concept. The conceptual model shows the potential to replace these static assumptions with dynamic models, however a more detailed representation of product quality is required.
Advisors/Committee Members: Kunneke, Rolf (graduation committee), Nikolic, Igor (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: input-output analysis; agent-based modelling; dynamics; multi-modelling
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APA (6th Edition):
Jockin, P. (. (2018). Integration of dynamics into input-output analysis: Integration of dynamic features representing demand change and production technology change into the input-output analysis framework. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:effe0e68-a11e-4109-bece-a7ad70751def
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Jockin, Pieter (author). “Integration of dynamics into input-output analysis: Integration of dynamic features representing demand change and production technology change into the input-output analysis framework.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:effe0e68-a11e-4109-bece-a7ad70751def.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Jockin, Pieter (author). “Integration of dynamics into input-output analysis: Integration of dynamic features representing demand change and production technology change into the input-output analysis framework.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Jockin P(. Integration of dynamics into input-output analysis: Integration of dynamic features representing demand change and production technology change into the input-output analysis framework. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:effe0e68-a11e-4109-bece-a7ad70751def.
Council of Science Editors:
Jockin P(. Integration of dynamics into input-output analysis: Integration of dynamic features representing demand change and production technology change into the input-output analysis framework. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:effe0e68-a11e-4109-bece-a7ad70751def
Delft University of Technology
9.
den Brok, Emma (author).
Uncertainty-Driven Policies for Resource Allocation in Epidemics Response.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a5594fcc-fc09-4b50-8bb3-c3572f0f26fb
► Humanitarians and global health actors come to the aid of many people every year, with the aim of preventing disease, increasing wellbeing, and providing (medical)…
(more)
▼ Humanitarians and global health actors come to the aid of many people every year, with the aim of preventing disease, increasing wellbeing, and providing (medical) aid to those suffering from disease. One of the contexts in which they operate is that of an epidemic. An epidemic is dynamic by nature and provides a complex and evolving environment in which medical aid needs to be provided. A key aspect in a response to an epidemic is logistics – specifically the allocation of resources such as personnel and medical supplies. These resources are often limited, calling for a targeted and strategic response. There is a variety of studies tackling the problem of resource allocation in the context of an epidemic, which include sequential decisions as the epidemic evolves, as well as the choice between several locations to which resources can be sent. However, these studies often assume decision-makers have complete information on the situation at hand and can make “perfect” choices. In reality, due to the large number of actors involved in a response, poor (telecommunication) infrastructure, and the fact that an epidemic is a moving target due to its dynamic nature, decision-makers often have to deal with incomplete and uncertain information on the number of patients and the way the epidemic is evolving.
Engineering and Policy Analysis
Advisors/Committee Members: Comes, Tina (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), van de Walle, Bartel (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: deep uncertainty; humanitarian logistics; Epidemic; direct policy search
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APA (6th Edition):
den Brok, E. (. (2019). Uncertainty-Driven Policies for Resource Allocation in Epidemics Response. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a5594fcc-fc09-4b50-8bb3-c3572f0f26fb
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
den Brok, Emma (author). “Uncertainty-Driven Policies for Resource Allocation in Epidemics Response.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a5594fcc-fc09-4b50-8bb3-c3572f0f26fb.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
den Brok, Emma (author). “Uncertainty-Driven Policies for Resource Allocation in Epidemics Response.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
den Brok E(. Uncertainty-Driven Policies for Resource Allocation in Epidemics Response. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a5594fcc-fc09-4b50-8bb3-c3572f0f26fb.
Council of Science Editors:
den Brok E(. Uncertainty-Driven Policies for Resource Allocation in Epidemics Response. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a5594fcc-fc09-4b50-8bb3-c3572f0f26fb
Delft University of Technology
10.
Gross, Shannon (author).
Evaluating Multi-Disease Interventions.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:140cb6fd-2a2e-4853-8f37-0383278a03f1
► Policymakers who work in the public health sector may rely on the help of quantitative models to support their choice of control strategy against a…
(more)
▼ Policymakers who work in the public health sector may rely on the help of quantitative models to support their choice of control strategy against a particular infectious disease. While policymakers have a large number of decision support models to choose from, hardly any of these tools are used to design an intervention strategy that can work well across multiple diseases. This is in part because of the need for large amounts of precise, detailed data and the presence of many unknown or confounding factors, which complicates attempts to make single-disease models, let alone multi-disease models. Is this highly data-intensive and detailed predictive approach necessary to make a good decision about how limited health resources should be allocated against multiple threats? Could the inclusion of multiple pathogens into a single decision support tool change the recommendation of an “optimal” intervention? In the following thesis, a novel multi-disease model is created. Rather than attempting to make a predictive tool to try and foresee a deeply uncertain future, this multi-disease model uses an exploratory approach to systematically evaluate the impacts of uncertain parameters. Many objective optimization techniques are used to find robust intervention strategies that work well for decision-makers who are interested in increasing the impact of their limited resources.
Engineering and Policy Analysis (EPA)
Advisors/Committee Members: van de Walle, Bartel (graduation committee), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Nikolic, Igor (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Public health; Robust decision making; WASH; Decision support model
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APA (6th Edition):
Gross, S. (. (2019). Evaluating Multi-Disease Interventions. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:140cb6fd-2a2e-4853-8f37-0383278a03f1
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Gross, Shannon (author). “Evaluating Multi-Disease Interventions.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:140cb6fd-2a2e-4853-8f37-0383278a03f1.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Gross, Shannon (author). “Evaluating Multi-Disease Interventions.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Gross S(. Evaluating Multi-Disease Interventions. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:140cb6fd-2a2e-4853-8f37-0383278a03f1.
Council of Science Editors:
Gross S(. Evaluating Multi-Disease Interventions. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:140cb6fd-2a2e-4853-8f37-0383278a03f1
Delft University of Technology
11.
Lingeswaran, Shajeeshan (author).
Redefining Integrated Assessment Models: An Exploratory Approach Towards Robust Climate-Economic Policies.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:812be430-79fb-4900-a0e2-b0bc9c3d804b
► Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are aiming to shed light on the cost-benefit of climate mitigations. However, current IAMs are depicted with a wide range of…
(more)
▼ Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are aiming to shed light on the cost-benefit of climate mitigations. However, current IAMs are depicted with a wide range of weaknesses. Next, to questionable assumptions of model functions, such as the damage function, IAMs are inadequate at addressing deeply uncertain parameters, such as the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS). Various research has been conducted in addressing uncertainties by utilizing stochastic dynamic programming or approximate dynamic processing. However, two crucial aspects were not considered in these studies. First, most researchers utilized optimization to determine the optimal policy as their decision analytic method for the risk analysis. Yet optimal strategies are highly sensitive to uncertainties and thus, they lose their prescriptive value in a deeply uncertain environment like in the field of climate economics. Furthermore, most economists described the deep uncertainties of IAMs model by a normal distribution, at best by a lognormal distribution. However, Weitzman (2009) has shown in his Dismal Theorem, that deep “uncertainty in the form of fat tails is, at least in theory, capable of swamping the outcome of any CBA”. This research addresses both aspects by utilizing the Exploratory Modelling and Analysis (EMA) framework on the Dynamic Integrated Model of Climate and the Economy (DICE) of the Nobel prize winner Nordhaus. By translating the DICE model into a stochastic simulation model and conducting an EMA approach, this research demonstrates the importance of defining robust strategies against the disproportional risk in the fat-tails.
Engineering and Policy Analysis
Advisors/Committee Members: Storm, Servaas (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), van Beers, Cees (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Intgrated Assessment Models; Decision-Making; Deep Uncertainty; Fat-tailed Distributions; Robust Optimisation
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APA (6th Edition):
Lingeswaran, S. (. (2019). Redefining Integrated Assessment Models: An Exploratory Approach Towards Robust Climate-Economic Policies. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:812be430-79fb-4900-a0e2-b0bc9c3d804b
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Lingeswaran, Shajeeshan (author). “Redefining Integrated Assessment Models: An Exploratory Approach Towards Robust Climate-Economic Policies.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:812be430-79fb-4900-a0e2-b0bc9c3d804b.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Lingeswaran, Shajeeshan (author). “Redefining Integrated Assessment Models: An Exploratory Approach Towards Robust Climate-Economic Policies.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Lingeswaran S(. Redefining Integrated Assessment Models: An Exploratory Approach Towards Robust Climate-Economic Policies. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:812be430-79fb-4900-a0e2-b0bc9c3d804b.
Council of Science Editors:
Lingeswaran S(. Redefining Integrated Assessment Models: An Exploratory Approach Towards Robust Climate-Economic Policies. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:812be430-79fb-4900-a0e2-b0bc9c3d804b
Delft University of Technology
12.
van Meurs, Bram (author).
Riverine flood risk screening with a simple network-based approach: A proof of concept in the Ganghes-Brahmaputra basin.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:5d3f6bd4-bc74-4a98-8655-75871a1001ed
► Floods cause major problems around the world. Over 35 million people were affected by floods in 2018. They have a growing worldwide impact on life…
(more)
▼ Floods cause major problems around the world. Over 35 million people were affected by floods in 2018. They have a growing worldwide impact on life and property. Changes in climate conditions lead to unanticipated variations in glacial runoffs, snowmelt and precipitation, which all significantly changing river flows. An imbalance in river network equilibrium leads to flooding and often ends up causing tremendous damage to society and the environment. Regions that are perceived to be downstream from the source of flooding may end up taking the brunt of the river force due to flood cascades. Floods account for about a third of all natural catastrophes worldwide, they cause more than half of all fatalities and are responsible for a third of the overall economic loss. Modelling approaches are often used to determine flood consequences. Two types of flood models are commonly used: statistical models and flow simulation models. Statistical methods are easy to use but provide limited insight into flood problems. Flow simulation models’ results can be very accurate, especially for hydraulic simulation models. However, these models are expensive to use and develop, and they require a lot of data. These requirements make them unsuitable for application in developing countries and analysing large watersheds. Flood risk screening models try to solve these problems. They are suitable for use in data-sparse regions and are efficient in terms of omputational costs. However, there is a lack of knowledge between river structure and cascading flood effects, and there is a lack of models that are efficient, easy to understand, use topological data and have the purpose of risk screening. In this research, we show a flood model based on complex network theory to efficiently study the cascading effects of floods in riverine systems. Cascading effects are defined as floods that occur as a result of water waves through the system that originate from upstream sources. The developed model uses the hydrological Muskingum routing method. We found that it was possible, notwithstanding many assumptions and a lack of data, to reproduce system behaviour during an extreme flood event in the Ganges-Brahmaputra Basin. Satellite elevation data were used to construct the river network, and satellite precipitation data was used to feed the model. The model can indicate high risk reaches based on the simulated overflow, the flow exceeding a predefined capacity. No existing models are known that can do this, on a laptop, within seven min- utes per simulated day, with limited data for a watershed that exceeds the size of one million square kilometres. The network structure of the model makes it possible to achieve a better understanding between river typology and cascading flood effects. The model is not without its limitations. It cannot pinpoint when and where floods will occur, because it only calculates overflow. Moreover, flood failure mechanisms are not yet included in this model. Failure mechanisms will change model behaviour: when a flood occurs…
Advisors/Committee Members: Warnier, Martijn (mentor), Verma, Trivik (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Flood risk; Risk screening; Modelling; Complex Network Analysis
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APA ·
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APA (6th Edition):
van Meurs, B. (. (2019). Riverine flood risk screening with a simple network-based approach: A proof of concept in the Ganghes-Brahmaputra basin. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:5d3f6bd4-bc74-4a98-8655-75871a1001ed
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
van Meurs, Bram (author). “Riverine flood risk screening with a simple network-based approach: A proof of concept in the Ganghes-Brahmaputra basin.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:5d3f6bd4-bc74-4a98-8655-75871a1001ed.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
van Meurs, Bram (author). “Riverine flood risk screening with a simple network-based approach: A proof of concept in the Ganghes-Brahmaputra basin.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
van Meurs B(. Riverine flood risk screening with a simple network-based approach: A proof of concept in the Ganghes-Brahmaputra basin. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:5d3f6bd4-bc74-4a98-8655-75871a1001ed.
Council of Science Editors:
van Meurs B(. Riverine flood risk screening with a simple network-based approach: A proof of concept in the Ganghes-Brahmaputra basin. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:5d3f6bd4-bc74-4a98-8655-75871a1001ed
Delft University of Technology
13.
Rietdijk, Evelien (author).
Dynamic Adaptive Development Pathways: A participatory planning approach to support sustainable development under uncertain future conditions.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:00e042fe-93da-40d4-aae0-526a09ea2778
► Rural communities in drylands of low-income countries represent highly vulnerable societies that are often strongly affected by the increased climate variability (UNDP, 2007/2008). Additionally to…
(more)
▼ Rural communities in drylands of low-income countries represent highly vulnerable societies that are often strongly affected by the increased climate variability (UNDP, 2007/2008). Additionally to climatic uncertainty, local households have also to cope with strongly fluctuating political and economic conditions, which are difficult to predict and impede regional development. Current planning practices that aim to address these uncertainties are often model based top-down focused approaches that lack an appropriate inclusion of local stakeholders. Crucial next steps are the downscaling of models to increase their local applicability and the incorporation of the knowledge and preferences of practitioners to achieve a sustainable landscape management plan. In this thesis, I developed a participatory planning approach to support sustainable development under uncertain future conditions and applied it to a case study in the southern drylands of Zimbabwe. The newly developed planning approach is based on a synthesis of current good practices in development aid and recent advancements of research in predictive planning and management. Specifically, the dynamic adaptive policy pathways (Haasnoot et al., 2013) are merged with the landscape approach (Sayer et al., 2013), which accounts for sustainable development in a participatory manner, and transformed into a new dynamic adaptive development pathways approach. The dynamic adaptive development pathways approach was applied to plan the upscaling of irrigation practices using an alluvial aquifer in Zimbabwe. A critical step was the use of visualisation sessions and focus group discussions to define the landscape area and local values, as well as to assemble a set of promising development actions. I then assessed the collected information using value matrixes and a hydrological model, to design different pathways for sustainable development. The creation of naturally, socially and ecologically sustainable pathways in a participatory manner for this case study proved possible and may function as a seed for sustainable development in the area. While uptake and application of the approach by local stakeholders still needs to be assessed, the adaptive capacity seems a valuable addition for development planning under uncertain future conditions.
A4Labs
Advisors/Committee Members: van der Zaag, Pieter (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Timmermans, Jos (mentor), Duker, Annelieke (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Uncertain futures; Landscape Approach; Pathways; Sustainability; Development
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APA (6th Edition):
Rietdijk, E. (. (2018). Dynamic Adaptive Development Pathways: A participatory planning approach to support sustainable development under uncertain future conditions. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:00e042fe-93da-40d4-aae0-526a09ea2778
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Rietdijk, Evelien (author). “Dynamic Adaptive Development Pathways: A participatory planning approach to support sustainable development under uncertain future conditions.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:00e042fe-93da-40d4-aae0-526a09ea2778.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Rietdijk, Evelien (author). “Dynamic Adaptive Development Pathways: A participatory planning approach to support sustainable development under uncertain future conditions.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Rietdijk E(. Dynamic Adaptive Development Pathways: A participatory planning approach to support sustainable development under uncertain future conditions. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:00e042fe-93da-40d4-aae0-526a09ea2778.
Council of Science Editors:
Rietdijk E(. Dynamic Adaptive Development Pathways: A participatory planning approach to support sustainable development under uncertain future conditions. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:00e042fe-93da-40d4-aae0-526a09ea2778
Delft University of Technology
14.
Thijsen, Maurice (author).
Uncertainty in electrified industrial systems: Towards a method for the identification and exploration of uncertain factors.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1521e516-c81a-4b9f-9b1d-7751712515fd
► Uncertainty has an obstructing role in the decision-making of electrification investments for industrial actors. Future research by analysts is required to explore the potential of…
(more)
▼ Uncertainty has an obstructing role in the decision-making of electrification investments for industrial actors. Future research by analysts is required to explore the potential of electrified industrial systems in their uncertain environments. In order to enable research to uncertainty in electrified industrial systems, the identification and exploration of uncertain factors is required. In this research, a method is proposed to identify and explore uncertain factors in electrified industrial systems. The development of the method is based on literature analyses. The findings in the current work about the conceptualisation, identification and exploration of uncertainty are synthesised with the specific characteristics of industrial environments. This led to the development of the Industrial uncertainty scan. The method was applied to a case-study to discuss its value.
Public version; data is protected and not visible.
Flexnet Project
Advisors/Committee Members: Stikkelman, Rob (mentor), Ramirez Ramirez, Andrea (graduation committee), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), Arkesteijn, R (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: uncertainty; decision-making; industrial systems; electrification industry; identification and exploration; method
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Export
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APA (6th Edition):
Thijsen, M. (. (2018). Uncertainty in electrified industrial systems: Towards a method for the identification and exploration of uncertain factors. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1521e516-c81a-4b9f-9b1d-7751712515fd
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Thijsen, Maurice (author). “Uncertainty in electrified industrial systems: Towards a method for the identification and exploration of uncertain factors.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1521e516-c81a-4b9f-9b1d-7751712515fd.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Thijsen, Maurice (author). “Uncertainty in electrified industrial systems: Towards a method for the identification and exploration of uncertain factors.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Thijsen M(. Uncertainty in electrified industrial systems: Towards a method for the identification and exploration of uncertain factors. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1521e516-c81a-4b9f-9b1d-7751712515fd.
Council of Science Editors:
Thijsen M(. Uncertainty in electrified industrial systems: Towards a method for the identification and exploration of uncertain factors. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1521e516-c81a-4b9f-9b1d-7751712515fd
Delft University of Technology
15.
Fraiture, Julie (author).
The Robustness of Energy Systems: A novel method to explore the impact of uncertainties on Energy System Design Optimization Models.
Degree: 2020, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:84cd083a-8bf8-4931-a75a-276e2d54c5cc
► Energy system planners and decision makers rely on Energy System Optimization Models in assisting long-term decisions that ensure robust real-world energy system designs that deliver…
(more)
▼ Energy system planners and decision makers rely on Energy System Optimization Models in assisting long-term decisions that ensure robust real-world energy system designs that deliver the energy transition goal. Optimization usually provides a single 'optimal' outcome which misrepresents the underlying uncertainties and the large set of possible futures. In this research a method is proposed with which model-owners can be provided insight into the impact of uncertainties on (Energy System Design) Optimization Model outcomes by producing insights regarding the model behavior across model runs under uncertainty. The proposed method consists of three steps: 1) Uncertainty Characterization, 2) Exploratory Modelling, and 3) Results Analysis. The proposed method is applicable to Energy System Design Optimization Models specifically, and to Design Optimization Models in general. This general applicability is constrained to (Energy System) Design Optimization Models where the 'optimized' outcome, the design, can be formatted as a (high dimensional) vector which contains the value for all potential design components, including the zero values, in a fixed ordering over all experiment runs. When applied to an existing Design Optimization Model, this method should help to answer two questions: ‘How do the (Energy System) Designs vary resulting from underlying uncertainties?’; ‘What (Energy System) Design trade-offs are driven by which underlying uncertainties?’. Step 1) consists of the identification of uncertain model-parameters and the assignment of a mathematical representation of their uncertainty. In step 2) the characterized uncertainties are integrated into the model under analysis with the Exploratory Modeling and Analysis (EMA) Workbench. Each exploratory modelling case is composed of n model simulations which results in n experiments. Each experiment represents a unique set of uncertain parameter value combinations and of outcomes containing the model behavior resulting from that specific experiment input space. To answer the first question, clusters of experiments resulting in similar energy system design are identified with a novel approach of cosine distance-based agglomerative hierarchical clustering with complete linkage. To characterize the cluster designs, the total outcome is aggregated to case-design specifics and related back to the underlying uncertainty input with subspace partitioning. The second question is answered with sensitivity analysis and subspace partitioning techniques to characterize design elements that are of interest and to identify trade-offs between these design elements resulting from the underlying uncertainties. As a proof of concept of the applicability and functionalities of the proposed method, it is applied to an Energy System Optimization Model that aims to aid decision-making regarding integrated energy system design and operation in urban areas. This revealed that model-owners can use the insights to: identify model specifications (or the lack thereof) that are determining for the…
Advisors/Committee Members: Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Chappin, Emile (graduation committee), van Beuzekom, Iris (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Exploratory Modelling and Analysis; Method; Energy system design; Energy system optimization; Design optimization; Clustering; Cosine distance; Uncertainties; Uncertainty analysis
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Manager
APA (6th Edition):
Fraiture, J. (. (2020). The Robustness of Energy Systems: A novel method to explore the impact of uncertainties on Energy System Design Optimization Models. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:84cd083a-8bf8-4931-a75a-276e2d54c5cc
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Fraiture, Julie (author). “The Robustness of Energy Systems: A novel method to explore the impact of uncertainties on Energy System Design Optimization Models.” 2020. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:84cd083a-8bf8-4931-a75a-276e2d54c5cc.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Fraiture, Julie (author). “The Robustness of Energy Systems: A novel method to explore the impact of uncertainties on Energy System Design Optimization Models.” 2020. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Fraiture J(. The Robustness of Energy Systems: A novel method to explore the impact of uncertainties on Energy System Design Optimization Models. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:84cd083a-8bf8-4931-a75a-276e2d54c5cc.
Council of Science Editors:
Fraiture J(. The Robustness of Energy Systems: A novel method to explore the impact of uncertainties on Energy System Design Optimization Models. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:84cd083a-8bf8-4931-a75a-276e2d54c5cc
Delft University of Technology
16.
Calon, Rob (author).
Uncertainty in Long-Term Grid Planning: Approaching Transmission Expansion Planning through the Framework of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty.
Degree: 2020, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381be1e3-2731-4149-a312-5abdcf26ceb3
► Motivations for sustainability are initiating an energy transition that is changing the European energy domain. The transition effectuated the adaptation of large volumes of wind…
(more)
▼ Motivations for sustainability are initiating an energy transition that is changing the European energy domain. The transition effectuated the adaptation of large volumes of wind and solar based generation capacity. The intermittent power-output of these Variable Renewable Energy Sources challenges the balancing operation of the electricity network in particular. Despite the availability of different solutions like storage, smart applications and infrastructure substitution, large investments in transmission capacity are inevitable. While the need for additional transmission capacity is evident, the realization of transmission capacity has become increasingly complex due to the uncertainty surrounding the future landscape in which this expansion would take place. The many possible pathways towards a sustainable future make it increasingly difficult to predict the development of generation and load profiles and thereby complicate the identification of capacity requirements within the electricity network. This raises the need for new approaches that address the high degree of uncertainty present within the electricity domain. Literature describes the framework of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty as an alternative approach to addressing the role of uncertainty in Transmission Expansion Planning. In contrast to traditional scenario planning approaches, this approach focuses on the computational evaluation of large numbers of scenarios that are sampled from a constrained uncertainty space. The idea is to inform decision making by exploring the uncertainty space and identifying conditions under which certain outcomes occur. Consequently, decision makers are aware of the conditions under which interventions might succeed or fail and are therefor able to design strategies that perform in different futures. The potential of the framework of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty in the context of Transmission Expansion Planning is explored through a proof-of-concept approach that focuses on Transmission Expansion Planning in the context of The Netherlands. In this approach a simplified integrated market simulation and network model are used to explore the effects of different quantities of wind and solar based generation capacity on the required transmission capacity within the electricity network. Instead of using merely three traditional scenarios, this thesis has evaluated and analyzed 20,000 different scenarios. The results of these analyses have been reviewed by domain experts during two workshop sessions. These sessions established that approaches to Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty could provide useful insights in relation to model sensitivity, the reduction of dimensional complexity of the uncertainty space and the development of scenarios that describe areas within the uncertainty space. The sessions furthermore established that the application of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty in relation to Transmission Expansion Planning requires further development in order to become a viable alternative to…
Advisors/Committee Members: Chappin, Emile (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), van Blijswijk, Martti (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Transmission Expansion Planning; Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty; Exploratory Modelling; Deep Uncertainty; Electricity Network; Scenario Discovery
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APA (6th Edition):
Calon, R. (. (2020). Uncertainty in Long-Term Grid Planning: Approaching Transmission Expansion Planning through the Framework of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381be1e3-2731-4149-a312-5abdcf26ceb3
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Calon, Rob (author). “Uncertainty in Long-Term Grid Planning: Approaching Transmission Expansion Planning through the Framework of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty.” 2020. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381be1e3-2731-4149-a312-5abdcf26ceb3.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Calon, Rob (author). “Uncertainty in Long-Term Grid Planning: Approaching Transmission Expansion Planning through the Framework of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty.” 2020. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Calon R(. Uncertainty in Long-Term Grid Planning: Approaching Transmission Expansion Planning through the Framework of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381be1e3-2731-4149-a312-5abdcf26ceb3.
Council of Science Editors:
Calon R(. Uncertainty in Long-Term Grid Planning: Approaching Transmission Expansion Planning through the Framework of Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:381be1e3-2731-4149-a312-5abdcf26ceb3
Delft University of Technology
17.
Bloemhof, Jesse (author).
Design directions for reducing the peak load on the residential grid using electric vehicles: Simulating the behaviour of electric vehicle owners using the concepts of Social Acceptance and Moral Acceptability in an Agent-Based model.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:88b5b49a-c7c5-45f0-95e8-3bf7fb3c8857
► Due to the transition to sustainable transport, an increase of the share of electric vehicles is expected. The electric vehicles will increase the peak demand…
(more)
▼ Due to the transition to sustainable transport, an increase of the share of electric vehicles is expected. The electric vehicles will increase the peak demand on the electricity grid. It is possible to shift the demand of the electric vehicles using smart grid technology. The electric vehicle owners have the option to use this smart electric vehicle system. Using the concepts of social acceptance and moral acceptability an agent-based model is used to simulate the use of the smart EV system. Based on this agent-based model possible design directions are identified for the smart EV system which reduce the expected electricity grid problems sufficiently in the long-term. For the smart EV system to be as effective as possible vehicle to grid technology in combination with an algorithm which optimizes on the network capacity have should be used. However, these options were the least accepted by the EV owners and therefore further research is required. The next step for research is to develop a businesses models for the design directions discussed in this thesis.
Complex Systems Engineering and Management
Advisors/Committee Members: Chappin, Emile (mentor), van de Poel, Ibo (graduation committee), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), de Wildt, Tristan (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Electric Vehicles; Moral Acceptability; Social Acceptance; Agent-Based Modelling and Simulation; Smart Grid
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APA (6th Edition):
Bloemhof, J. (. (2018). Design directions for reducing the peak load on the residential grid using electric vehicles: Simulating the behaviour of electric vehicle owners using the concepts of Social Acceptance and Moral Acceptability in an Agent-Based model. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:88b5b49a-c7c5-45f0-95e8-3bf7fb3c8857
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Bloemhof, Jesse (author). “Design directions for reducing the peak load on the residential grid using electric vehicles: Simulating the behaviour of electric vehicle owners using the concepts of Social Acceptance and Moral Acceptability in an Agent-Based model.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:88b5b49a-c7c5-45f0-95e8-3bf7fb3c8857.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Bloemhof, Jesse (author). “Design directions for reducing the peak load on the residential grid using electric vehicles: Simulating the behaviour of electric vehicle owners using the concepts of Social Acceptance and Moral Acceptability in an Agent-Based model.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Bloemhof J(. Design directions for reducing the peak load on the residential grid using electric vehicles: Simulating the behaviour of electric vehicle owners using the concepts of Social Acceptance and Moral Acceptability in an Agent-Based model. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:88b5b49a-c7c5-45f0-95e8-3bf7fb3c8857.
Council of Science Editors:
Bloemhof J(. Design directions for reducing the peak load on the residential grid using electric vehicles: Simulating the behaviour of electric vehicle owners using the concepts of Social Acceptance and Moral Acceptability in an Agent-Based model. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:88b5b49a-c7c5-45f0-95e8-3bf7fb3c8857
Delft University of Technology
18.
Papadogeorgos, Ioannis (author).
Decarbonisation of the Dutch Container Glass Industry by 2050: A Model-based Analysis of Technology Options.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:58218422-8a56-4960-ba5d-e3669e3a1ac3
► The Dutch container glass industry is an energy- and capital-intensive industry which accounts for about 350 kt of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions on an annual…
(more)
▼ The Dutch container glass industry is an energy- and capital-intensive industry which accounts for about 350 kt of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions on an annual basis. The fluctuating energy prices during the past decades as well as the implementation of the European Emission trading scheme (ETS) are pushing towards the deep decarbonisation of container glass-making activities. However the uncertainty which surrounds the transition strategies hinders the decarbonisation efforts, leading investment decisions in CO2-reducing technologies to postponement. In this study, a set of optimally robust-performing policy options is identified for the effective decarbonisation of the container glass industry by 2050. By conducting techno-economic analysis on the processes of Dutch production sites, alternative technology options and their combinations are compared on the basis of their technical and financial feasibility. The robustness of decarbonisation strategies is determined on the basis of carbon emissions, energy consumption, product cost and return of investment and assessed under a wide spectrum of potential future events using a many-objective robust decision making technique. The study concludes on the importance of using alternative fuels (i.e. biomethane, electricity and syngas) as well as the coupling of waste heat recovery options with innovative furnaces for improving the melting activity. Further development of breakthrough technologies is necessary to achieve greater carbon emissions reduction, which will be supported by a sound regulatory framework for technology deployment. The study can be leveraged by industry stakeholders and policymakers on the future of the container glass sector and the industry in a broader sense in a competitive low-carbon economy.
Engineering and Policy Analysis
Advisors/Committee Members: Ramirez Ramirez, Andrea (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), Schure, Klara (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Decarbonization; Container glass; Techno-economic analysis; Decision Support; Deep uncertainty; Robustness; Multi-objective optimization; Emerging technologies; Policy advice
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APA (6th Edition):
Papadogeorgos, I. (. (2019). Decarbonisation of the Dutch Container Glass Industry by 2050: A Model-based Analysis of Technology Options. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:58218422-8a56-4960-ba5d-e3669e3a1ac3
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Papadogeorgos, Ioannis (author). “Decarbonisation of the Dutch Container Glass Industry by 2050: A Model-based Analysis of Technology Options.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:58218422-8a56-4960-ba5d-e3669e3a1ac3.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Papadogeorgos, Ioannis (author). “Decarbonisation of the Dutch Container Glass Industry by 2050: A Model-based Analysis of Technology Options.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Papadogeorgos I(. Decarbonisation of the Dutch Container Glass Industry by 2050: A Model-based Analysis of Technology Options. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:58218422-8a56-4960-ba5d-e3669e3a1ac3.
Council of Science Editors:
Papadogeorgos I(. Decarbonisation of the Dutch Container Glass Industry by 2050: A Model-based Analysis of Technology Options. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:58218422-8a56-4960-ba5d-e3669e3a1ac3
Delft University of Technology
19.
Vogelsang, Leoni (author).
Alternative Fuels for Short Sea Shipping in Europe: An agent-based study to explore future scenarios.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:371334fb-50d2-4194-a7ae-e2338c8f2934
► Increasing ship emissions are of big concern because they contribute to the effects of climate change and have an impact on the local and regional…
(more)
▼ Increasing ship emissions are of big concern because they contribute to the effects of climate change and have an impact on the local and regional environment. Due to these concerns, stricter regulations are enforced upon the shipping sector by the International Maritime Organisation and the European Union. However, since new regulations are enforced, stakeholders have been slow to react. A key reason why investment decisions are not taking place is that of uncertainty in regulations and policy. Besides, the availability of bunker infrastructure in ports is key to the development of alternative fuels. The objective of this study is to obtain insight into what possible future scenarios of the deployment of alternative fuels for the short sea shipping might arise and to provide insight into the effects of collaborative port strategies on the emergence of alternative fuels European maritime short sea sector taking into account regulatory and technological uncertainties. By means of an agent-based modelling approach and exploratory modelling and analysis approach, the influence of these uncertainties and policies is addressed. This enables to obtain a better understanding of where the system might go. The findings of this study show the effect of regulation enforcement and the need for a well-developed methanol bunker infrastructure across Europe to enable the transition to alternative fuels.
Complex Systems Engineering and Management
Advisors/Committee Members: Nikolic, Igor (graduation committee), Ramirez Ramirez, Andrea (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Alternative fuels; Short sea shipping; Agent-based modeling; Exploratory Modelling and Analysis
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APA (6th Edition):
Vogelsang, L. (. (2019). Alternative Fuels for Short Sea Shipping in Europe: An agent-based study to explore future scenarios. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:371334fb-50d2-4194-a7ae-e2338c8f2934
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Vogelsang, Leoni (author). “Alternative Fuels for Short Sea Shipping in Europe: An agent-based study to explore future scenarios.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:371334fb-50d2-4194-a7ae-e2338c8f2934.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Vogelsang, Leoni (author). “Alternative Fuels for Short Sea Shipping in Europe: An agent-based study to explore future scenarios.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Vogelsang L(. Alternative Fuels for Short Sea Shipping in Europe: An agent-based study to explore future scenarios. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:371334fb-50d2-4194-a7ae-e2338c8f2934.
Council of Science Editors:
Vogelsang L(. Alternative Fuels for Short Sea Shipping in Europe: An agent-based study to explore future scenarios. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:371334fb-50d2-4194-a7ae-e2338c8f2934
Delft University of Technology
20.
Brinkman, Rosalie (author).
System effects of cross-border transmission capacity and seasonal storage on the future Dutch power system.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:aba1d5eb-0d27-4413-9d7f-37913e524b24
► The Dutch government aims at 70% of electricity production from renewable energy sources in 2030 in order to reach a CO2 emission reduction of 49%…
(more)
▼ The Dutch government aims at 70% of electricity production from renewable energy sources in 2030 in order to reach a CO2 emission reduction of 49% as compared to 1990 levels. With the increasing share of variable renewables in the European power system, it becomes increasingly more important to find a way to deal with generation volatility. The Northwest European electricity system is particularly suitable for wind energy due to its vicinity to the North Sea. The large share of wind power generation can cause seasonal flexibility needs in the Northwest European power system. This research is focussed on the system effects of seasonal energy storage and cross-border transmission capacity on the future Dutch power system with a large share of wind energy. System effects in this context are the effects on the Dutch electricity market regarding the dispatch of both flexibility options. Moreover, complementarity between the two options is researched. The unit commitment economic dispatch model Powerflex is used to analyse different levels of storage capacity in the Netherlands and different levels of interconnection between the Netherlands and Germany. The model was extended with a storage module based on dynamic programming for the purpose of this study. The storage is connected to the electricity market and to a hydrogen market with hydrogen price based on the production costs of steam reforming of natural gas. It can be concluded that cross-border transmission capacity leads to small system benefits if it is used to interconnect areas with similar RES potential, weather patterns and demand patterns. Moreover, it was found that storage capacity complements (increases the need for) interconnection capacity deployment, while interconnection capacity does not influence the need for storage capacity. Additionally, storage capacity leads to fewer price extremes and a reduction of curtailment needs. A storage capacity of 50% of the maximum negative residual demand in the Netherlands has been identified as an upper bound of storage requirements in the Netherlands. Limitations to this research are the limited scope with the Netherlands and Germany, the unrestricted hydrogen demand and the limited number of flexibility options. The results can be influenced if a more diverse set of flexibility options is modelled, such as curtailment, demand response and different storage technologies. A more diversified storage portfolio and more flexibility options are expected to lead to smaller storage requirements. Moreover, future research should focus on the limited predictability of renewable generation, research a broader set of flexibility options and on cost-benefit analyses of specific cases. Policy recommendations are to promote the development of hydrogen storage, encourage a highly interconnected European electricity grid and secure back-up capacity by for instance capacity remunerations as their profitability lowers when storage capacity is available.
Advisors/Committee Members: Weijnen, Margot (mentor), de Vries, Laurens (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), Hers, Sebastiaan (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Seasonal storage; Cross-border transmission capacity; Electricity market effects; Complementarity; Unit Commitment Economic Dispatch Model; Power system flexibility
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APA ·
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Export
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APA (6th Edition):
Brinkman, R. (. (2019). System effects of cross-border transmission capacity and seasonal storage on the future Dutch power system. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:aba1d5eb-0d27-4413-9d7f-37913e524b24
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Brinkman, Rosalie (author). “System effects of cross-border transmission capacity and seasonal storage on the future Dutch power system.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:aba1d5eb-0d27-4413-9d7f-37913e524b24.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Brinkman, Rosalie (author). “System effects of cross-border transmission capacity and seasonal storage on the future Dutch power system.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Brinkman R(. System effects of cross-border transmission capacity and seasonal storage on the future Dutch power system. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:aba1d5eb-0d27-4413-9d7f-37913e524b24.
Council of Science Editors:
Brinkman R(. System effects of cross-border transmission capacity and seasonal storage on the future Dutch power system. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:aba1d5eb-0d27-4413-9d7f-37913e524b24
Delft University of Technology
21.
van der Linden, Erika (author).
Exploration of the cobalt system: Scenarios for a critical material for the energy system.
Degree: 2020, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e51dbb87-09f7-4c33-a956-226874a1e7b7
► The transition to a low-carbon economy depends on several critical materials, among which is cobalt. This metal is a main component in batteries, and therefore,…
(more)
▼ The transition to a low-carbon economy depends on several critical materials, among which is cobalt. This metal is a main component in batteries, and therefore, demand for cobalt is expected to increase in the coming years. This paper explores future scenarios for the cobalt system, in light of its role in the low-carbon transition. The future of cobalt is characterized by deep uncertainty: it involves uncertainty on how the system is structured, on the values of variables influencing the system, and on the desirability of outcomes of interest. Therefore, this research uses Exploratory system dynamics modelling and analysis as the method, since it allows to explore an ensemble of models, each with different values for the input variables. The results show that cobalt is likely to remain a critical material for the electric vehicle transition, although the demand for the metal could vary greatly, depending on the size of future batteries and how fast the average oregrade of cobalt will decline. The demand scenarios in turn influence the development of industrial and artisanal mining, and recycling in the cobalt system. Depending on the collection rate of batteries and other cobalt-containing goods at the end of their life, recycled cobalt could account for a significant part of the demand. The by-product nature of cobalt makes future industrial mining dependent on developments in the nickel and copper markets. If the demand for cobalt increases sufficiently and its price levels go up, cobalt could become a co-product for nickel and copper. With regards to scarcity and sustainability of the cobalt system, this research examines the influence of the assumptions of the two opposing paradigms in the literature on these two concepts: the Fixed stock paradigm and the Opportunity cost paradigm. While the Fixed stock paradigm warns for eminent physical scarcity, the Opportunity cost paradigm places its trust in the regulating capabilities of the price of metals, the signal for economic scarcity. This paper argues that the continued discussion on the paradigms, divert the attention from the externalities of mining. Cobalt resources are not likely to soon be depleted, but externalities of mining could continue to increase. More cooperation between scientists of both paradigms could help to increase understanding of metal systems, and to produce better advice on policies for decision makers to cope with the externalities. Increased research into understanding how externalities of mining could be mitigated is therefore recommended.
Advisors/Committee Members: Auping, Willem (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Annema, Jan Anne (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Energy transition; Cobalt; Exploratory Modelling and Analysis; Sustainability
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APA ·
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Export
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APA (6th Edition):
van der Linden, E. (. (2020). Exploration of the cobalt system: Scenarios for a critical material for the energy system. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e51dbb87-09f7-4c33-a956-226874a1e7b7
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
van der Linden, Erika (author). “Exploration of the cobalt system: Scenarios for a critical material for the energy system.” 2020. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e51dbb87-09f7-4c33-a956-226874a1e7b7.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
van der Linden, Erika (author). “Exploration of the cobalt system: Scenarios for a critical material for the energy system.” 2020. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
van der Linden E(. Exploration of the cobalt system: Scenarios for a critical material for the energy system. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e51dbb87-09f7-4c33-a956-226874a1e7b7.
Council of Science Editors:
van der Linden E(. Exploration of the cobalt system: Scenarios for a critical material for the energy system. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:e51dbb87-09f7-4c33-a956-226874a1e7b7
Delft University of Technology
22.
Bletsis, Alexander (author).
Building Bridges for Bridges: Towards a Participatory Approach for Tackling Large-Scale Societal Assignments in Project-Based Polycentric Systems: The Case of the Large-Scale Rehabilitation Assignment of Civil Engineering Structures in the Netherlands.
Degree: 2020, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b65cdc0c-1cde-4e99-8ade-6591c8980c0c
► The Dutch civil engineering sector is facing a large-scale rehabilitation assignment of their civilengineering structures, that consists of complex projects that lead to cost overruns…
(more)
▼ The Dutch civil engineering sector is facing a large-scale rehabilitation assignment of their civilengineering structures, that consists of complex projects that lead to cost overruns and time delays. As a consequencethereof, the sector as a whole must realise a productivity growth to match the required capacity and complexity.Criteria such as innovation, knowledge dissemination and digitisation have a positive effect on productivity growth.However, barriers such as current rules & regulation, individual interests and short-term competition result incollective action problems. Furthermore, the sector is characterised as a polycentric system that consists of multipleautonomous yet interdependent public and private actors with diverging interest. These aspects the challenges of therehabilitation assignment. Therefore, there is a need for governance and coordination that is able to facilitatecollective action. This article presents a novel conceptual framework of governance and coordination is that is ableto address the challenges of the rehabilitation assignment. More specifically, the framework combines programmemanagement, process management, polycentric systems, hybrid organisational structures and participatory systemsto facilitate collective action.
Complex Systems Engineering and Management
Advisors/Committee Members: Brazier, Frances (mentor), Lefter, Iulia (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), van Langen, Pieter (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Polycentricity; Project-based; programme management; participatory systems; civil engineering; civil infrastructure; sociotechnical systems
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APA (6th Edition):
Bletsis, A. (. (2020). Building Bridges for Bridges: Towards a Participatory Approach for Tackling Large-Scale Societal Assignments in Project-Based Polycentric Systems: The Case of the Large-Scale Rehabilitation Assignment of Civil Engineering Structures in the Netherlands. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b65cdc0c-1cde-4e99-8ade-6591c8980c0c
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Bletsis, Alexander (author). “Building Bridges for Bridges: Towards a Participatory Approach for Tackling Large-Scale Societal Assignments in Project-Based Polycentric Systems: The Case of the Large-Scale Rehabilitation Assignment of Civil Engineering Structures in the Netherlands.” 2020. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b65cdc0c-1cde-4e99-8ade-6591c8980c0c.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Bletsis, Alexander (author). “Building Bridges for Bridges: Towards a Participatory Approach for Tackling Large-Scale Societal Assignments in Project-Based Polycentric Systems: The Case of the Large-Scale Rehabilitation Assignment of Civil Engineering Structures in the Netherlands.” 2020. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Bletsis A(. Building Bridges for Bridges: Towards a Participatory Approach for Tackling Large-Scale Societal Assignments in Project-Based Polycentric Systems: The Case of the Large-Scale Rehabilitation Assignment of Civil Engineering Structures in the Netherlands. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b65cdc0c-1cde-4e99-8ade-6591c8980c0c.
Council of Science Editors:
Bletsis A(. Building Bridges for Bridges: Towards a Participatory Approach for Tackling Large-Scale Societal Assignments in Project-Based Polycentric Systems: The Case of the Large-Scale Rehabilitation Assignment of Civil Engineering Structures in the Netherlands. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2020. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b65cdc0c-1cde-4e99-8ade-6591c8980c0c
Delft University of Technology
23.
Akkermans, Freek (author).
Model-Based Market Organisation of Emerging Energy Networks: The impacts of role demarcation policy on the development of the EV charging infrastructure market.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1e89fc5e-9314-4db1-b780-a28e543b3bb1
► Market organisation on energy networks is increasingly complex due to frequent emergence of new markets within and related to energy infrastructure. This research is conducted…
(more)
▼ Market organisation on energy networks is increasingly complex due to frequent emergence of new markets within and related to energy infrastructure. This research is conducted in cooperation with the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate Policy, and analyses the impacts of role demarcation policies on the development of the electric vehicle charging infrastructure market in the Netherlands by applying Exploratory System Dynamics Modelling and Analysis. In-depth behaviour based sensitivity analysis and scenario discovery has highlighted the most relevant dynamics on the market development over a period of 20 years. Limiting or restricting market access for network companies has showed to effectively influence market attractiveness positively and price developments negatively, both mainly on the short-term (within the first period of 10 years). The most significant and uncontrollable effects of uncertainties occur mainly on the long-term, granting the decision-maker the opportunity to adjust previous decisions when more accurate predictions can be made concerning the development of a specific market.
Engineering and Policy Analysis (EPA)
Advisors/Committee Members: Herder, Paulien (graduation committee), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), de Vries, Laurens (graduation committee), Koolen, Martijn (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Model-based decision making; Market organisation; Role demarcation policy; Exploratory Modelling and Analysis; System Dynamics; EV charging infrastructure; Market development; policy analysis; Emerging markets; uncertainty analysis
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APA (6th Edition):
Akkermans, F. (. (2018). Model-Based Market Organisation of Emerging Energy Networks: The impacts of role demarcation policy on the development of the EV charging infrastructure market. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1e89fc5e-9314-4db1-b780-a28e543b3bb1
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Akkermans, Freek (author). “Model-Based Market Organisation of Emerging Energy Networks: The impacts of role demarcation policy on the development of the EV charging infrastructure market.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1e89fc5e-9314-4db1-b780-a28e543b3bb1.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Akkermans, Freek (author). “Model-Based Market Organisation of Emerging Energy Networks: The impacts of role demarcation policy on the development of the EV charging infrastructure market.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Akkermans F(. Model-Based Market Organisation of Emerging Energy Networks: The impacts of role demarcation policy on the development of the EV charging infrastructure market. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1e89fc5e-9314-4db1-b780-a28e543b3bb1.
Council of Science Editors:
Akkermans F(. Model-Based Market Organisation of Emerging Energy Networks: The impacts of role demarcation policy on the development of the EV charging infrastructure market. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:1e89fc5e-9314-4db1-b780-a28e543b3bb1
Delft University of Technology
24.
Koens, Menno (author).
The Factors behind Unbalanced Economic Growth: Research about factors that drive unbalanced economic growth.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b86c64a3-7121-4745-8c9d-132429192294
► These days, technological progress and automation are widespread, but productivity growth and thus overall economic growth lags behind. There is a strong conviction that the…
(more)
▼ These days, technological progress and automation are widespread, but productivity growth and thus overall economic growth lags behind. There is a strong conviction that the declining growth rates are caused by a shortfall in aggregate demand. This shortfall in aggregate demand might be due to the development of a ‘dual economy’. A dual economy is an economy in which a limited number of economic activities experience high productivity growth rates due to automation and technological progress (progressive sector), meanwhile the remaining economic activities experience almost no productivity growth because automation is barely present (stagnant sector). A dual economy develops due to unbalanced economic growth between the progressive and stagnant sector. To assure stable economic growth, it is important to slow down unbalanced growth. However, until today it is not known how to effectively target unbalanced growth, because the driving factors are not well known. This research tries to improve the understanding of unbalanced growth by finding the driving factors behind unbalanced growth. A macroeconomic modelling methodology is used to achieve this objective. Conclusions that provide information about which factors drive unbalanced growth, and how these factors should be influenced by policy makers to slow down unbalanced growth and stimulate stable growth are provided.
Engineering and Policy Analysis
Advisors/Committee Members: van Beers, Cees (graduation committee), Storm, Servaas (mentor), Auping, Willem (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Unbalanced Economic Growth; Macroeconomic Model; Econometrics; Exploratory Modeling; Sensitivity Analysis
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APA ·
Chicago ·
MLA ·
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CSE |
Export
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APA (6th Edition):
Koens, M. (. (2018). The Factors behind Unbalanced Economic Growth: Research about factors that drive unbalanced economic growth. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b86c64a3-7121-4745-8c9d-132429192294
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Koens, Menno (author). “The Factors behind Unbalanced Economic Growth: Research about factors that drive unbalanced economic growth.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b86c64a3-7121-4745-8c9d-132429192294.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Koens, Menno (author). “The Factors behind Unbalanced Economic Growth: Research about factors that drive unbalanced economic growth.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Koens M(. The Factors behind Unbalanced Economic Growth: Research about factors that drive unbalanced economic growth. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b86c64a3-7121-4745-8c9d-132429192294.
Council of Science Editors:
Koens M(. The Factors behind Unbalanced Economic Growth: Research about factors that drive unbalanced economic growth. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:b86c64a3-7121-4745-8c9d-132429192294
Delft University of Technology
25.
Nederlof, Ilse (author).
Towards Resilient Urban Stormwater Management in a Tsunami Reconstruction: A Scenario Discovery Study on Ötsuchi Town, Japan.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:191f7a6e-e7d7-4725-b319-579da93ab265
► In the face of climate change, urban stormwater management practices are subject to an uncertain context. More frequent and extreme rainfall events are expected in…
(more)
▼ In the face of climate change, urban stormwater management practices are subject to an uncertain context. More frequent and extreme rainfall events are expected in many urban areas. The extent how climate change will affect weather patterns is however uncertain. This challenges contemporary stormwater management practices. A post-disaster reconstruction of an urban area would potentially be an opportunity to anticipate climate change uncertainties from the initial design phase of new urban development. This would allow for taking advantage of the disaster recovery by rebuilding a more resilient stormwater system than was present before, in which the uncertainties are anticipated. A resilient stormwater system would thus be able to cope a wide range of plausible futures, rather than the average. As academic literature lacks insight on re-establishing resilient urban stormwater management in a post-disaster reconstruction, this thesis aims to gain more insights into what extent resilient urban stormwater management has been established in a Tsunami reconstruction, with regard to uncertainties on climate change and urban development. A case study is conducted in which is focused on a) the conducted design approach, b) the realm of conditions for which the implemented stormwater system would be vulnerable and c) which solutions could be implemented to reduce the vulnerability, and reflected upon opportunities of an interdisciplinary approach from a stormwater management perspective. The selected study area is a town called Ötsuchi Town, in Northern Japan, Iwate Prefecture, which was severely hit during the 2011 Tsunami. The disaster necessitated a comprehensive reconstruction. To gain more insight into what extent a resilient urban stormwater system has been implemented, an exploratory modelling and analysis approach has been applied, which is also known as Scenario Discovery. Prime drivers of Scenario Discovery are exploring the system's performance for wide-ranging plausible futures by sampling the system myriad times with aid of computational modelling, and, the use of regional sensitivity mapping algorithms to understand the dominant factors that lead to insufficient system performance. The latter can be used as input for seeking vulnerability-reducing strategies. In this research, the Patient Rule Induction Method (PRIM) algorithm is used to understand the conditions for which the stormwater drainage system capacity would be exceeded, for an acceptable flooding level of 0.2 meter. Two open-source tools were combined: the conceptual stormwater flow model EPA-SWMM, and, python library EMA-workbench which provides the tools needed for applying Scenario Discovery and supportive analysis. After the 2011 Tsunami a separate half-open sewer system was established in the reclamation area of Ötsuchi Town. No natural-based solutions, or Blue-Green infrastructure were implemented, even though the residential is adjacent to steep mountain slopes. The uncertainty parameters over which is sampled, include rainfall intensity,…
Advisors/Committee Members: van de Ven, Frans (mentor), Askarinejad, Amin (graduation committee), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), Schoups, Gerrit (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Resilient urban stormwater management; Scenario discovery; Tsunami reconstruction; Exploratory Modelling and Analysis
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APA ·
Chicago ·
MLA ·
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CSE |
Export
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APA (6th Edition):
Nederlof, I. (. (2019). Towards Resilient Urban Stormwater Management in a Tsunami Reconstruction: A Scenario Discovery Study on Ötsuchi Town, Japan. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:191f7a6e-e7d7-4725-b319-579da93ab265
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Nederlof, Ilse (author). “Towards Resilient Urban Stormwater Management in a Tsunami Reconstruction: A Scenario Discovery Study on Ötsuchi Town, Japan.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:191f7a6e-e7d7-4725-b319-579da93ab265.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Nederlof, Ilse (author). “Towards Resilient Urban Stormwater Management in a Tsunami Reconstruction: A Scenario Discovery Study on Ötsuchi Town, Japan.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Nederlof I(. Towards Resilient Urban Stormwater Management in a Tsunami Reconstruction: A Scenario Discovery Study on Ötsuchi Town, Japan. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:191f7a6e-e7d7-4725-b319-579da93ab265.
Council of Science Editors:
Nederlof I(. Towards Resilient Urban Stormwater Management in a Tsunami Reconstruction: A Scenario Discovery Study on Ötsuchi Town, Japan. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:191f7a6e-e7d7-4725-b319-579da93ab265
Delft University of Technology
26.
van der Veer, Koen (author).
Exploring the performance and ethicality of smart charging systems: An explorative agent-based modeling research on the performance, system-usage, and ethical value fulfilment of decentralised and centralised smart charging systems.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3ebbe2b0-1067-4268-b1ae-7b14d5d451ea
► Increased Feed-in of renewable energy sources and an increase of sales of electric vehicles (EVs) complicate balancing of demand and supply. EVs are considered core…
(more)
▼ Increased Feed-in of renewable energy sources and an increase of sales of electric vehicles (EVs) complicate balancing of demand and supply. EVs are considered core enablers for dealing with intermittency due to their storage potential. This does however require that these EVs are charged according to smart charging protocols, which is a vehicle-to-grid (V2G)
technology. Options exist for designing such a system. However, due to the gathering of personal (transactional) data, and the involvement of monetary assets, ethical concerns such as privacy and trust issues are assumed to arise at or after the introduction of such a
technology. This has been the case with for instance smart meters. The effects of such ethical concerns on the usage of smart charging systems are unknown. The main research question for this thesis is: “How can a smart charging system be designed which is both used on the short- and long-term and fulfils ethical values of EV owners?” The purpose of this thesis was to explore and assess different smart EV charging system designs concerning factors contributing to system performance and possible ethical concerns. The research was conducted by creating an integrated framework of both the capability approach and complex adaptive systems. Agent-based modeling was used as the main research method in order to model the behaviour of EV owners within an smart charging environment. The model aims at providing valuable insights concerning which system design performs best with respect to system performance and ethical value fulfilment. Several architectural design decisions are elaborated on with respect to a decentralised or a centralised system. The research outcomes indicate possible short- and long-term ethical concerns of users with respect to the designed system. The effects of these concerns are at this point unknown, but are considered to have an ongoing effect on the performance of the system. The research objectives involve the identification of four key architectural design decisions which consist of both decentralised and centralised alternatives. The conceptual framework built upon the capability approach, the unified theory of acceptance and use of
technology (UTAUT), and complex adaptive systems is used as conceptual basis for the agent-based model. The experimental design revolves around comparing three experimental design alternatives: a (1) public centralised system, (2) public decentralised system, and (3) a private decentralised system. The public centralised system describes a system which is controlled by a single authority, and in which data is stored within an external database. Furthermore, participants are free to participate. The public decentralised system describes a system which is not controlled by a single authority, and in which transactions are validated through shared consensus. Within the private decentralised system, power is exerted towards a single facilitator, which is authorised to whitelist participants. Aside from whitelisting…
Advisors/Committee Members: van de Poel, Ibo (mentor), Chappin, Emile (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), de Wildt, T.E. (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Capability approach; Agent-based modeling; V2G; Smart charging; Exploratory Modelling and Analysis
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APA ·
Chicago ·
MLA ·
Vancouver ·
CSE |
Export
to Zotero / EndNote / Reference
Manager
APA (6th Edition):
van der Veer, K. (. (2018). Exploring the performance and ethicality of smart charging systems: An explorative agent-based modeling research on the performance, system-usage, and ethical value fulfilment of decentralised and centralised smart charging systems. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3ebbe2b0-1067-4268-b1ae-7b14d5d451ea
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
van der Veer, Koen (author). “Exploring the performance and ethicality of smart charging systems: An explorative agent-based modeling research on the performance, system-usage, and ethical value fulfilment of decentralised and centralised smart charging systems.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3ebbe2b0-1067-4268-b1ae-7b14d5d451ea.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
van der Veer, Koen (author). “Exploring the performance and ethicality of smart charging systems: An explorative agent-based modeling research on the performance, system-usage, and ethical value fulfilment of decentralised and centralised smart charging systems.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
van der Veer K(. Exploring the performance and ethicality of smart charging systems: An explorative agent-based modeling research on the performance, system-usage, and ethical value fulfilment of decentralised and centralised smart charging systems. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3ebbe2b0-1067-4268-b1ae-7b14d5d451ea.
Council of Science Editors:
van der Veer K(. Exploring the performance and ethicality of smart charging systems: An explorative agent-based modeling research on the performance, system-usage, and ethical value fulfilment of decentralised and centralised smart charging systems. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3ebbe2b0-1067-4268-b1ae-7b14d5d451ea
Delft University of Technology
27.
de Jong, Vera (author).
Acceptability of hydrogen as a sustainable replacement of natural gas in households: A participatory modelling approach for Stad aan 't Haringvliet.
Degree: 2018, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a449d53c-3a46-4d99-9460-1a1c8d081f33
► Hydrogen technology offers a promising opportunity to mitigate problems that arise due to the energy transition. It can enable storage and balancing for surplus in…
(more)
▼ Hydrogen
technology offers a promising opportunity to mitigate problems that arise due to the energy transition. It can enable storage and balancing for surplus in electricity production from intermittent resources as solar energy and wind power. Electrolysis converts green electricity into hydrogen. Hydrogen is suggested to be introduced into the current natural gas grid as sustainable replacement of natural gas in households. This allows for reduction of CO2 emissions and heating buildings that are not easily insulated. The number of poorly insulated homes is difficult using electrical low temperature heat pumps. Even though hydrogen offers many functional advantages, there are potential barriers that may restrain the introduction of hydrogen into the energy system. Often siting of large-scale renewable energy technologies such as wind turbines and solar panels, causes anxiety and societal opposition. The reason for opposition is often distrust in institutions and
technology that fails to equally distribute costs and benefits amongst stakeholders, authorities and residents. To prevent this for hydrogen infrastructure, this research studies how hydrogen
technology can incorporate local values. This allows for adapting
technology to local needs and involving households in decision making. Acceptable
technology and a responsible process increase trust and acceptance when the infrastructure is actually adjusted. This research answers the question which technical design choices provide for an acceptable and responsible design of hydrogen distribution and domestic use to households in Stad aan ´t Haringvliet. Stad aan ‘t Haringvliet is used as case to research how to identify values and capabilities that play a role when designing hydrogen infrastructure for a specific local context. A participatory modelling approach is developed and executed. The approach involves stakeholders and households in the process of developing an Agent-Based Model. The model simulates the acceptability of hydrogen
technology for households and identifies issues to be addressed in the next project phases. The Capability Approach and Value-Sensitive Design form the conceptual basis of this research. The effects of
technology on households is assessed in terms of valuable capabilities and individual well-being. Capabilities create well-being as they allow users to choose e.g. how to heat and what
technology to buy. The outcomes of this research are specific local requirements and general knowledge on how to develop acceptable
technology. Hydrogen infrastructure is acceptable when it has only a small impact on households and offers comfort and security against the same costs as the current system. Higher costs are possibly acceptable when the new system reduces CO2 emissions or offers higher comfort. However,
technology alone is not able to incorporate the whole set of important values. Additional institutional measures as for example information, participation and support are required to gain long term…
Advisors/Committee Members: van de Poel, Ibo (mentor), Chappin, Emile (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), de Vries, Marc (mentor), Wehrmann, Caroline (mentor), Flipse, Steven (mentor), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Acceptability; Agent-Based Modelling; Capability Approach; Value-Sensitive Design; Participatory Modelling
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APA ·
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MLA ·
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Manager
APA (6th Edition):
de Jong, V. (. (2018). Acceptability of hydrogen as a sustainable replacement of natural gas in households: A participatory modelling approach for Stad aan 't Haringvliet. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a449d53c-3a46-4d99-9460-1a1c8d081f33
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
de Jong, Vera (author). “Acceptability of hydrogen as a sustainable replacement of natural gas in households: A participatory modelling approach for Stad aan 't Haringvliet.” 2018. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a449d53c-3a46-4d99-9460-1a1c8d081f33.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
de Jong, Vera (author). “Acceptability of hydrogen as a sustainable replacement of natural gas in households: A participatory modelling approach for Stad aan 't Haringvliet.” 2018. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
de Jong V(. Acceptability of hydrogen as a sustainable replacement of natural gas in households: A participatory modelling approach for Stad aan 't Haringvliet. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a449d53c-3a46-4d99-9460-1a1c8d081f33.
Council of Science Editors:
de Jong V(. Acceptability of hydrogen as a sustainable replacement of natural gas in households: A participatory modelling approach for Stad aan 't Haringvliet. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2018. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a449d53c-3a46-4d99-9460-1a1c8d081f33
Delft University of Technology
28.
Schölvinck, Odilia (author).
Use of scenarios in participatory ADM: A comparative action research approach in the Paraná Delta, Argentina.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a2eb7a71-0986-4688-8c5d-c29c241e05ee
► In this thesis, the usage of scenarios for the participatory application of ADM is investigated in the context of the Paraná Delta, in Argentina. The…
(more)
▼ In this thesis, the usage of scenarios for the participatory application of ADM is investigated in the context of the Paraná Delta, in Argentina. The focus is two-fold: (1) the research focuses on how a participatory design for ADM can be made, and (2) it focuses on which moment of the framework scenarios should be introduced in the participatory ADM
Paraná Delta Project
Engineering and Policy Analysis
Civil Engineering | Water Management
Advisors/Committee Members: Kwakkel, Jan (mentor), Enserink, Bert (mentor), De Jong, Martin (graduation committee), Ertsen, Maurits (graduation committee), ter Maat, Judith (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Adaptive Delta Management; scenario analysis; Participatory Adaptive Delta Management; Argentina; Paraná Delta; scenario planning; Delta planning
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APA ·
Chicago ·
MLA ·
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CSE |
Export
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APA (6th Edition):
Schölvinck, O. (. (2019). Use of scenarios in participatory ADM: A comparative action research approach in the Paraná Delta, Argentina. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a2eb7a71-0986-4688-8c5d-c29c241e05ee
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Schölvinck, Odilia (author). “Use of scenarios in participatory ADM: A comparative action research approach in the Paraná Delta, Argentina.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a2eb7a71-0986-4688-8c5d-c29c241e05ee.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Schölvinck, Odilia (author). “Use of scenarios in participatory ADM: A comparative action research approach in the Paraná Delta, Argentina.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Schölvinck O(. Use of scenarios in participatory ADM: A comparative action research approach in the Paraná Delta, Argentina. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a2eb7a71-0986-4688-8c5d-c29c241e05ee.
Council of Science Editors:
Schölvinck O(. Use of scenarios in participatory ADM: A comparative action research approach in the Paraná Delta, Argentina. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:a2eb7a71-0986-4688-8c5d-c29c241e05ee
Delft University of Technology
29.
Schölvinck, Odilia (author).
Multiple co-existing ontologies in the paraná delta: An action-research approach to the case of the Paraná Delta, Argentina.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3c03e3b4-9df5-414e-b9e4-39f1b93bd0ac
► Adaptive delta management (ADM) deals with making flexible and robust plans in the uncertain environment of deltas. ADM receives increasing attention to be applied globally,…
(more)
▼ Adaptive delta management (ADM) deals with making flexible and robust plans in the uncertain environment of deltas. ADM receives increasing attention to be applied globally, including in Argentina. In this research, I have studied how modelling can assist ADM in Argentina through action research by applying various participatory methods like workshops, group model building and interviews. In the exploratory phase, I could make several observations regarding the application of ADM in Argentina. I discovered something unexpected: Multiple co-existing ontologies of the Paraná Delta were shaped in practice, influencing the ADM process. The Paraná Delta seemed to be continually changing per actor, time and space in the Delta. In order to introduce the reader to this multiplicity, I offer an approach to formulate these ontologies and provide several examples of ontologies in the Delta. Next, I propose a structured approach to connect ontologies to modelling. The added value of using ontologies for the modelling of the Paraná Delta was discussed with experts. The results indicate that by connecting ontologies and modelling, the ADM process (in the Paraná Delta) will be strengthened, since ontologies (1) illustrate modellers assumptions, (2) improve stakeholders and politicians understanding of the Delta, (3) guide research and data collection to verify assumptions on the Delta, and (4) strengthen the understanding of one's own ontology. Therefore, the results show that incorporating ontologies in ADM research is a valuable approach. Future research should focus on formulating models to support the claims made in this article. Further, a theoretical investigation is needed to incorporate the use of ontologies in the ADM process. In order to guide future researchers to incorporate ontologies in their modelling, a framework is constructed based on my research experience: ‘the Kite framework’.
Paraná Delta
Water Management
Advisors/Committee Members: Ertsen, Maurits (mentor), Hrachowitz, Markus (graduation committee), Kok, Matthijs (graduation committee), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), Curran, Alex (graduation committee), ter Maat, Judith (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Adaptive Delta management,; Ontological policies; ontological politics; ontologies in Delta,; Decision making; Water management; modelling of ontologies; Paraná Delta; Wicked problems
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APA (6th Edition):
Schölvinck, O. (. (2019). Multiple co-existing ontologies in the paraná delta: An action-research approach to the case of the Paraná Delta, Argentina. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3c03e3b4-9df5-414e-b9e4-39f1b93bd0ac
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Schölvinck, Odilia (author). “Multiple co-existing ontologies in the paraná delta: An action-research approach to the case of the Paraná Delta, Argentina.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3c03e3b4-9df5-414e-b9e4-39f1b93bd0ac.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Schölvinck, Odilia (author). “Multiple co-existing ontologies in the paraná delta: An action-research approach to the case of the Paraná Delta, Argentina.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Schölvinck O(. Multiple co-existing ontologies in the paraná delta: An action-research approach to the case of the Paraná Delta, Argentina. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3c03e3b4-9df5-414e-b9e4-39f1b93bd0ac.
Council of Science Editors:
Schölvinck O(. Multiple co-existing ontologies in the paraná delta: An action-research approach to the case of the Paraná Delta, Argentina. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3c03e3b4-9df5-414e-b9e4-39f1b93bd0ac
Delft University of Technology
30.
Boijmans, Anne (author).
The Acceptability of Decentralized Energy Systems: Identifying Value Conflicts Through Simulations Of Decentralized Energy Systems For City Districts.
Degree: 2019, Delft University of Technology
URL: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3a9f3b06-3fbd-4545-b3e9-50e76745bd7f
► This research has been performed to help the Dutch government with the decisions and choices it has to make in order to meet the requirements…
(more)
▼ This research has been performed to help the Dutch government with the decisions and choices it has to make in order to meet the requirements of the Paris Agreement and the Climate Agreement. Decentralized energy systems can be a solution for meeting these requirements, however trade-offs have to be made between different system criteria, which are evaluated as values in this research. The aim of this research is to find out what strategies can reduce and deal with value conflicts that can be identified when designing a decentralized energy system considering the properties of a city district. A specific city district is analyzed, i.e. 'De Vruchtenbuurt' in The Hague, the Netherlands. The research starts with an identification of values, conversion factors, governance models and technical designs which are important when changing to a decentralized energy system in 'De Vruchtenbuurt'. Following the Capability Approach is used to structure the different components and the relations between them. Subsequently, a translation of the components into a simulation model is made, using the values to evaluate the acceptability of the capabilities. By analyzing the values that are conflicting (for different conversion groups) for different input parameter settings, insights are gained about possible value conflicts that can emerge in 'De Vruchtenbuurt' and possibly also in other city districts. Finally, an analysis on strategies is developed that can be effective to limit the emergence of the identified value conflicts and therefore possibly support the change to a decentralized energy system in 'De Vruchtenbuurt' and in other city districts. Policies (financial instruments and supporting innovations) that create more feasible solutions for the heterogeneous households are effective to limit the context dependent value conflicts. It is not realistic to eliminate all value conflicts, since some of the values are inherently in conflict with each other. For these conflicts thresholds can be formulated that should be met for every value. Given that value conflicts exist, focusing on the process of the change to a decentralized energy system is seen as important factor for support and participation.
Engineering and Policy Analysis (EPA)
Advisors/Committee Members: van de Poel, Ibo (graduation committee), Chappin, Emile (mentor), Kwakkel, Jan (graduation committee), de Wildt, Tristan (graduation committee), ten Elshof, Erik (graduation committee), Delft University of Technology (degree granting institution).
Subjects/Keywords: Value Conflicts; Decentralized Energy Systems; City Districts; Acceptability; Capability Approach; Agent-Based Modelling; Exploratory Modelling and Analysis
Record Details
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Share »
Record Details
Similar Records
Cite
« Share
❌
APA ·
Chicago ·
MLA ·
Vancouver ·
CSE |
Export
to Zotero / EndNote / Reference
Manager
APA (6th Edition):
Boijmans, A. (. (2019). The Acceptability of Decentralized Energy Systems: Identifying Value Conflicts Through Simulations Of Decentralized Energy Systems For City Districts. (Masters Thesis). Delft University of Technology. Retrieved from http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3a9f3b06-3fbd-4545-b3e9-50e76745bd7f
Chicago Manual of Style (16th Edition):
Boijmans, Anne (author). “The Acceptability of Decentralized Energy Systems: Identifying Value Conflicts Through Simulations Of Decentralized Energy Systems For City Districts.” 2019. Masters Thesis, Delft University of Technology. Accessed March 01, 2021.
http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3a9f3b06-3fbd-4545-b3e9-50e76745bd7f.
MLA Handbook (7th Edition):
Boijmans, Anne (author). “The Acceptability of Decentralized Energy Systems: Identifying Value Conflicts Through Simulations Of Decentralized Energy Systems For City Districts.” 2019. Web. 01 Mar 2021.
Vancouver:
Boijmans A(. The Acceptability of Decentralized Energy Systems: Identifying Value Conflicts Through Simulations Of Decentralized Energy Systems For City Districts. [Internet] [Masters thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. [cited 2021 Mar 01].
Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3a9f3b06-3fbd-4545-b3e9-50e76745bd7f.
Council of Science Editors:
Boijmans A(. The Acceptability of Decentralized Energy Systems: Identifying Value Conflicts Through Simulations Of Decentralized Energy Systems For City Districts. [Masters Thesis]. Delft University of Technology; 2019. Available from: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:3a9f3b06-3fbd-4545-b3e9-50e76745bd7f
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Open Access Theses and Dissertations